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Burnaby North—Seymour



Latest projection: April 27, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | Burnaby North—Seymour


Liberal Terry Beech*
Conservative Mauro Francis
NDP Michael Charrois
PPC Jesse Fulton

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.


Burnaby North—Seymour 57% ± 8% LPC 34% ± 8% CPC 8% ± 4% NDP LPC 2021 40.9% 338Canada vote projection | April 27, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Burnaby North—Seymour >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 27, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Burnaby North—Seymour

LPC 57% ± 8% CPC 34% ± 8% NDP 8% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Burnaby North—Seymour 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 27, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 45% CPC 33% NDP 17% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 47% CPC 33% NDP 15% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 52% CPC 33% NDP 11% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 53% CPC 32% NDP 10% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 53% CPC 32% NDP 10% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 54% CPC 32% NDP 10% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 54% CPC 32% NDP 10% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 54% CPC 32% NDP 10% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 57% CPC 31% NDP 8% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 57% CPC 31% NDP 8% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 57% CPC 31% NDP 8% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 57% CPC 31% NDP 8% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 58% CPC 31% NDP 8% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 58% CPC 30% NDP 8% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 59% CPC 30% NDP 7% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 61% CPC 30% NDP 7% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 61% CPC 29% NDP 7% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 62% CPC 29% NDP 7% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 62% CPC 29% NDP 6% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 62% CPC 29% NDP 6% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 61% CPC 30% NDP 7% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 55% CPC 35% NDP 8% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 55% CPC 34% NDP 8% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 8% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 57% CPC 33% NDP 8% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 8% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 55% CPC 33% NDP 9% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 55% CPC 33% NDP 9% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 56% CPC 33% NDP 9% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 10% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 55% CPC 34% NDP 9% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 9% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 9% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 56% CPC 35% NDP 9% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 56% CPC 35% NDP 9% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 55% CPC 34% NDP 9% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 56% CPC 34% NDP 9% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 57% CPC 34% NDP 8% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 57% CPC 34% NDP 8% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 57% CPC 34% NDP 8% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 57% CPC 34% NDP 8% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 57% CPC 34% NDP 8% 2025-04-27 ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Burnaby North—Seymour

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 27, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Burnaby North—Seymour



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 37.5% 40.9% 57% ± 8% CPC 21.2% 26.6% 34% ± 8% NDP 28.0% 26.5% 8% ± 4% PPC 1.9% 2.7% 1% ± 1% GPC 10.6% 3.4% 0% ± 0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.