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Canada

Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles



Latest projection: April 18, 2025
CPC safe

Candidates | Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles


Liberal Louis Bellemare
Conservative Pierre Paul-Hus*
NDP Dominique Harrisson
Bloc Quebecois Bladimir Labonite Infante
PPC Paul Cyr
Independent Danick Bisson

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.


Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles 51% ± 8% CPC 27% ± 6% LPC 15% ± 5% BQ 3% ± 3% NDP CPC 2021 45.0% 338Canada vote projection | April 18, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% BQ Odds of winning | April 18, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles

LPC 27% ± 6% CPC 51% ± 8% NDP 3% ± 3% BQ 15% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP BQ April 18, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 52% BQ 21% LPC 16% NDP 5% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 51% BQ 21% LPC 17% NDP 5% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 51% BQ 20% LPC 19% NDP 5% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 51% BQ 20% LPC 19% NDP 5% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 51% BQ 20% LPC 19% NDP 5% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 50% BQ 20% LPC 19% NDP 5% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 50% BQ 20% LPC 19% NDP 5% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 50% BQ 21% LPC 19% NDP 5% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 49% LPC 21% BQ 20% NDP 4% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 48% LPC 21% BQ 20% NDP 4% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 49% LPC 22% BQ 20% NDP 4% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 50% LPC 22% BQ 19% NDP 4% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 50% LPC 22% BQ 19% NDP 4% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 50% LPC 22% BQ 18% NDP 3% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 51% LPC 22% BQ 18% NDP 3% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 52% LPC 23% BQ 17% NDP 3% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 52% LPC 23% BQ 16% NDP 3% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 52% LPC 24% BQ 16% NDP 3% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 52% LPC 24% BQ 16% NDP 3% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 52% LPC 24% BQ 16% NDP 3% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 53% LPC 24% BQ 15% NDP 3% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 54% LPC 24% BQ 15% NDP 3% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 54% LPC 24% BQ 15% NDP 3% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 54% LPC 23% BQ 15% NDP 3% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 55% LPC 24% BQ 15% NDP 3% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 56% LPC 23% BQ 15% NDP 3% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 56% LPC 23% BQ 14% NDP 3% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 56% LPC 23% BQ 14% NDP 3% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 57% LPC 22% BQ 14% NDP 3% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 55% LPC 24% BQ 14% NDP 3% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 53% LPC 26% BQ 14% NDP 3% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 51% LPC 27% BQ 15% NDP 3% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 51% LPC 27% BQ 15% NDP 3% 2025-04-18 ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 18, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-18 ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles



2019 2021 Proj. CPC 38.4% 45.0% 51% ± 8% LPC 21.3% 19.7% 27% ± 6% BQ 27.0% 24.6% 15% ± 5% NDP 7.5% 5.9% 3% ± 3% PPC 2.3% 2.2% 2% ± 2% GPC 3.4% 1.7% 0% ± 0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.