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Canada


Burnaby South (federal)


MP: Jagmeet Singh (NDP)


Latest projection: March 24, 2024

NDP leaning hold
Burnaby South 37% ± 7% 32% ± 7% 25% ± 6% 4% ± 3% NDP 2021 40.33% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 24, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Burnaby South 83% 17% <1% Odds of winning | March 24, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Burnaby South

LPC 25% ± 6% CPC 32% ± 7% NDP 37% ± 7% GPC 4% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Burnaby South 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Odds of winning | Burnaby South

LPC <1% CPC 17% NDP 83% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Burnaby South



2015 2019 2021 Proj. NDP 35.1% 37.7% 40.33% 37% ± 7% LPC 33.9% 23.8% 30.43% 25% ± 6% CPC 27.1% 30.9% 22.41% 32% ± 7% PPC 0.0% 1.4% 3.18% 2% ± 2% GPC 2.8% 5.5% 2.92% 4% ± 3% IND 0.0% 0.0% 0.73% 0% ± 0%