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Canada

Langley Township—Fraser Heights


MP: Tako van Popta (CPC)

Latest projection: June 1, 2025
CPC leaning

Recent electoral history | Langley Township—Fraser Heights


2019 2021 2025 Proj. CPC 51% ± 8% 45.8% 43.9% 51.4% LPC 43% ± 8% 27.5% 29.6% 42.9% NDP 4% ± 3% 17.0% 19.5% 4.0% GPC 1% ± 1% 7.1% 2.4% 0.8% PPC 0% ± 1% 1.9% 4.5% 0.5%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.



Langley Township—Fraser Heights 51% ± 8% CPC 43% ± 8% LPC 4% ± 3% NDP CPC 2025 51.4% 338Canada vote projection | June 1, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Langley Township—Fraser Heights 89%▼ CPC 11%▲ LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | June 1, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Langley Township—Fraser Heights

LPC 43% ± 8% CPC 51% ± 8% NDP 4% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Langley Township—Fraser Heights 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP June 1, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 59% LPC 18% NDP 17% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 60% LPC 19% NDP 16% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 59% LPC 19% NDP 16% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 58% LPC 20% NDP 16% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 57% LPC 23% NDP 15% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 54% LPC 26% NDP 15% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC 53% LPC 28% NDP 14% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC 48% LPC 32% NDP 14% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC 48% LPC 32% NDP 14% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 49% LPC 33% NDP 12% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 48% LPC 38% NDP 9% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 48% LPC 39% NDP 8% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 48% LPC 39% NDP 8% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 48% LPC 39% NDP 8% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 47% LPC 40% NDP 8% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 47% LPC 40% NDP 8% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 46% LPC 43% NDP 7% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 46% LPC 43% NDP 7% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 46% LPC 43% NDP 7% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 46% LPC 43% NDP 6% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 45% LPC 44% NDP 6% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 45% LPC 45% NDP 6% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 45% LPC 45% NDP 6% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 46% CPC 44% NDP 6% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 47% CPC 44% NDP 6% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 48% CPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 48% CPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 48% CPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 47% CPC 45% NDP 5% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 47% CPC 45% NDP 5% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 47% CPC 45% NDP 5% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 48% CPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 49% CPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 49% CPC 43% NDP 5% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 48% CPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 48% CPC 43% NDP 5% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 48% CPC 43% NDP 5% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 48% CPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 48% CPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 48% CPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 49% CPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 48% CPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 48% CPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 48% CPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 46% CPC 44% NDP 7% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 47% CPC 44% NDP 7% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 47% CPC 44% NDP 6% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 47% CPC 44% NDP 6% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 47% CPC 44% NDP 6% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 47% CPC 44% NDP 6% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 46% LPC 46% NDP 6% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 52% LPC 43% NDP 4% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 52% LPC 43% NDP 4% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 52% LPC 42% NDP 4% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 51% LPC 43% NDP 4% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 51% LPC 43% NDP 4% 2025-06-01 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Langley Township—Fraser Heights

LPC 11% CPC 89% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP June 1, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 93% LPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 91% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 89% LPC 11% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 89% LPC 11% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 87% LPC 13% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 84% LPC 16% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 66% LPC 34% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 66% LPC 34% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 64% LPC 36% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 65% LPC 35% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 57% LPC 43% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 53% LPC 47% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 56% LPC 44% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 61% CPC 39% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 68% CPC 32% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 75% CPC 25% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 73% CPC 27% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 70% CPC 30% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 64% CPC 36% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 58% CPC 42% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 61% CPC 39% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 68% CPC 32% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 77% CPC 23% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 78% CPC 22% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 74% CPC 26% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 76% CPC 24% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 75% CPC 25% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 73% CPC 27% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 71% CPC 29% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 72% CPC 28% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 75% CPC 25% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 72% CPC 28% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 70% CPC 30% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 70% CPC 30% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 59% CPC 41% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 64% CPC 36% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 66% CPC 34% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 66% CPC 34% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 66% CPC 34% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 66% CPC 34% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 51% LPC 49% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 89% LPC 11% NDP <1% 2025-06-01 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader