338Canada | Davenport (Ontario federal district)




35018 - Davenport

Province: Ontario
Population (2016): 108,475 residents
Population density: 8980 pop./km² (rank: 7 of 338)
Median household income: $64 764 (rank: 217 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Julie Dzerowicz (LPC)



Latest projection (July 25, 2021)

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Federal vote projection | Davenport

Last update: July 25, 2021








Odds of winning | Davenport

Last update: July 25, 2021







Electoral history of Davenport



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Map of Davenport




(Credits: Elections Canada)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Davenport



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Davenport


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Incorrect winner, but within confidence interval
36.4% ± 8.6% 43.7% Within confidence interval
38.3% ± 9.3% 41.0% Within confidence interval
14.5% ± 5.1% 9.3% Outside confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.









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