338Canada | Humber River–Black Creek (Ontario federal district)




35121 - Humber River–Black Creek

Province: Ontario
Population (2016): 108,035 residents
Population density: 3535 pop./km² (rank: 42 of 338)
Median household income: $53 518 (rank: 302 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Judy Sgro (LPC)



Latest projection (October 24, 2021)

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Federal vote projection | Humber River–Black Creek

Last update: October 24, 2021







Odds of winning | Humber River–Black Creek

Last update: October 24, 2021






Electoral history of Humber River–Black Creek



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2021? | Humber River–Black Creek



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2021 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Humber River–Black Creek


Final 2021 Projection 2021 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
62.3% ± 7.1% 60.7% Within confidence interval
11.9% ± 4.1% 17.4% Outside confidence interval
19.5% ± 5.2% 16.4% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.









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