338Canada | Humber River–Black Creek (Ontario federal district)




35121 - Humber River–Black Creek

Province: Ontario
Population (2016): 108,035 residents
Population density: 3535 pop./km² (rank: 42 of 338)
Median household income: $53 518 (rank: 302 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Judy Sgro (LPC)



Latest projection (July 25, 2021)

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Federal vote projection | Humber River–Black Creek

Last update: July 25, 2021








Odds of winning | Humber River–Black Creek

Last update: July 25, 2021







Electoral history of Humber River–Black Creek



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Map of Humber River–Black Creek




(Credits: Elections Canada)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Humber River–Black Creek



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Humber River–Black Creek


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
52.6% ± 9.0% 61.1% Within confidence interval
16.2% ± 6.0% 19.0% Within confidence interval
22.7% ± 6.9% 16.2% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.









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