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Canada

Wellington—Halton Hills North



Latest projection: January 19, 2025
CPC safe
Wellington—Halton Hills North 60% ± 8%▼ CPC 16% ± 5%▲ LPC 13% ± 5% NDP 7% ± 4% GPC 3% ± 4% PPC CPC 2021 46.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | January 19, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Wellington—Halton Hills North >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | January 19, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Recent electoral history | Wellington—Halton Hills North



2019 2021 Proj. CPC 42.2% 46.8% 60% ± 8% LPC 30.1% 30.3% 16% ± 5% NDP 9.6% 12.0% 13% ± 5% GPC 15.8% 4.7% 7% ± 4% PPC 2.0% 6.2% 3% ± 4%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.