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Canada

North Vancouver—Capilano



Latest projection: January 19, 2025
CPC likely
North Vancouver—Capilano 47% ± 8%▲ CPC 32% ± 7%▲ LPC 16% ± 5% NDP 5% ± 4% GPC LPC 2021 44.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | January 19, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% North Vancouver—Capilano 99%▼ CPC 1%▲ LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | January 19, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Recent electoral history | North Vancouver—Capilano



2019 2021 Proj. CPC 28.3% 29.4% 47% ± 8% LPC 42.8% 44.7% 32% ± 7% NDP 15.3% 19.1% 16% ± 5% GPC 12.2% 4.3% 5% ± 4% PPC 1.4% 2.6% 1% ± 1%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.