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Humber River–Black Creek (federal)
MP: Judy Sgro (LPC)
Latest projection: February 5, 2023
LPC safe hold
Humber River–Black Creek
59% ± 7%
LPC
19% ± 5%
CPC
17% ± 5%
NDP
3% ± 2%
GPC
2% ± 2%
PPC
LPC 2021
60.69%
338Canada Popular vote projection | February 5, 2023
50%
100%
Humber River–Black Creek
>99%
LPC
<1%
CPC
<1%
NDP
Odds of winning | February 5, 2023
Popular vote projection | Humber River–Black Creek
LPC 59% ± 7%
CPC 19% ± 5%
NDP 17% ± 5%
Popular vote projection % | Humber River–Black Creek
65
60
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-03-01
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
LPC
CPC
NDP
Odds of winning | Humber River–Black Creek
LPC >99%
CPC <1%
NDP <1%
GPC <1%
Odds of winning the most seats
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-03-01
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
LPC
CPC
NDP
GPC
Recent electoral history | Humber River–Black Creek
2015
2019
2021
Proj.
LPC
67.3%
61.1%
60.69%
59% ± 7%
CPC
20.3%
16.2%
17.4%
19% ± 5%
NDP
10.8%
19.0%
16.4%
17% ± 5%
PPC
0.0%
1.1%
3.91%
2% ± 2%
GPC
1.6%
2.1%
1.21%
3% ± 2%
BQ
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0% ± 0%