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Canada

Green Party of Canada



Latest update: September 8, 2024

LeaderÉlizabeth May &
Jonathan Pedneault
National popular vote in 20212.3%
Current vote projection4.1% ± 1.7%
Current number of MPsTBD
Current seat projection2 [1-3]

Seat projection Popular vote projection | September 8, 2024 10 5 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% Vote efficiency | GPC 338Canada ©2023 0.1 seat/% 2 [1-3] 4% ± 2% 2019 2021
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.


× × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ × × × × × × × × × ✓ GPC 2 [1-3] September 8, 2024 ✓ Projected net gain × Projected net loss Pale square = Toss up NL 0/7 PEI 0/4 NS 0/11 NB 0/10 QC 0/78 ON 1/122 MB 0/14 SK 0/14 AB 0/37 BC 1/43 YK NWT NU
Projected gains and losses compared to 2021 results transposed onto new map.

Popular vote projection | September 8, 2024

0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 20% 15% 10% 5% Min. 2.4% ▼ 2021 2.3% 4.1% ± 1.7% ▼ Max. 5.9% ▼ Probabilities % GPC

Seat projection | September 8, 2024

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Min. 1 ▼ 2021 2 seats 2 ▼ Max. 3 ▼ Probabilities % GPC September 8, 2024

Ranked list of favourable electoral districts | Green Party of Canada



Rank Electoral districts Province Transposed
2021 winner		 Last projection Odds of winning
1. Kitchener Centre GPC likely 98%
2. Saanich—Gulf Islands GPC likely 95%
3. Nanaimo—Ladysmith CPC likely 2%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. Kitchener Centre GPC likely
2. Saanich—Gulf Islands GPC likely
3. Nanaimo—Ladysmith CPC likely