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Canada

Green Party of Canada



Latest update: November 16, 2025

LeaderElizabeth May
National popular vote in 20251.2%
Current vote projection1.5% ± 0.6%
Current number of MPs1
Current seat projection2 [1-3]

Seat projection Popular vote projection | November 16, 2025 10 5 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% Vote efficiency | GPC 338Canada 1.1 seat/% 2 [1-3] 2% ± 1% 2019 2021 2025
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.


✓ ✓ ✓ × × × ✓ × × × × × ✓ GPC 2 [1-3] November 16, 2025 ✓ Projected net gain × Projected net loss Pale square = Toss up NL 0/7 PEI 0/4 NS 0/11 NB 0/10 QC 0/78 ON 1/122 MB 0/14 SK 0/14 AB 0/37 BC 1/43 YT NWT NU
Projected gains and losses compared to 2025 results.

Popular vote projection | November 16, 2025

0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% Min. 0.9% ▼ 2025 1.2% 1.5% ± 0.6% ▼ Max. 2.1% ▼ Probabilities % GPC November 16, 2025

Seat projection | November 16, 2025

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Min. 1 ▼ 2021 1 seats 2 ▼ Max. 3 ▼ Probabilities % GPC November 16, 2025

Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Green Party of Canada



Rank Electoral districts Province 2025 winner Last projection Odds of winning
1. Saanich—Gulf Islands GPC likely 94%
2. Kitchener Centre Toss up CPC/GPC 69%