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Canada

Vancouver Quadra


MP elect: Wade Grant (LPC)

Latest projection: May 25, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | Vancouver Quadra


Liberal Wade Grant
Conservative Ken Charko
NDP Alim Fakirani
Green Tom Digby
PPC John Ede

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.


Vancouver Quadra 63% ± 6% LPC 30% ± 6% CPC 4% ± 2% NDP LPC 2025 63.2% 338Canada vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Vancouver Quadra >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | May 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Vancouver Quadra

LPC 63% ± 6% CPC 30% ± 6% NDP 4% ± 2% Popular vote projection % | Vancouver Quadra 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 45% LPC 30% NDP 17% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 46% LPC 31% NDP 16% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 45% LPC 31% NDP 16% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 44% LPC 33% NDP 16% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 42% LPC 36% NDP 15% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 40% LPC 39% NDP 14% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 42% CPC 38% NDP 13% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 45% CPC 35% NDP 13% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 46% CPC 34% NDP 13% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 47% CPC 35% NDP 11% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 52% CPC 34% NDP 7% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 53% CPC 34% NDP 7% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 54% CPC 34% NDP 7% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 54% CPC 34% NDP 7% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 54% CPC 33% NDP 7% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 55% CPC 33% NDP 7% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 57% CPC 32% NDP 6% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 57% CPC 32% NDP 6% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 57% CPC 32% NDP 6% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 5% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 58% CPC 32% NDP 5% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 58% CPC 32% NDP 5% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 58% CPC 32% NDP 5% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 60% CPC 31% NDP 5% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 61% CPC 31% NDP 5% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 62% CPC 30% NDP 4% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 62% CPC 30% NDP 4% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 62% CPC 30% NDP 4% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 61% CPC 31% NDP 5% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 61% CPC 31% NDP 5% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 61% CPC 31% NDP 4% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 62% CPC 30% NDP 4% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 63% CPC 30% NDP 4% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 62% CPC 30% NDP 5% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 61% CPC 30% NDP 5% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 62% CPC 30% NDP 5% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 62% CPC 30% NDP 5% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 61% CPC 30% NDP 5% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 61% CPC 31% NDP 5% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 61% CPC 31% NDP 5% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 61% CPC 30% NDP 5% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 61% CPC 31% NDP 5% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 61% CPC 31% NDP 5% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 61% CPC 31% NDP 5% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 61% CPC 31% NDP 5% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 62% CPC 30% NDP 5% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 62% CPC 30% NDP 5% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 62% CPC 30% NDP 4% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 62% CPC 30% NDP 4% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 63% CPC 30% NDP 4% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 64% CPC 30% NDP 4% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 63% CPC 30% NDP 4% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 63% CPC 30% NDP 4% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 63% CPC 30% NDP 4% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 63% CPC 30% NDP 4% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Vancouver Quadra

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 84% LPC 16% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 52% LPC 48% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 71% CPC 29% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Vancouver Quadra



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 63% ± 6% 42.8% 43.4% 63.2% CPC 30% ± 6% 28.2% 29.2% 30.4% NDP 4% ± 2% 14.9% 19.4% 4.3% GPC 2% ± 2% 12.1% 6.0% 1.8% PPC 0% ± 1% 0.8% 2.0% 0.3%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.