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Canada

Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles



Latest projection: March 27, 2025
CPC safe
Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles 49% ± 8%▲ CPC 22% ± 6%▲ LPC 20% ± 5% BQ 4% ± 3% NDP 3% ± 3%▼ GPC CPC 2021 45.0% 338Canada vote projection | March 27, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% BQ Odds of winning | March 27, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles

LPC 22% ± 6% CPC 49% ± 8% NDP 4% ± 3% GPC 3% ± 3% BQ 20% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ March 27, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 52% BQ 21% LPC 16% NDP 5% GPC 3% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 51% BQ 21% LPC 17% NDP 5% GPC 3% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 51% BQ 20% LPC 19% NDP 5% GPC 3% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 51% BQ 20% LPC 19% NDP 5% GPC 3% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 51% BQ 20% LPC 19% NDP 5% GPC 3% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 50% BQ 20% LPC 19% NDP 5% GPC 3% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 50% BQ 20% LPC 19% NDP 5% GPC 4% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 50% BQ 21% LPC 19% NDP 5% GPC 4% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 49% LPC 21% BQ 20% NDP 4% GPC 4% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 48% LPC 21% BQ 20% NDP 4% GPC 4% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 49% LPC 22% BQ 20% NDP 4% GPC 3% 2025-03-27 ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP March 27, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-27 ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles



2019 2021 Proj. CPC 38.4% 45.0% 49% ± 8% LPC 21.3% 19.7% 22% ± 6% BQ 27.0% 24.6% 20% ± 5% NDP 7.5% 5.9% 4% ± 3% GPC 3.4% 1.7% 3% ± 3% PPC 2.3% 2.2% 2% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.