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Canada


Hochelaga—Rosemont-Est


Latest projection: June 9, 2024
Toss up LPC/BQ
Note: The terms "hold" and "gain" are used to compare current projections with transposed 2021 results onto the new electoral map.
Hochelaga—Rosemont-Est 34% ± 7% LPC 31% ± 7%▼ BQ 21% ± 6% NDP 8% ± 4%▲ CPC 4% ± 3% GPC LPC 2021 38.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 9, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Hochelaga—Rosemont-Est 69%▲ LPC 31%▼ BQ <1% NDP Odds of winning | June 9, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Hochelaga—Rosemont-Est

LPC 34% ± 7% CPC 8% ± 4% NDP 21% ± 6% GPC 4% ± 3% BQ 31% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Hochelaga—Rosemont-Est 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ June 9, 2024

Odds of winning | Hochelaga—Rosemont-Est

LPC 69% NDP <1% BQ 31% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC NDP BQ June 9, 2024

Recent electoral history | Hochelaga—Rosemont-Est



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 34.2% 38.4% 34% ± 7% BQ 33.2% 31.4% 31% ± 7% NDP 21.5% 20.3% 21% ± 6% CPC 4.5% 4.7% 8% ± 4% PPC 0.7% 2.3% 1% ± 2% GPC 4.9% 2.0% 4% ± 3%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.