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Canada

Green Party of Canada



Latest update: October 1, 2023

LeaderÉlizabeth May &
Jonathan Pedneault
National popular vote in 20212.3%
Current vote projection4.3% ± 1.3%
Current number of MP's2
Current seat projection2 [1-3]

Seat projection Popular vote projection | October 1, 2023 10 5 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% Vote efficiency | GPC 338Canada ©2023 0.2 seat/% 2 [1-3] 4% ± 1% 2019 2021 Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.


× × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ × × × × × × × GPC 2 [1-3] October 1, 2023 ✓ Projected net gain × Projected net loss Pale square = Toss up NL 0/7 PEI 0/4 NS 0/11 NB 0/10 QC 0/78 ON 1/121 MB 0/14 SK 0/14 AB 0/34 BC 1/42 YK NWT NU

Popular vote projection | October 1, 2023

1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 2021 2.3% Min. 3.0% ▼ 4.3% ± 1.3% ▼ Max. 5.6% ▼ Probabilities % GPC

Seat projection | October 1, 2023

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Min. 1 ▼ 2021 2 seats 2 ▼ Max. 3 ▼ Probabilities % GPC

Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Green Party of Canada



Rank Electoral districts Province Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Saanich–Gulf Islands GPC safe hold >99%
2. Kitchener Centre GPC likely hold 95%
3. Nanaimo–Ladysmith CPC leaning gain 11%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. Saanich–Gulf Islands GPC safe hold
2. Kitchener Centre GPC likely hold
3. Nanaimo–Ladysmith CPC leaning gain