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Canada


Vaughan–Woodbridge (federal)


MP: Francesco Sorbara (LPC)


Latest projection: April 14, 2024

CPC safe gain
Vaughan–Woodbridge 51% ± 7% 36% ± 7%▲ 7% ± 3% 3% ± 3% 3% ± 3% LPC 2021 45.98% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 14, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Vaughan–Woodbridge >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | April 14, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Vaughan–Woodbridge

LPC 36% ± 7% CPC 51% ± 7% NDP 7% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Vaughan–Woodbridge 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 LPC CPC NDP

Odds of winning | Vaughan–Woodbridge

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Vaughan–Woodbridge



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 48.7% 51.3% 45.98% 36% ± 7% CPC 43.9% 36.3% 40.35% 51% ± 7% NDP 4.6% 7.8% 6.93% 7% ± 3% PPC 0.0% 1.7% 5.45% 3% ± 3% GPC 1.3% 2.6% 0.96% 3% ± 3% IND 0.0% 0.3% 0.34% 0% ± 0%