logo
logo
Canada

Green Party of Canada



Latest update: February 16, 2025

LeaderElizabeth May
National popular vote in 20212.3%
Current vote projection3.8% ± 1.9%
Current number of MPsTBD
Current seat projection2 [0-3]

Seat projection Popular vote projection | February 16, 2025 10 5 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% Vote efficiency | GPC 338Canada 0.4 seat/% 2 [0-3] 4% ± 2% 2019 2021
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.


× × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ × × × × × × × × × × × × × GPC 2 [0-3] February 16, 2025 ✓ Projected net gain × Projected net loss Pale square = Toss up NL 0/7 PEI 0/4 NS 0/11 NB 0/10 QC 0/78 ON 1/122 MB 0/14 SK 0/14 AB 0/37 BC 1/43 YK NWT NU
Projected gains and losses compared to 2021 results transposed onto new map.

Popular vote projection | February 16, 2025

0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% Min. 1.9% ▼ 2021 2.3% 3.8% ± 1.9% ▼ Max. 5.6% ▼ Probabilities % GPC February 16, 2025

Seat projection | February 16, 2025

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Min. 0 ▼ 2021 2 seats 2 ▼ Max. 3 ▼ Probabilities % GPC February 16, 2025

Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Green Party of Canada



Rank Electoral districts Province Transposed
2021 winner		 Last projection Odds of winning
1. Kitchener Centre GPC leaning 89%
2. Saanich—Gulf Islands Toss up CPC/GPC 70%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. Kitchener Centre GPC leaning
2. Saanich—Gulf Islands Toss up CPC/GPC