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Recent electoral history | Long Range Mountains


2019 2021 2025 Projection CPC 47% ± 8% 28.3% 39.4% 50.3% LPC 42% ± 8% 47.4% 44.4% 42.8% NDP 7% ± 4% 19.8% 11.9% 4.4% PPC 1% ± 2% 0.0% 4.3% 1.2%

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338Canada Long Range Mountains projection

Latest update: February 8, 2026

Long Range Mountains 39% 54% 47% ± 8% CPC 34% 49% 42% ± 8% LPC 3% 11% 7% ± 4% NDP CPC 2025 50.3% 338Canada vote projection | February 8, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Long Range Mountains 78%▼ CPC 22%▲ LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | February 8, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

Popular vote projection | Long Range Mountains

LPC 42% ± 8% CPC 47% ± 8% NDP 7% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Long Range Mountains 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC IND February 8, 2026 2025-04-26 LPC 47% CPC 44% NDP 6% GPC 0% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 47% CPC 43% NDP 6% GPC 0% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 48% CPC 44% NDP 5% GPC 0% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 50% LPC 43% NDP 4% GPC 0% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 50% LPC 43% NDP 4% GPC 0% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 50% LPC 43% NDP 4% GPC 0% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 50% LPC 43% NDP 4% GPC 0% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 50% LPC 43% NDP 4% GPC 0% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 50% LPC 43% NDP 4% GPC 0% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 CPC 48% LPC 45% NDP 4% GPC 0% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 CPC 47% LPC 46% NDP 5% GPC 0% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 CPC 47% LPC 46% NDP 5% GPC 0% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 CPC 47% LPC 46% NDP 5% GPC 0% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 CPC 47% LPC 46% NDP 5% GPC 0% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 CPC 47% LPC 45% NDP 5% GPC 0% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 CPC 47% LPC 45% NDP 5% GPC 0% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 CPC 47% LPC 45% NDP 6% GPC 0% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 CPC 47% LPC 45% NDP 6% GPC 0% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 CPC 46% LPC 45% NDP 6% GPC 0% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 CPC 48% LPC 44% NDP 6% GPC 0% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 CPC 47% LPC 44% NDP 6% GPC 0% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 CPC 48% LPC 43% NDP 6% GPC 0% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 CPC 47% LPC 44% NDP 6% GPC 0% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 CPC 47% LPC 44% NDP 6% GPC 0% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 CPC 46% LPC 44% NDP 6% GPC 0% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 CPC 46% LPC 45% NDP 6% GPC 0% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 CPC 46% LPC 44% NDP 6% GPC 0% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 CPC 46% LPC 44% NDP 6% GPC 0% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 CPC 46% LPC 44% NDP 6% GPC 0% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 CPC 46% LPC 44% NDP 6% GPC 0% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 CPC 46% LPC 44% NDP 7% GPC 0% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 CPC 46% LPC 44% NDP 7% GPC 0% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 CPC 46% LPC 44% NDP 7% GPC 0% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 CPC 46% LPC 44% NDP 7% GPC 0% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 CPC 47% LPC 42% NDP 7% GPC 0% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 CPC 48% LPC 42% NDP 7% GPC 0% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 CPC 47% LPC 42% NDP 7% GPC 0% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 CPC 48% LPC 39% NDP 8% GPC 1% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 CPC 48% LPC 39% NDP 8% GPC 1% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 CPC 49% LPC 39% NDP 8% GPC 1% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 CPC 49% LPC 39% NDP 8% GPC 1% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 CPC 48% LPC 39% NDP 8% GPC 1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 CPC 47% LPC 41% NDP 8% GPC 1% 2026-02-01 2026-02-08 CPC 47% LPC 42% NDP 7% GPC 1% 2026-02-08

Odds of winning | Long Range Mountains

LPC 22% CPC 78% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP February 8, 2026 2025-04-26 LPC 67% CPC 33% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 70% CPC 30% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 68% CPC 32% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 92% LPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 90% LPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 85% LPC 15% NDP <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 82% LPC 18% NDP <1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 CPC 70% LPC 30% NDP <1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 CPC 56% LPC 44% NDP <1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 CPC 55% LPC 45% NDP <1% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 CPC 57% LPC 43% NDP <1% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 CPC 56% LPC 44% NDP <1% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 CPC 59% LPC 41% NDP <1% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 CPC 59% LPC 41% NDP <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 CPC 59% LPC 41% NDP <1% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 CPC 60% LPC 40% NDP <1% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 CPC 55% LPC 45% NDP <1% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 CPC 68% LPC 32% NDP <1% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 CPC 68% LPC 32% NDP <1% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 CPC 77% LPC 23% NDP <1% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 CPC 68% LPC 32% NDP <1% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 CPC 65% LPC 35% NDP <1% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 CPC 60% LPC 40% NDP <1% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 CPC 55% LPC 45% NDP <1% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 CPC 60% LPC 40% NDP <1% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 CPC 60% LPC 40% NDP <1% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 CPC 59% LPC 41% NDP <1% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 CPC 59% LPC 41% NDP <1% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 CPC 63% LPC 37% NDP <1% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 CPC 63% LPC 37% NDP <1% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 CPC 63% LPC 37% NDP <1% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 CPC 63% LPC 37% NDP <1% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 CPC 76% LPC 24% NDP <1% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 CPC 84% LPC 16% NDP <1% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 CPC 78% LPC 22% NDP <1% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 CPC 92% LPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 CPC 92% LPC 8% NDP <1% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 CPC 83% LPC 17% NDP <1% 2026-02-01 2026-02-08 CPC 78% LPC 22% NDP <1% 2026-02-08


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Demographic data | Long Range Mountains

Canadian Census, 2021
Language most spoken at home 99.4% English 0.1% French 0.1% Tagalog 0.1% Punjabi 0.0% Arabic 0.0% Bengali 0.0% VietnameseLong Range MountainsSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Language spoken most often at home (single responses only).
Language spoken most often at home refers to the language the person speaks most often at home at the time of data collection. For a person who lives alone, the language spoken most often at home is the language in which they feel most comfortable. For a child who has not yet learned to speak, this is the language spoken most often to the child at home.
Education 16.4% No diploma 27.1% High school 11.2% Trade 28.8% College / Cégep 1.8% Some university 9.9% Bachelor's 4.9% PostgraduateLong Range MountainsSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Highest certificate/diploma/degree for population aged 25 to 64 years.
Education information of Canadian population in private households only (population aged 25-64 years old).

Visible minorities 98.4% Not visible minority 1.6% Visible minority 0.5% South Asian 0.3% Black 0.3% Filipino 0.1% Arab 0.1% Chinese 0.1% Southeast AsianLong Range MountainsSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect visible minority populations in private households.
Visible minority refers to whether a person is a visible minority or not, as defined by the Employment Equity Act. The Employment Equity Act defines visible minorities as "persons, other than Aboriginal peoples, who are non-Caucasian in race or non-white in colour".
Religion / Spirituality 32.4% Anglican 30.6% Catholic 12.7% No Religion 8.7% United Church 6.5% Pentecostal 4.3% Methodist 2.5% Christian (n.o.s.) 0.7% Other ChristianLong Range MountainsSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Self-identified connection to/affiliation with religious denomination.
Religious groups shown are the most commonly reported responses in each riding. Christian subgroups are listed separately when among the top responses. (The label “Christian n.o.s.” means that the Christian denomination was not identified by the respondent.)

Tenure status 77.1% Owner 22.9% RenterLong Range MountainsSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Tenure status of residents.
Tenure refers to whether the household owns or rents their private dwelling. The private dwelling may be situated on rented or leased land or be part of a condominium. (Note: Community housing refers to dwellings provided by a First Nation, band, or local government.)
Labour force 50.2% Not in labour force 39.9% Employed 9.9% UnemployedLong Range MountainsSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Labour force status, population aged 15 years and over.
Employed here means active part of labour force (including employees and self-employed). Population outside of labour force includes retirees, full-time students, caregives, and people with disabilities.

Indigenous identity 74.4% Non-Indigenous 25.6% Indigenous identity 20.9% First Nations 2.2% Others 1.5% Metis 0.7% Inuk 0.3% MultipleLong Range MountainsSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Data reflect self-identification with Indigenous peoples of Canada.
Indigenous identity refers to whether the person identified with the Indigenous peoples of Canada. This includes those who identify as First Nations (North American Indian), Métis and/or Inuk (Inuit), and/or those who report being Registered or Treaty Indians (that is, registered under the Indian Act of Canada), and/or those who have membership in a First Nation or Indian band.
Mode of commuting 89.1% Car / truck / van 6.1% Walking 3.7% Other 0.9% Public transit 0.1% BicycleLong Range MountainsSource: 2021 Canadian Census. Main mode of commuting for employed labour force.
The census assumes that the commute to work originates from the usual place of residence, but this may not always be the case.