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Green Party of Canada

Latest update: February 1, 2026
LeaderElizabeth May
National popular vote in 20251.2%
Current vote projection2.8% ± 1.4%
Current number of MPs1
Current seat projection2 [1-2]

Infolettre Qc125

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Seat projection Popular vote projection | February 1, 2026 10 5 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% Vote efficiency | GPC 338Canada 0.4 seat/% 2 [1-2] 3% ± 1% 2019 2021 2025
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.

✓ ✓ ✓ × × ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ × × × × × × × × × × × × × ✓ ✓ ✓ GPC 2 [1-2] February 1, 2026 ✓ Projected net gain × Projected net loss Pale square = Toss up NL 0/7 PEI 0/4 NS 0/11 NB 0/10 QC 0/78 ON 1/122 MB 0/14 SK 0/14 AB 0/37 BC 1/43 YT NWT NU
Projected gains and losses compared to 2025 results.

Vote projection | February 1, 2026

0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 2025 1.2% Min. 1.4% ▼ 2.8% ± 1.4% ▼ Max. 4.2% ▼ Probabilities % GPC February 1, 2026

Seat projection | February 1, 2026

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Min. 1 ▼ 2021 1 seats Max. 2 ▼ 2 ▼ Probabilities % GPC February 1, 2026

List of favourable electoral districts | Green Party of Canada



Districts and MPs Current party Projection
1.
Saanich—Gulf Islands
Elizabeth May
 G GPC likely
2.
Kitchener Centre
Kelly DeRidder
 C Toss up CPC/GPC
3.
Nanaimo—Ladysmith
Tamara Kronis
 C CPC likely