logo
Canada

Peterborough


MP: Emma Harrison (LPC)

Latest projection: July 6, 2025
LPC likely

Recent electoral history | Peterborough


2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 55% ± 8% 39.0% 34.8% 54.3% CPC 40% ± 8% 34.9% 39.2% 41.0% NDP 4% ± 3% 17.2% 19.2% 3.0% GPC 1% ± 1% 7.2% 2.2% 0.8% PPC 0% ± 1% 1.3% 4.3% 0.3%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.




338Canada projection for Peterborough


Peterborough 55% ± 8% LPC 40% ± 8% CPC 4% ± 3%▲ NDP LPC 2025 54.3% 338Canada vote projection | July 6, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Peterborough 99% LPC 1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | July 6, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Peterborough

LPC 55% ± 8% CPC 40% ± 8% NDP 4% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Peterborough 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP July 6, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 55% NDP 20% LPC 18% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 54% NDP 20% LPC 19% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 54% NDP 19% LPC 19% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 51% LPC 23% NDP 19% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 50% LPC 26% NDP 17% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 49% LPC 29% NDP 15% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC 48% LPC 31% NDP 14% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC 47% LPC 32% NDP 14% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC 48% LPC 31% NDP 14% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 47% LPC 33% NDP 13% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 46% LPC 36% NDP 12% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 45% LPC 36% NDP 12% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 45% LPC 37% NDP 12% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 45% LPC 37% NDP 12% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 45% LPC 37% NDP 12% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 45% LPC 37% NDP 12% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 45% LPC 39% NDP 10% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 45% LPC 39% NDP 10% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 45% LPC 40% NDP 9% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 43% LPC 42% NDP 9% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 43% LPC 43% NDP 9% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 43% LPC 43% NDP 9% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 44% LPC 42% NDP 8% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 44% LPC 43% NDP 8% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 44% CPC 44% NDP 8% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 45% CPC 43% NDP 8% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 45% CPC 43% NDP 8% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 45% CPC 43% NDP 8% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 45% CPC 43% NDP 8% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 45% CPC 44% NDP 8% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 45% CPC 44% NDP 8% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 45% CPC 43% NDP 8% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 44% CPC 42% NDP 8% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 44% CPC 42% NDP 8% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 45% CPC 42% NDP 8% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 44% CPC 42% NDP 8% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 44% CPC 43% NDP 8% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 44% CPC 42% NDP 8% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 44% CPC 42% NDP 8% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 44% CPC 43% NDP 8% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 44% LPC 43% NDP 8% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC 43% LPC 43% NDP 8% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 43% CPC 43% NDP 8% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 44% CPC 43% NDP 8% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 45% CPC 42% NDP 8% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 45% CPC 42% NDP 8% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 44% CPC 42% NDP 8% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 44% CPC 42% NDP 8% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 44% CPC 42% NDP 8% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 44% CPC 43% NDP 8% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 44% CPC 43% NDP 7% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 54% CPC 41% NDP 3% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 54% CPC 41% NDP 3% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 54% CPC 41% NDP 3% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 54% CPC 41% NDP 3% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC 54% CPC 41% NDP 3% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 LPC 54% CPC 41% NDP 3% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 LPC 55% CPC 40% NDP 3% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 LPC 55% CPC 40% NDP 3% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 LPC 55% CPC 40% NDP 3% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 LPC 55% CPC 40% NDP 4% 2025-07-06 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Peterborough

LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP July 6, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 93% LPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 92% LPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 92% LPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 91% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 91% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 81% LPC 19% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 82% LPC 18% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 77% LPC 23% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 52% LPC 48% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 50% LPC 50% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 51% LPC 49% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 59% LPC 41% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 54% LPC 46% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 53% CPC 47% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 62% CPC 38% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 61% CPC 39% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 65% CPC 35% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 65% CPC 35% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 56% CPC 44% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 57% CPC 43% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 63% CPC 37% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 64% CPC 36% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 62% CPC 38% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 67% CPC 33% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 61% CPC 39% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 58% CPC 42% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 61% CPC 39% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 61% CPC 39% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 53% CPC 47% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 54% LPC 46% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC 52% LPC 48% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 52% CPC 48% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 57% CPC 43% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 67% CPC 33% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 66% CPC 34% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 62% CPC 38% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 61% CPC 39% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 61% CPC 39% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 57% CPC 43% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 53% CPC 47% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-07-06 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader