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Canada


Northwest Territories (federal)


MP: Michael McLeod (LPC)


Latest projection: October 1, 2023

Toss up LPC/NDP
Northwest Territories 38% ± 9%▼ 36% ± 9% 21% ± 7%▲ 5% ± 4% LPC 2021 38.15% 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 1, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Northwest Territories 58%▼ 42%▲ <1% Odds of winning | October 1, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Northwest Territories

LPC 38% ± 9% CPC 21% ± 7% NDP 36% ± 9% GPC 5% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Northwest Territories 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Odds of winning | Northwest Territories

LPC 58% CPC <1% NDP 42% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Northwest Territories



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 48.3% 39.7% 38.15% 38% ± 9% NDP 30.5% 22.3% 32.28% 36% ± 9% CPC 18.3% 25.5% 14.38% 21% ± 7% IND 0.0% 0.0% 12.68% 0% ± 0% GPC 2.8% 10.6% 2.51% 5% ± 4% PPC 0.0% 1.8% 0.0% 0% ± 0%