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Canada


Humber River–Black Creek (federal)


MP: Judy Sgro (LPC)


Latest projection: February 5, 2023

LPC safe hold
Humber River–Black Creek 59% ± 7% LPC 19% ± 5% CPC 17% ± 5% NDP 3% ± 2% GPC 2% ± 2% PPC LPC 2021 60.69% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 5, 2023
50% 100% Humber River–Black Creek >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | February 5, 2023


Popular vote projection | Humber River–Black Creek

LPC 59% ± 7% CPC 19% ± 5% NDP 17% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Humber River–Black Creek 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP

Odds of winning | Humber River–Black Creek

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Humber River–Black Creek



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 67.3% 61.1% 60.69% 59% ± 7% CPC 20.3% 16.2% 17.4% 19% ± 5% NDP 10.8% 19.0% 16.4% 17% ± 5% PPC 0.0% 1.1% 3.91% 2% ± 2% GPC 1.6% 2.1% 1.21% 3% ± 2% BQ 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 0%