338Canada | Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine (Québec federal district)





24026 - Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine

Province: Québec
Population (2016): 75,850 residents
Population density: 4.51 pop./km² (rank: 293 of 338)
Median household income: $52 642 (rank: 311 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Diane Lebouthillier (LPC)



Latest projection (November 28, 2021)

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Federal vote projection | Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine

Last update: November 28, 2021






Odds of winning | Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine

Last update: November 28, 2021










Electoral history of Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2021? | Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2021 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine


Final 2021 Projection 2021 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
41.1% ± 7.8% 46.4% Within confidence interval
38.1% ± 7.8% 39.3% Within confidence interval
9.9% ± 4.3% 8.1% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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