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Canada

Long Range Mountains


MP: Carol Anstey (CPC)

Latest projection: July 6, 2025
Toss up LPC/CPC

Recent electoral history | Long Range Mountains


2019 2021 2025 Proj. CPC 47% ± 9% 28.3% 39.4% 50.3% LPC 46% ± 9% 47.4% 44.4% 42.8% NDP 5% ± 4% 19.8% 11.9% 4.4% PPC 1% ± 2% 0.0% 4.3% 1.2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.




338Canada projection for Long Range Mountains


Long Range Mountains 47% ± 9% CPC 46% ± 9% LPC 5% ± 4% NDP CPC 2025 50.3% 338Canada vote projection | July 6, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Long Range Mountains 57%▲ CPC 43%▼ LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | July 6, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Long Range Mountains

LPC 46% ± 9% CPC 47% ± 9% NDP 5% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Long Range Mountains 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP July 6, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 56% LPC 28% NDP 12% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 56% LPC 29% NDP 12% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 55% LPC 29% NDP 12% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 54% LPC 31% NDP 11% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 52% LPC 33% NDP 11% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 49% LPC 38% NDP 9% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC 47% LPC 40% NDP 9% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC 43% LPC 43% NDP 9% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 44% CPC 43% NDP 10% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 47% CPC 40% NDP 8% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 50% CPC 39% NDP 7% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 50% CPC 39% NDP 8% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 50% CPC 38% NDP 8% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 50% CPC 38% NDP 8% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 50% CPC 38% NDP 8% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 50% CPC 38% NDP 8% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 53% CPC 36% NDP 7% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 53% CPC 36% NDP 7% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 53% CPC 36% NDP 7% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 53% CPC 37% NDP 6% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 53% CPC 37% NDP 6% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 53% CPC 37% NDP 6% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 52% CPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 52% CPC 40% NDP 5% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 52% CPC 40% NDP 5% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 52% CPC 41% NDP 5% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 52% CPC 41% NDP 5% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 52% CPC 40% NDP 5% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 52% CPC 40% NDP 5% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 53% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 53% CPC 40% NDP 5% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 52% CPC 40% NDP 5% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 52% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 52% CPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 51% CPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 51% CPC 40% NDP 6% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 51% CPC 40% NDP 6% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 51% CPC 40% NDP 6% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 51% CPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 52% CPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 52% CPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 52% CPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 52% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 49% CPC 41% NDP 6% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 49% CPC 42% NDP 6% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 48% CPC 43% NDP 6% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 47% CPC 44% NDP 6% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 47% CPC 44% NDP 6% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 47% CPC 44% NDP 6% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 47% CPC 43% NDP 6% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 48% CPC 44% NDP 5% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 50% LPC 43% NDP 4% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 50% LPC 43% NDP 4% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 50% LPC 43% NDP 4% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 50% LPC 43% NDP 4% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 50% LPC 43% NDP 4% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 50% LPC 43% NDP 4% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 CPC 48% LPC 45% NDP 4% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 CPC 47% LPC 46% NDP 5% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 CPC 47% LPC 46% NDP 5% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 CPC 47% LPC 46% NDP 5% 2025-07-06 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Long Range Mountains

LPC 43% CPC 57% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP July 6, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC 85% LPC 15% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC 50% LPC 50% NDP <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 56% CPC 44% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 84% CPC 16% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 86% CPC 14% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 81% CPC 19% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 76% CPC 24% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 68% CPC 32% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 67% CPC 33% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 67% CPC 33% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 70% CPC 30% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 68% CPC 32% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 92% LPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 90% LPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 85% LPC 15% NDP <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 82% LPC 18% NDP <1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 CPC 70% LPC 30% NDP <1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 CPC 56% LPC 44% NDP <1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 CPC 55% LPC 45% NDP <1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 CPC 57% LPC 43% NDP <1% 2025-07-06 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader