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Canada

Northwest Territories


Latest projection: September 8, 2024
Toss up LPC/NDP
Northwest Territories 35% ± 11% NDP 34% ± 10% LPC 24% ± 9% CPC 6% ± 6%▲ GPC LPC 2021 38.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 8, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Northwest Territories 57%▲ NDP 41%▼ LPC 2% CPC Odds of winning | September 8, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Northwest Territories

LPC 34% ± 10% CPC 24% ± 9% NDP 35% ± 11% GPC 6% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Northwest Territories 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC September 8, 2024 2024-05-12 NDP 35% LPC 34% CPC 25% GPC 5% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 NDP 35% LPC 34% CPC 26% GPC 5% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 NDP 35% LPC 34% CPC 25% GPC 5% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 NDP 35% LPC 34% CPC 25% GPC 5% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 NDP 35% LPC 34% CPC 25% GPC 5% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 NDP 36% LPC 34% CPC 24% GPC 5% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 NDP 37% LPC 34% CPC 24% GPC 5% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 NDP 37% LPC 33% CPC 23% GPC 5% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 NDP 37% LPC 33% CPC 23% GPC 5% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 NDP 37% LPC 33% CPC 23% GPC 5% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 NDP 36% LPC 33% CPC 24% GPC 5% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 NDP 36% LPC 33% CPC 24% GPC 5% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 NDP 37% LPC 33% CPC 23% GPC 5% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 NDP 37% LPC 32% CPC 23% GPC 5% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 NDP 37% LPC 33% CPC 23% GPC 5% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 NDP 35% LPC 34% CPC 24% GPC 5% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 NDP 35% LPC 34% CPC 24% GPC 5% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 NDP 35% LPC 34% CPC 24% GPC 6% 2024-09-08

Odds of winning | Northwest Territories

LPC 41% CPC 2% NDP 57% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP September 8, 2024 2024-05-12 NDP 53% LPC 43% CPC 4% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 NDP 53% LPC 43% CPC 4% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 NDP 52% LPC 45% CPC 3% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 NDP 55% LPC 43% CPC 3% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 NDP 56% LPC 42% CPC 2% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 NDP 57% LPC 41% CPC 2% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 NDP 67% LPC 32% CPC 1% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 NDP 69% LPC 30% CPC 1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 NDP 69% LPC 30% CPC 1% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 NDP 65% LPC 34% CPC 1% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 NDP 62% LPC 36% CPC 2% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 NDP 62% LPC 36% CPC 2% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 NDP 71% LPC 28% CPC 1% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 NDP 73% LPC 25% CPC 1% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 NDP 70% LPC 28% CPC 1% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 NDP 55% LPC 43% CPC 2% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 NDP 53% LPC 46% CPC 2% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 NDP 57% LPC 41% CPC 2% 2024-09-08

Recent electoral history | Northwest Territories



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 39.7% 38.2% 34% ± 10% NDP 22.3% 32.3% 35% ± 11% CPC 25.5% 14.4% 24% ± 9% GPC 10.6% 2.3% 6% ± 6% PPC 1.8% 0.0% 1% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.