338Canada | Calgary Shepard (Alberta federal district)





48011 - Calgary Shepard

Province: Alberta
Population (2016): 147,520 residents
Population density: 816 pop./km² (rank: 147 of 338)
Median household income: $110 703 (rank: 10 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Tom Kmiec (CPC)



Latest projection (January 23, 2022)

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Federal vote projection | Calgary Shepard

Last update: January 23, 2022






Odds of winning | Calgary Shepard

Last update: January 23, 2022









Electoral history of Calgary Shepard



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2021? | Calgary Shepard



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2021 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Calgary Shepard


Final 2021 Projection 2021 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
51.3% ± 7.1% 60.3% Outside confidence interval
17.3% ± 4.5% 16.4% Within confidence interval
15.5% ± 4.6% 14.0% Within confidence interval
8.7% ± 4.1% 5.8% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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