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Canada

Long Range Mountains



Latest projection: April 15, 2025
LPC likely

Candidates | Long Range Mountains


Liberal Don Bradshaw
Conservative Carol Anstey
NDP Sarah Parsons
PPC Pamela Geiger
Independent Robbie Coles

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Long Range Mountains 51% ± 9% LPC 40% ± 9% CPC 6% ± 4% NDP LPC 2021 44.4% 338Canada vote projection | April 15, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Long Range Mountains 94% LPC 6% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 15, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Long Range Mountains

LPC 51% ± 9% CPC 40% ± 9% NDP 6% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Long Range Mountains 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 44% CPC 43% NDP 10% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 47% CPC 40% NDP 8% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 50% CPC 39% NDP 7% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 50% CPC 39% NDP 8% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 50% CPC 38% NDP 8% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 50% CPC 38% NDP 8% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 50% CPC 38% NDP 8% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 50% CPC 38% NDP 8% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 53% CPC 36% NDP 7% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 53% CPC 36% NDP 7% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 53% CPC 36% NDP 7% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 53% CPC 37% NDP 6% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 53% CPC 37% NDP 6% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 53% CPC 37% NDP 6% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 52% CPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 52% CPC 40% NDP 5% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 52% CPC 40% NDP 5% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 52% CPC 41% NDP 5% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 52% CPC 41% NDP 5% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 52% CPC 40% NDP 5% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 52% CPC 40% NDP 5% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 53% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 53% CPC 40% NDP 5% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 52% CPC 40% NDP 5% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 52% CPC 39% NDP 5% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 52% CPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 51% CPC 39% NDP 6% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 51% CPC 40% NDP 6% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 51% CPC 40% NDP 6% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 51% CPC 40% NDP 6% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Long Range Mountains

LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 56% CPC 44% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 84% CPC 16% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 92% CPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 95% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 96% CPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 94% CPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Long Range Mountains



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 47.4% 44.4% 51% ± 9% CPC 28.3% 39.4% 40% ± 9% NDP 19.8% 11.9% 6% ± 4% PPC 0.0% 4.3% 2% ± 2% GPC 3.5% 0.0% 0% ± 0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.