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Canada

Northwest Territories


MP: Rebecca Alty (LPC)

Latest projection: June 8, 2025
LPC likely

Recent electoral history | Northwest Territories


2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 53% ± 12% 39.7% 38.2% 53.5% CPC 33% ± 11% 25.5% 14.4% 33.3% NDP 12% ± 7% 22.3% 32.3% 12.2% GPC 1% ± 2% 10.6% 2.3% 1.0% PPC 0% ± 0% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.




338Canada projection for Territoires du Nord-Ouest


Northwest Territories 53% ± 12%▼ LPC 33% ± 11% CPC 12% ± 7% NDP LPC 2025 53.5% 338Canada vote projection | June 8, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Northwest Territories 99%▲ LPC 1%▼ CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | June 8, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Northwest Territories

LPC 53% ± 12% CPC 33% ± 11% NDP 12% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Northwest Territories 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP June 8, 2025 2025-01-12 NDP 35% LPC 31% CPC 28% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 NDP 34% LPC 31% CPC 28% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 NDP 34% LPC 32% CPC 28% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 LPC 33% NDP 32% CPC 28% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC 35% NDP 31% CPC 28% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 36% NDP 29% CPC 27% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 37% CPC 28% NDP 28% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 39% NDP 27% CPC 26% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 39% NDP 27% CPC 26% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 41% CPC 26% NDP 25% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 46% CPC 26% NDP 21% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 46% CPC 26% NDP 20% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 47% CPC 26% NDP 20% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 47% CPC 26% NDP 20% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 47% CPC 26% NDP 20% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 47% CPC 26% NDP 20% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 50% CPC 26% NDP 17% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 50% CPC 26% NDP 17% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 50% CPC 26% NDP 17% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 50% CPC 26% NDP 17% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 50% CPC 27% NDP 17% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 50% CPC 27% NDP 16% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 51% CPC 27% NDP 16% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 52% CPC 27% NDP 15% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 53% CPC 27% NDP 15% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 53% CPC 27% NDP 15% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 53% CPC 28% NDP 15% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 53% CPC 28% NDP 15% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 52% CPC 28% NDP 15% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 52% CPC 28% NDP 15% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 52% CPC 28% NDP 15% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 52% CPC 28% NDP 15% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 52% CPC 31% NDP 16% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 51% CPC 30% NDP 19% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 51% CPC 30% NDP 19% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 51% CPC 30% NDP 19% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 51% CPC 30% NDP 19% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 51% CPC 30% NDP 19% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 51% CPC 30% NDP 19% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 51% CPC 30% NDP 19% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 51% CPC 30% NDP 19% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 51% CPC 30% NDP 19% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 52% CPC 30% NDP 18% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 52% CPC 30% NDP 18% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 52% CPC 30% NDP 18% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 52% CPC 30% NDP 18% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 52% CPC 30% NDP 18% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 52% CPC 30% NDP 18% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 52% CPC 30% NDP 18% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 52% CPC 30% NDP 18% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 53% CPC 30% NDP 17% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 54% CPC 33% NDP 12% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 54% CPC 33% NDP 12% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 54% CPC 33% NDP 12% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 54% CPC 33% NDP 12% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC 54% CPC 33% NDP 12% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 LPC 53% CPC 33% NDP 12% 2025-06-08 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Northwest Territories

LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP June 8, 2025 2025-01-12 NDP 61% LPC 25% CPC 14% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 NDP 53% LPC 32% CPC 15% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 NDP 52% LPC 34% CPC 14% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 LPC 44% NDP 42% CPC 14% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC 62% NDP 27% CPC 11% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 74% NDP 17% CPC 9% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 80% NDP 10% CPC 10% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 89% NDP 6% CPC 4% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 90% NDP 5% CPC 4% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 95% CPC 3% NDP 2% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-06-08 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader