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Canada

Green Party of Canada



Latest update: May 18, 2025

LeaderElizabeth May
National popular vote in 20251.3%
Current vote projection1.2% ± 0.2%
Current number of MPsTBD
Current seat projection1 [1-2]

Seat projection Popular vote projection | May 18, 2025 10 5 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% Vote efficiency | GPC 338Canada 2.1 seat/% 1 [1-2] 1% ± 0% 2019 2021
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.


× × ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ × × × × × × × ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ × × ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × GPC 1 [1-2] May 18, 2025 ✓ Projected net gain × Projected net loss Pale square = Toss up NL 0/7 PEI 0/4 NS 0/11 NB 0/10 QC 0/78 ON 0/122 MB 0/14 SK 0/14 AB 0/37 BC 1/43 YT NWT NU
Projected gains and losses compared to 2021 results transposed onto new map.

Popular vote projection | May 18, 2025

1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 55% 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% Min. 1.1% ▼ 1.2% ± 0.2% ▼ Max. 1.4% ▼ 2021 2.3% Probabilities % GPC May 18, 2025

Seat projection | May 18, 2025

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 65% 60% 55% 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% Min. 1 ▼ 1 ▼ Max. 2 ▼ 2021 2 seats Probabilities % GPC May 18, 2025

Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Green Party of Canada



Rank Electoral districts Province 2025 winner Last projection Odds of winning
1. Saanich—Gulf Islands GPC likely 97%
2. Kitchener Centre Toss up CPC/GPC 41%