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Canada

Abbotsford—South Langley



Latest projection: April 14, 2025
Toss up LPC/CPC

Candidates | Abbotsford—South Langley


Liberal Kevin Gillies
Conservative Sukhman Singh Gill
NDP Dharmasena Yakandawela
Green Melissa Snazell
PPC Aeriol Alderking
Independent Mike de Jong

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Abbotsford—South Langley 41% ± 8% CPC 41% ± 8% LPC 5% ± 3% NDP CPC 2021 45.6% 338Canada vote projection | April 14, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Abbotsford—South Langley 53%▲ CPC 47%▼ LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 14, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Abbotsford—South Langley

LPC 41% ± 8% CPC 41% ± 8% NDP 5% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Abbotsford—South Langley 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 14, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 50% LPC 29% NDP 14% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 50% LPC 30% NDP 12% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 50% LPC 35% NDP 8% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 50% LPC 36% NDP 8% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 50% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 50% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 49% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 49% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 48% LPC 40% NDP 6% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 48% LPC 40% NDP 6% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 48% LPC 40% NDP 6% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 48% LPC 40% NDP 6% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 47% LPC 41% NDP 6% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 47% LPC 42% NDP 6% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 48% LPC 42% NDP 6% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 47% LPC 43% NDP 5% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 46% LPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 46% LPC 45% NDP 5% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 46% LPC 45% NDP 5% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 46% LPC 45% NDP 5% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 47% LPC 45% NDP 5% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 47% LPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 47% LPC 45% NDP 5% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 46% LPC 45% NDP 5% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 46% CPC 45% NDP 5% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 45% LPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 41% LPC 41% NDP 5% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 41% LPC 41% NDP 5% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 41% LPC 41% NDP 5% 2025-04-14 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Abbotsford—South Langley

LPC 47% CPC 53% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 14, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 87% LPC 13% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 87% LPC 13% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 86% LPC 14% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 87% LPC 13% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 81% LPC 19% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 79% LPC 21% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 81% LPC 19% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 67% LPC 33% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 62% LPC 38% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 54% LPC 46% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 55% LPC 45% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 58% LPC 42% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 60% LPC 40% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 65% LPC 35% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 63% LPC 37% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 56% LPC 44% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 55% CPC 45% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 57% LPC 43% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 55% LPC 45% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 52% LPC 48% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 53% LPC 47% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Abbotsford—South Langley



2019 2021 Proj. CPC 48.3% 45.6% 41% ± 8% LPC 23.6% 26.0% 41% ± 8% NDP 17.6% 18.2% 5% ± 3% GPC 7.6% 3.1% 2% ± 2% PPC 2.2% 7.0% 2% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.