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Recent electoral history | Saskatoon—University


2019 2021 2025 Projection CPC 44% ± 7% 52.1% 47.9% 48.9% LPC 43% ± 7% 13.1% 10.9% 41.4% NDP 10% ± 5% 29.7% 35.4% 8.5% PPC 1% ± 1% 1.4% 4.2% 0.7%

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338Canada Saskatoon—University projection

Latest update: February 1, 2026

Saskatoon—University 37% 51% 44% ± 7% CPC 36% 51% 43% ± 7% LPC 5% 14% 10% ± 5% NDP CPC 2025 48.9% 338Canada vote projection | February 1, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Saskatoon—University 54%▼ CPC 46%▲ LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | February 1, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

Popular vote projection | Saskatoon—University

LPC 43% ± 7% CPC 44% ± 7% NDP 10% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Saskatoon—University 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC February 1, 2026 2025-04-26 CPC 47% LPC 35% NDP 16% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 47% LPC 35% NDP 16% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 46% LPC 36% NDP 15% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 49% LPC 41% NDP 8% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 49% LPC 41% NDP 9% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 49% LPC 41% NDP 8% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 49% LPC 41% NDP 9% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 49% LPC 41% NDP 9% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 49% LPC 41% NDP 9% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 CPC 49% LPC 41% NDP 9% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 CPC 47% LPC 42% NDP 9% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 CPC 46% LPC 44% NDP 9% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 LPC 45% CPC 45% NDP 9% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 CPC 45% LPC 44% NDP 10% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 CPC 45% LPC 44% NDP 10% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 CPC 44% LPC 44% NDP 10% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 CPC 44% LPC 44% NDP 11% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 CPC 44% LPC 43% NDP 11% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 CPC 44% LPC 43% NDP 12% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 CPC 45% LPC 42% NDP 12% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 CPC 45% LPC 42% NDP 12% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 CPC 46% LPC 40% NDP 12% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 CPC 46% LPC 41% NDP 11% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 CPC 45% LPC 42% NDP 11% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 CPC 46% LPC 41% NDP 11% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 CPC 46% LPC 41% NDP 11% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 CPC 47% LPC 41% NDP 11% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 CPC 46% LPC 41% NDP 11% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 CPC 46% LPC 41% NDP 12% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 CPC 46% LPC 40% NDP 12% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 CPC 45% LPC 41% NDP 12% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 CPC 45% LPC 41% NDP 12% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 CPC 45% LPC 41% NDP 12% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 CPC 45% LPC 41% NDP 12% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 CPC 45% LPC 41% NDP 12% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 CPC 47% LPC 40% NDP 12% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 CPC 46% LPC 41% NDP 12% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 CPC 45% LPC 40% NDP 12% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 CPC 45% LPC 40% NDP 12% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 CPC 45% LPC 40% NDP 12% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 CPC 44% LPC 41% NDP 12% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 CPC 43% LPC 42% NDP 12% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 CPC 44% LPC 43% NDP 10% 2026-02-01

Odds of winning | Saskatoon—University

LPC 46% CPC 54% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP February 1, 2026 2025-04-26 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 93% LPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 90% LPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 85% LPC 15% NDP <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 85% LPC 15% NDP <1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 CPC 85% LPC 15% NDP <1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 CPC 75% LPC 25% NDP <1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 CPC 63% LPC 37% NDP <1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 LPC 51% CPC 49% NDP <1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 CPC 54% LPC 46% NDP <1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 CPC 54% LPC 46% NDP <1% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 CPC 54% LPC 46% NDP <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 CPC 54% LPC 46% NDP <1% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 CPC 59% LPC 41% NDP <1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 CPC 59% LPC 41% NDP <1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 CPC 70% LPC 30% NDP <1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 CPC 70% LPC 30% NDP <1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 CPC 82% LPC 18% NDP <1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 CPC 74% LPC 26% NDP <1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 CPC 67% LPC 33% NDP <1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 CPC 78% LPC 22% NDP <1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 CPC 78% LPC 22% NDP <1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 CPC 82% LPC 18% NDP <1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 CPC 83% LPC 17% NDP <1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 CPC 82% LPC 18% NDP <1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 CPC 83% LPC 17% NDP <1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 CPC 76% LPC 24% NDP <1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 CPC 71% LPC 29% NDP <1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 CPC 74% LPC 26% NDP <1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 CPC 72% LPC 28% NDP <1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 CPC 73% LPC 27% NDP <1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 CPC 84% LPC 16% NDP <1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 CPC 78% LPC 22% NDP <1% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 CPC 81% LPC 19% NDP <1% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 CPC 81% LPC 19% NDP <1% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 CPC 77% LPC 23% NDP <1% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 CPC 73% LPC 27% NDP <1% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 CPC 59% LPC 41% NDP <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 CPC 54% LPC 46% NDP <1% 2026-02-01


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Demographic data | Saskatoon—University

Canadian Census, 2021
Language most spoken at home 88.4% English 2.2% Mandarin 1.1% Tagalog 1.0% Urdu 0.8% Punjabi 0.8% Gujarati 0.7% ArabicSaskatoon—UniversitySource: 2021 Canadian Census. Language spoken most often at home (single responses only).
Language spoken most often at home refers to the language the person speaks most often at home at the time of data collection. For a person who lives alone, the language spoken most often at home is the language in which they feel most comfortable. For a child who has not yet learned to speak, this is the language spoken most often to the child at home.
Education 4.4% No diploma 22.7% High school 7.9% Trade 17.6% College / Cégep 3.1% Some university 28.5% Bachelor's 15.8% PostgraduateSaskatoon—UniversitySource: 2021 Canadian Census. Highest certificate/diploma/degree for population aged 25 to 64 years.
Education information of Canadian population in private households only (population aged 25-64 years old).

Visible minorities 77.0% Not visible minority 23.0% Visible minority 7.5% South Asian 4.3% Chinese 3.3% Filipino 3.0% Black 1.6% Arab 0.9% Latin AmericanSaskatoon—UniversitySource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect visible minority populations in private households.
Visible minority refers to whether a person is a visible minority or not, as defined by the Employment Equity Act. The Employment Equity Act defines visible minorities as "persons, other than Aboriginal peoples, who are non-Caucasian in race or non-white in colour".
Religion / Spirituality 38.0% No Religion 24.3% Catholic 8.0% Christian (n.o.s.) 5.4% United Church 4.5% Muslim 2.9% Lutheran 2.6% Hindu 2.4% Other ChristianSaskatoon—UniversitySource: 2021 Canadian Census. Self-identified connection to/affiliation with religious denomination.
Religious groups shown are the most commonly reported responses in each riding. Christian subgroups are listed separately when among the top responses. (The label “Christian n.o.s.” means that the Christian denomination was not identified by the respondent.)

Tenure status 66.1% Owner 33.9% RenterSaskatoon—UniversitySource: 2021 Canadian Census. Tenure status of residents.
Tenure refers to whether the household owns or rents their private dwelling. The private dwelling may be situated on rented or leased land or be part of a condominium. (Note: Community housing refers to dwellings provided by a First Nation, band, or local government.)
Labour force 64.1% Employed 30.2% Not in labour force 5.7% UnemployedSaskatoon—UniversitySource: 2021 Canadian Census. Labour force status, population aged 15 years and over.
Employed here means active part of labour force (including employees and self-employed). Population outside of labour force includes retirees, full-time students, caregives, and people with disabilities.

Indigenous identity 91.3% Non-Indigenous 8.7% Indigenous identity 4.4% Metis 4.0% First Nations 0.1% Multiple 0.1% OthersSaskatoon—UniversitySource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect self-identification with Indigenous peoples of Canada.
Indigenous identity refers to whether the person identified with the Indigenous peoples of Canada. This includes those who identify as First Nations (North American Indian), Métis and/or Inuk (Inuit), and/or those who report being Registered or Treaty Indians (that is, registered under the Indian Act of Canada), and/or those who have membership in a First Nation or Indian band.
Mode of commuting 89.0% Car / truck / van 4.4% Walking 2.7% Public transit 2.1% Other 1.7% BicycleSaskatoon—UniversitySource: 2021 Canadian Census. Main mode of commuting for employed labour force.
The census assumes that the commute to work originates from the usual place of residence, but this may not always be the case.