338Canada | Calgary Shepard (Alberta federal district)

48011 - Calgary Shepard

Province: Alberta
Population (2016): 147,520 residents
Population density: 816 pop./km² (rank: 147 of 338)
Median household income: $110 703 (rank: 10 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Tom Kmiec (CPC)

Latest projection (September 20, 2021)

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2021 Candidates | Calgary Shepard

Cam Macdonald
Tom Kmiec
Raj Jessel
Evelyn Tanaka
Ron Vaillant
Andrea Lee
Jesse Halmo (VCA)
Konstantine Muirhead

Federal vote projection | Calgary Shepard

Last update: September 20, 2021

Odds of winning | Calgary Shepard

Last update: September 20, 2021

Electoral history of Calgary Shepard

(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)

Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Calgary Shepard

On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.

Calgary Shepard

Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
65.3% ± 8.0% 75.0% Outside confidence interval
15.8% ± 5.5% 11.1% Within confidence interval
10.3% ± 4.3% 8.7% Within confidence interval

*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.

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