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Welcome to 338Canada Montreal!


338Canada is a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, electoral history, and demographic data.

This website is the creation of Philippe J. Fournier, physics and astrophysics professor at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal.

Philippe J. Fournier is a political columnist for L’actualité, as well as a regular contributor to Politico Canada and The Walrus.

He also appears as a panelist on CPAC, CTV Montreal, Noovo, and Radio-Canada. He co-hosts the podcasts The Numbers and Les chiffres with Éric Grenier.

Subscribe to the 338Canada newsletter to stay updated — and enjoy the website!



2025 Montréal mayoral polls


Montreal polls
Martinez Rabouin Sauvé Thibodeau Kacou Indécis Leader
2025-10-07, n=1,002
26
18
5
8
3
37
Martinez +8
2025-09-28, n=500
21
12
8
7
2
42
Martinez +9
2025-09-18, n=500
20
11
6
5
2
48
Martinez +9