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Canada

Abbotsford—South Langley


MP: Sukhman Singh Gill (CPC)

Latest projection: June 8, 2025
CPC likely

Recent electoral history | Abbotsford—South Langley


2019 2021 2025 Proj. CPC 43% ± 8% 48.3% 45.6% 43.1% LPC 34% ± 7% 23.6% 26.0% 33.9% IND 17% ± 7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% NDP 4% ± 3% 17.6% 18.2% 3.8% GPC 1% ± 1% 7.6% 3.1% 1.0% PPC 1% ± 1% 2.2% 7.0% 0.8%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.




338Canada projection for Abbotsford—Langley-Sud


Abbotsford—South Langley 43% ± 8% CPC 34% ± 7% LPC 17% ± 7% IND 4% ± 3% NDP CPC 2025 43.1% 338Canada vote projection | June 8, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Abbotsford—South Langley 95%▲ CPC 5%▼ LPC <1% INDOdds of winning | June 8, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Abbotsford—South Langley

LPC 34% ± 7% CPC 43% ± 8% NDP 4% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Abbotsford—South Langley 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP June 8, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 61% NDP 16% LPC 16% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 61% LPC 17% NDP 15% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 61% LPC 17% NDP 15% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 60% LPC 18% NDP 15% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 59% LPC 20% NDP 14% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 56% LPC 23% NDP 14% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC 55% LPC 25% NDP 13% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC 50% LPC 29% NDP 14% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC 50% LPC 29% NDP 14% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 50% LPC 30% NDP 12% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 50% LPC 35% NDP 8% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 50% LPC 36% NDP 8% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 50% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 50% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 49% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 49% LPC 37% NDP 8% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 48% LPC 40% NDP 6% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 48% LPC 40% NDP 6% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 48% LPC 40% NDP 6% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 48% LPC 40% NDP 6% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 47% LPC 41% NDP 6% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 47% LPC 42% NDP 6% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 48% LPC 42% NDP 6% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 47% LPC 43% NDP 5% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 46% LPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 46% LPC 45% NDP 5% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 46% LPC 45% NDP 5% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 46% LPC 45% NDP 5% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 47% LPC 45% NDP 5% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 47% LPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 47% LPC 45% NDP 5% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 46% LPC 45% NDP 5% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 46% CPC 45% NDP 5% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 45% LPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 41% LPC 41% NDP 5% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 41% LPC 41% NDP 5% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 41% LPC 41% NDP 5% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 42% LPC 41% NDP 5% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 42% LPC 41% NDP 5% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 40% CPC 40% NDP 5% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 41% CPC 40% NDP 4% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 41% CPC 40% NDP 4% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 40% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 40% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 40% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 40% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 40% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 40% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 41% CPC 39% NDP 4% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 40% CPC 40% NDP 4% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 40% CPC 39% NDP 4% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 43% LPC 34% NDP 4% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 43% LPC 34% NDP 4% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 43% LPC 34% NDP 4% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 43% LPC 34% NDP 4% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 43% LPC 34% NDP 4% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 43% LPC 34% NDP 4% 2025-06-08 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Abbotsford—South Langley

LPC 5% CPC 95% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP June 8, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 87% LPC 13% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 87% LPC 13% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 86% LPC 14% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 87% LPC 13% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 81% LPC 19% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 79% LPC 21% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 81% LPC 19% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 67% LPC 33% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 62% LPC 38% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 54% LPC 46% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 55% LPC 45% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 58% LPC 42% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 60% LPC 40% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 65% LPC 35% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 63% LPC 37% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 56% LPC 44% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 55% CPC 45% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 57% LPC 43% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 55% LPC 45% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 52% LPC 48% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 53% LPC 47% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 55% LPC 45% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 59% LPC 41% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 54% CPC 46% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 57% CPC 43% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 54% CPC 46% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 52% CPC 48% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 52% CPC 48% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 57% CPC 43% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 57% CPC 43% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 59% CPC 41% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 59% CPC 41% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 59% CPC 41% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 53% CPC 47% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 56% CPC 44% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-06-08 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader