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Canada

Northwest Territories



Latest projection: December 15, 2024
Toss up LPC/NDP
Northwest Territories 36% ± 11% NDP 31% ± 10% LPC 26% ± 10% CPC 5% ± 5% GPC LPC 2021 38.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 15, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Northwest Territories 69%▲ NDP 25%▼ LPC 5% CPC Odds of winning | December 15, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Northwest Territories

LPC 31% ± 10% CPC 26% ± 10% NDP 36% ± 11% GPC 5% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Northwest Territories 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC December 15, 2024 2024-05-12 NDP 35% LPC 34% CPC 25% GPC 5% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 NDP 35% LPC 34% CPC 26% GPC 5% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 NDP 35% LPC 34% CPC 25% GPC 5% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 NDP 35% LPC 34% CPC 25% GPC 5% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 NDP 35% LPC 34% CPC 25% GPC 5% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 NDP 36% LPC 34% CPC 24% GPC 5% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 NDP 37% LPC 34% CPC 24% GPC 5% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 NDP 37% LPC 33% CPC 23% GPC 5% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 NDP 37% LPC 33% CPC 23% GPC 5% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 NDP 37% LPC 33% CPC 23% GPC 5% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 NDP 36% LPC 33% CPC 24% GPC 5% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 NDP 36% LPC 33% CPC 24% GPC 5% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 NDP 37% LPC 33% CPC 23% GPC 5% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 NDP 37% LPC 32% CPC 23% GPC 5% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 NDP 37% LPC 33% CPC 23% GPC 5% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 NDP 35% LPC 34% CPC 24% GPC 5% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 NDP 35% LPC 34% CPC 24% GPC 5% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 NDP 35% LPC 34% CPC 24% GPC 6% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 LPC 34% NDP 33% CPC 26% GPC 5% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 LPC 34% NDP 33% CPC 26% GPC 5% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 NDP 34% LPC 33% CPC 26% GPC 5% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 NDP 36% LPC 31% CPC 26% GPC 5% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 NDP 37% LPC 31% CPC 26% GPC 5% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 NDP 37% LPC 32% CPC 25% GPC 5% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 NDP 37% LPC 31% CPC 25% GPC 5% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 NDP 37% LPC 31% CPC 25% GPC 5% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 NDP 34% LPC 33% CPC 26% GPC 5% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 LPC 34% NDP 33% CPC 26% GPC 5% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 NDP 34% LPC 33% CPC 27% GPC 5% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 NDP 34% LPC 32% CPC 27% GPC 5% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 NDP 36% LPC 31% CPC 26% GPC 5% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 NDP 36% LPC 31% CPC 26% GPC 5% 2024-12-15

Odds of winning | Northwest Territories

LPC 25% CPC 5% NDP 69% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP December 15, 2024 2024-05-12 NDP 53% LPC 43% CPC 4% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 NDP 53% LPC 43% CPC 4% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 NDP 52% LPC 45% CPC 3% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 NDP 55% LPC 43% CPC 3% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 NDP 56% LPC 42% CPC 2% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 NDP 57% LPC 41% CPC 2% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 NDP 67% LPC 32% CPC 1% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 NDP 69% LPC 30% CPC 1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 NDP 69% LPC 30% CPC 1% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 NDP 65% LPC 34% CPC 1% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 NDP 62% LPC 36% CPC 2% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 NDP 62% LPC 36% CPC 2% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 NDP 71% LPC 28% CPC 1% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 NDP 73% LPC 25% CPC 1% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 NDP 70% LPC 28% CPC 1% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 NDP 55% LPC 43% CPC 2% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 NDP 53% LPC 46% CPC 2% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 NDP 57% LPC 41% CPC 2% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 LPC 53% NDP 42% CPC 5% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 LPC 53% NDP 43% CPC 5% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 NDP 52% LPC 42% CPC 5% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 NDP 72% LPC 24% CPC 5% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 NDP 72% LPC 23% CPC 4% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 NDP 72% LPC 25% CPC 3% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 NDP 73% LPC 24% CPC 3% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 NDP 74% LPC 23% CPC 3% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 NDP 48% LPC 46% CPC 6% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 LPC 50% NDP 44% CPC 6% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 NDP 51% LPC 42% CPC 7% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 NDP 53% LPC 39% CPC 8% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 NDP 68% LPC 27% CPC 5% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 NDP 69% LPC 25% CPC 5% 2024-12-15

Recent electoral history | Northwest Territories



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 39.7% 38.2% 31% ± 10% NDP 22.3% 32.3% 36% ± 11% CPC 25.5% 14.4% 26% ± 10% GPC 10.6% 2.3% 5% ± 5% PPC 1.8% 0.0% 1% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.