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Canada

Green Party of Canada



Latest update: June 15, 2025

LeaderElizabeth May
National popular vote in 20251.2%
Current vote projection1.2% ± 0.6%
Current number of MPs1
Current seat projection2 [0-2]

Seat projection Popular vote projection | June 15, 2025 10 5 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% Vote efficiency | GPC 338Canada 1.5 seat/% 2 [0-2] 1% ± 1% 2019 2021
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.


✓ ✓ ✓ × ✓ × × × × × × × × ✓ ✓ ✓ GPC 2 [0-2] June 15, 2025 ✓ Projected net gain × Projected net loss Pale square = Toss up NL 0/7 PEI 0/4 NS 0/11 NB 0/10 QC 0/78 ON 1/122 MB 0/14 SK 0/14 AB 0/37 BC 1/43 YT NWT NU
Projected gains and losses compared to 2025 results.

Popular vote projection | June 15, 2025

0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 55% 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% Min. 0.7% ▼ 2025 1.2% 1.2% ± 0.6% ▼ Max. 1.8% ▼ Probabilities % GPC June 15, 2025

Seat projection | June 15, 2025

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 55% 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% Min. 0 ▼ Max. 2 ▼ 2021 2 seats 2 ▼ Probabilities % GPC June 15, 2025

Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Green Party of Canada



Rank Electoral districts Province 2025 winner Last projection Odds of winning
1. Saanich—Gulf Islands GPC likely 90%
2. Kitchener Centre Toss up CPC/GPC 50%