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Canada

Green Party of Canada



Latest update: February 25, 2024

LeaderÉlizabeth May &
Jonathan Pedneault
National popular vote in 20212.3%
Current vote projection4.6% ± 1.4%
Current number of MP's2
Current seat projection2 [2-2]

Seat projection Popular vote projection | February 25, 2024 10 5 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% Vote efficiency | GPC 338Canada ©2023 0.1 seat/% 2 [2-2] 5% ± 1% 2019 2021
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.


× × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × GPC 2 [2-2] February 25, 2024 ✓ Projected net gain × Projected net loss Pale square = Toss up NL 0/7 PEI 0/4 NS 0/11 NB 0/10 QC 0/78 ON 1/121 MB 0/14 SK 0/14 AB 0/34 BC 1/42 YK NWT NU

Popular vote projection | February 25, 2024

2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 2021 2.3% Min. 3.2% 4.6% ± 1.4% Max. 6.0% Probabilities % GPC

Seat projection | February 25, 2024

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Min. 2 Max. 2 2021 2 seats 2 Probabilities % GPC

Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Green Party of Canada



Rank Electoral districts Province Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Saanich–Gulf Islands GPC safe hold >99%
2. Kitchener Centre GPC likely hold 98%
3. Nanaimo–Ladysmith CPC likely gain 2%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. Saanich–Gulf Islands GPC safe hold
2. Kitchener Centre GPC likely hold
3. Nanaimo–Ladysmith CPC likely gain