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Canada

Saskatoon—University


MP elect: Corey Tochor (CPC)

Latest projection: April 30, 2025
CPC likely

Candidates | Saskatoon—University


Liberal Greg Poelzer
Conservative Corey Tochor*
NDP Melissa McGillivray
Green Isaiah Hunter
PPC Jaxson Boot

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Saskatoon—University 49% ± 0%▲ CPC 41% ± 0%▲ LPC 8% ± 0%▼ NDP CPC 2025 49.0% 338Canada vote projection | April 30, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Saskatoon—University 95%▲ CPC 5%▼ LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 30, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Saskatoon—University

LPC 41% ± 0% CPC 49% ± 0% NDP 8% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Saskatoon—University 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 53% NDP 27% LPC 15% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 51% NDP 26% LPC 17% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 52% LPC 22% NDP 21% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 51% LPC 23% NDP 21% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 51% LPC 23% NDP 21% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 51% LPC 23% NDP 21% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 51% LPC 23% NDP 21% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 52% LPC 23% NDP 21% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 52% LPC 25% NDP 18% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 52% LPC 25% NDP 18% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 52% LPC 25% NDP 18% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 52% LPC 25% NDP 19% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 52% LPC 26% NDP 19% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 51% LPC 26% NDP 19% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 51% LPC 26% NDP 19% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 52% LPC 26% NDP 19% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 51% LPC 30% NDP 17% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 50% LPC 30% NDP 17% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 50% LPC 30% NDP 17% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 50% LPC 30% NDP 16% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 49% LPC 31% NDP 17% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 49% LPC 31% NDP 17% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 50% LPC 31% NDP 16% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 48% LPC 33% NDP 16% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 48% LPC 34% NDP 16% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 48% LPC 34% NDP 16% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 47% LPC 34% NDP 16% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 48% LPC 34% NDP 16% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 48% LPC 33% NDP 15% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 48% LPC 33% NDP 15% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 49% LPC 33% NDP 15% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 48% LPC 33% NDP 16% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 48% LPC 34% NDP 16% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC 48% LPC 33% NDP 16% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC 47% LPC 34% NDP 16% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC 47% LPC 35% NDP 16% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC 47% LPC 34% NDP 16% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC 47% LPC 34% NDP 16% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC 47% LPC 35% NDP 16% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC 47% LPC 35% NDP 16% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC 47% LPC 35% NDP 16% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 47% LPC 35% NDP 16% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 46% LPC 36% NDP 15% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 49% LPC 41% NDP 8% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Saskatoon—University

LPC 5% CPC 95% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Saskatoon—University



2019 2021 2025 Proj. CPC 49% ± 0% 52.1% 47.9% 49.0% LPC 41% ± 0% 13.1% 10.9% 41.2% NDP 8% ± 0% 29.7% 35.4% 8.5% PPC 1% ± 0% 1.4% 4.2% 0.7% GPC 1% ± 0% 3.0% 1.0% 0.6%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.