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Canada


North Vancouver (federal)


MP: Jonathan Wilkinson (LPC)


Latest projection: February 25, 2024

CPC leaning gain
North Vancouver 39% ± 7% 36% ± 7%▼ 16% ± 5% 7% ± 4% LPC 2021 45.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 25, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% North Vancouver 71%▲ 29%▼ <1% Odds of winning | February 25, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | North Vancouver

LPC 36% ± 7% CPC 39% ± 7% NDP 16% ± 5% GPC 7% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | North Vancouver 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Odds of winning | North Vancouver

LPC 29% CPC 71% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | North Vancouver



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 56.7% 42.9% 45.1% 36% ± 7% CPC 26.9% 26.9% 28.1% 39% ± 7% NDP 7.8% 16.4% 19.81% 16% ± 5% GPC 8.3% 12.5% 4.38% 7% ± 4% PPC 0.0% 1.3% 2.6% 1% ± 1%