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Canada

Northwest Territories


MP elect: Rebecca Alty (CPC)

Latest projection: April 30, 2025
LPC likely

Candidates | Northwest Territories


Liberal Rebecca Alty
Conservative Kimberly Fairman
NDP Kelvin Kotchilea
Green Rainbow Eyes

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Northwest Territories 54% ± 0%▲ LPC 33% ± 0%▲ CPC 12% ± 0%▼ NDP LPC 2025 53.8% 338Canada vote projection | April 30, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Northwest Territories >99%▲ LPC <1%▼ CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 30, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Northwest Territories

LPC 54% ± 0% CPC 33% ± 0% NDP 12% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Northwest Territories 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 39% NDP 27% CPC 26% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 41% CPC 26% NDP 25% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 46% CPC 26% NDP 21% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 46% CPC 26% NDP 20% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 47% CPC 26% NDP 20% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 47% CPC 26% NDP 20% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 47% CPC 26% NDP 20% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 47% CPC 26% NDP 20% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 50% CPC 26% NDP 17% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 50% CPC 26% NDP 17% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 50% CPC 26% NDP 17% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 50% CPC 26% NDP 17% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 50% CPC 27% NDP 17% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 50% CPC 27% NDP 16% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 51% CPC 27% NDP 16% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 52% CPC 27% NDP 15% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 53% CPC 27% NDP 15% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 53% CPC 27% NDP 15% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 53% CPC 28% NDP 15% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 53% CPC 28% NDP 15% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 52% CPC 28% NDP 15% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 52% CPC 28% NDP 15% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 52% CPC 28% NDP 15% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 52% CPC 28% NDP 15% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 52% CPC 31% NDP 16% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 51% CPC 30% NDP 19% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 51% CPC 30% NDP 19% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 51% CPC 30% NDP 19% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 51% CPC 30% NDP 19% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 51% CPC 30% NDP 19% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 51% CPC 30% NDP 19% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 51% CPC 30% NDP 19% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 51% CPC 30% NDP 19% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 51% CPC 30% NDP 19% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 52% CPC 30% NDP 18% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 52% CPC 30% NDP 18% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 52% CPC 30% NDP 18% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 52% CPC 30% NDP 18% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 52% CPC 30% NDP 18% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 52% CPC 30% NDP 18% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 52% CPC 30% NDP 18% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 52% CPC 30% NDP 18% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 53% CPC 30% NDP 17% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 54% CPC 33% NDP 12% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Northwest Territories

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 90% NDP 5% CPC 4% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 95% CPC 3% NDP 2% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Northwest Territories



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 54% ± 0% 39.7% 38.2% 53.8% CPC 33% ± 0% 25.5% 14.4% 33.1% NDP 12% ± 0% 22.3% 32.3% 12.1% GPC 1% ± 0% 10.6% 2.3% 1.0% PPC 0% ± 0% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.