338Canada | Red Deer–Lacombe (Alberta federal district)




48030 - Red Deer–Lacombe

Province: Alberta
Population (2016): 128,785 residents
Population density: 20.7 pop./km² (rank: 245 of 338)
Median household income: $84 769 (rank: 76 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Blaine Calkins (CPC)



Latest projection (September 20, 2021)

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2021 Candidates | Red Deer–Lacombe


David Ondieki
Blaine Calkins
Tanya Heyden-Kaye
Megan Lim
Harry Joujan
Matthew Watson (Ltn.)
Joan Barnes





Federal vote projection | Red Deer–Lacombe

Last update: September 20, 2021







Odds of winning | Red Deer–Lacombe

Last update: September 20, 2021






Electoral history of Red Deer–Lacombe



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Red Deer–Lacombe



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Red Deer–Lacombe


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
62.9% ± 8.3% 79.8% Outside confidence interval
15.8% ± 5.7% 8.9% Outside confidence interval
8.9% ± 3.6% 5.2% Outside confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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