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Canada

Peterborough


MP elect: Emma Harrison (LPC)

Latest projection: April 30, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | Peterborough


Liberal Emma Harrison
Conservative Michelle Ferreri*
NDP Heather Ray
Green Jazmine Raine
PPC Jami-Leigh McMaster
Christian Heritage Matthew Grove
Independent Chad Jewell

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Peterborough 54% ± 0%▲ LPC 41% ± 0%▼ CPC 3% ± 0%▼ NDP LPC 2025 54.1% 338Canada vote projection | April 30, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Peterborough >99%▲ LPC <1%▼ CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 30, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Peterborough

LPC 54% ± 0% CPC 41% ± 0% NDP 3% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Peterborough 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 48% LPC 31% NDP 14% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 47% LPC 33% NDP 13% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 46% LPC 36% NDP 12% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 45% LPC 36% NDP 12% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 45% LPC 37% NDP 12% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 45% LPC 37% NDP 12% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 45% LPC 37% NDP 12% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 45% LPC 37% NDP 12% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 45% LPC 39% NDP 10% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 45% LPC 39% NDP 10% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 45% LPC 40% NDP 9% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 43% LPC 42% NDP 9% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 43% LPC 43% NDP 9% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 43% LPC 43% NDP 9% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 44% LPC 42% NDP 8% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 44% LPC 43% NDP 8% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 44% CPC 44% NDP 8% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 45% CPC 43% NDP 8% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 45% CPC 43% NDP 8% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 45% CPC 43% NDP 8% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 45% CPC 43% NDP 8% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 45% CPC 44% NDP 8% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 45% CPC 44% NDP 8% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 45% CPC 43% NDP 8% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 44% CPC 42% NDP 8% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 44% CPC 42% NDP 8% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 45% CPC 42% NDP 8% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 44% CPC 42% NDP 8% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 44% CPC 43% NDP 8% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 44% CPC 42% NDP 8% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 44% CPC 42% NDP 8% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 44% CPC 43% NDP 8% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 44% LPC 43% NDP 8% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC 43% LPC 43% NDP 8% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 43% CPC 43% NDP 8% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 44% CPC 43% NDP 8% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 45% CPC 42% NDP 8% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 45% CPC 42% NDP 8% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 44% CPC 42% NDP 8% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 44% CPC 42% NDP 8% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 44% CPC 42% NDP 8% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 44% CPC 43% NDP 8% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 44% CPC 43% NDP 7% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 54% CPC 41% NDP 3% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Peterborough

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 93% LPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 92% LPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 92% LPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 91% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 91% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 81% LPC 19% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 82% LPC 18% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 77% LPC 23% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 52% LPC 48% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 50% LPC 50% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 51% LPC 49% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 59% LPC 41% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 54% LPC 46% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 53% CPC 47% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 62% CPC 38% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 61% CPC 39% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 65% CPC 35% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 65% CPC 35% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 56% CPC 44% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 57% CPC 43% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 63% CPC 37% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 64% CPC 36% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 62% CPC 38% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 67% CPC 33% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 61% CPC 39% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 58% CPC 42% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 61% CPC 39% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 61% CPC 39% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 53% CPC 47% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 54% LPC 46% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC 52% LPC 48% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 52% CPC 48% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 57% CPC 43% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 67% CPC 33% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 66% CPC 34% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 62% CPC 38% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 61% CPC 39% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 61% CPC 39% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 57% CPC 43% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 53% CPC 47% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Peterborough



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 54% ± 0% 39.0% 34.8% 54.1% CPC 41% ± 0% 34.9% 39.2% 41.2% NDP 3% ± 0% 17.2% 19.2% 3.0% GPC 1% ± 0% 7.2% 2.2% 0.8% IND 0% ± 0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% PPC 0% ± 0% 1.3% 4.3% 0.4%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.