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Canada

Abbotsford—South Langley


MP elect: Sukhman Singh Gill (CPC)

Latest projection: April 30, 2025
CPC likely

Candidates | Abbotsford—South Langley


Liberal Kevin Gillies
Conservative Sukhman Singh Gill
NDP Dharmasena Yakandawela
Green Melissa Snazell
PPC Aeriol Alderking
Independent Mike de Jong

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Abbotsford—South Langley 43% ± 0%▲ CPC 34% ± 0%▼ LPC 17% ± 0%▲ IND 4% ± 0% NDP CPC 2025 43.1% 338Canada vote projection | April 30, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Abbotsford—South Langley 99%▲ CPC 1%▼ LPC <1% INDOdds of winning | April 30, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Abbotsford—South Langley

LPC 34% ± 0% CPC 43% ± 0% NDP 4% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Abbotsford—South Langley 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 50% LPC 29% NDP 14% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 50% LPC 30% NDP 12% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 50% LPC 35% NDP 8% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 50% LPC 36% NDP 8% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 50% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 50% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 49% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 49% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 48% LPC 40% NDP 6% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 48% LPC 40% NDP 6% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 48% LPC 40% NDP 6% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 48% LPC 40% NDP 6% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 47% LPC 41% NDP 6% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 47% LPC 42% NDP 6% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 48% LPC 42% NDP 6% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 47% LPC 43% NDP 5% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 46% LPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 46% LPC 45% NDP 5% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 46% LPC 45% NDP 5% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 46% LPC 45% NDP 5% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 47% LPC 45% NDP 5% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 47% LPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 47% LPC 45% NDP 5% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 46% LPC 45% NDP 5% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 46% CPC 45% NDP 5% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 45% LPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 41% LPC 41% NDP 5% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 41% LPC 41% NDP 5% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 41% LPC 41% NDP 5% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 42% LPC 41% NDP 5% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 42% LPC 41% NDP 5% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 40% CPC 40% NDP 5% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 41% CPC 40% NDP 4% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 41% CPC 40% NDP 4% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 40% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 40% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 40% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 40% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 40% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 40% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 41% CPC 39% NDP 4% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 40% CPC 40% NDP 4% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 40% CPC 39% NDP 4% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 43% LPC 34% NDP 4% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Abbotsford—South Langley

LPC 1% CPC 99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 87% LPC 13% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 87% LPC 13% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 86% LPC 14% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 87% LPC 13% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 81% LPC 19% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 79% LPC 21% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 81% LPC 19% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 67% LPC 33% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 62% LPC 38% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 54% LPC 46% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 55% LPC 45% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 58% LPC 42% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 60% LPC 40% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 65% LPC 35% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 63% LPC 37% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 56% LPC 44% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 55% CPC 45% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 57% LPC 43% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 55% LPC 45% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 52% LPC 48% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 53% LPC 47% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 55% LPC 45% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 59% LPC 41% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 54% CPC 46% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 57% CPC 43% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 54% CPC 46% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 52% CPC 48% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 52% CPC 48% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 57% CPC 43% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 57% CPC 43% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 59% CPC 41% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 59% CPC 41% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 59% CPC 41% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 53% CPC 47% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 56% CPC 44% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Abbotsford—South Langley



2019 2021 2025 Proj. CPC 43% ± 0% 48.3% 45.6% 43.1% LPC 34% ± 0% 23.6% 26.0% 33.9% IND 17% ± 0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% NDP 4% ± 0% 17.6% 18.2% 3.8% GPC 1% ± 0% 7.6% 3.1% 1.0% PPC 1% ± 0% 2.2% 7.0% 0.8%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.