logo
logo
Canada


Calgary Shepard (federal)


MP: Tom Kmiec (CPC)


Latest projection: March 19, 2023

CPC safe hold
Calgary Shepard 61% ± 7% CPC 16% ± 5% NDP 15% ± 5% LPC 2% ± 2% PPC 2% ± 2% GPC CPC 2021 60.32% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 19, 2023
50% 100% Calgary Shepard >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% LPC Odds of winning | March 19, 2023


Popular vote projection | Calgary Shepard

LPC 15% ± 5% CPC 61% ± 7% NDP 16% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Calgary Shepard 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 LPC CPC NDP

Odds of winning | Calgary Shepard

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Calgary Shepard



2015 2019 2021 Proj. CPC 65.9% 75.0% 60.32% 61% ± 7% NDP 6.8% 8.7% 16.42% 16% ± 5% LPC 24.7% 11.1% 14.0% 15% ± 5% PPC 0.0% 2.2% 5.82% 2% ± 2% GPC 2.6% 3.0% 1.79% 2% ± 2% BQ 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 0%