24026 - Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine

Province: Québec

Population (2016): 75,850 residents

Population density: 4.51 pop./km² (rank: 293 of 338)

Median household income: $52 642 (rank: 311 of 338)

Member of Parliament: Diane Lebouthillier (LPC)

Latest projection (August 1, 2021)

Federal vote projection | Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine

Last update: August 1, 2021

Odds of winning | Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine

Last update: August 1, 2021

Electoral history of Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine

(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)

Map of Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine

(Credits: Elections Canada)

Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine

On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.

Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine

	Final 2019 Projection	2019 Result	The Record
Winner			Incorrect winner, but within confidence interval
	34.7% ± 8.9%	42.5%	Within confidence interval
	38.3% ± 9.3%	40.8%	Within confidence interval
	8.5% ± 4.0%	7.9%	Within confidence interval
	13.3% ± 5.5%	4.5%	Outside confidence interval

*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.

Province:	Québec
Population (2016):	75,850 residents
Population density:	4.51 pop./km² (rank: 293 of 338)
Median household income:	$52 642 (rank: 311 of 338)
Member of Parliament:	Diane Lebouthillier (LPC)