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Canada

Edmonton West


Latest projection: July 21, 2024
CPC safe
Edmonton West 54% ± 8% CPC 22% ± 6% NDP 19% ± 5% LPC 3% ± 3% PPC CPC 2021 45.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | July 21, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Edmonton West >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% LPC Odds of winning | July 21, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Edmonton West

LPC 19% ± 5% CPC 54% ± 8% NDP 22% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Edmonton West 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP July 21, 2024 2024-05-12 CPC 55% NDP 23% LPC 19% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 CPC 55% NDP 22% LPC 19% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 CPC 56% NDP 22% LPC 19% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 CPC 55% NDP 22% LPC 20% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 CPC 54% NDP 22% LPC 20% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 CPC 53% NDP 23% LPC 21% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 CPC 54% NDP 23% LPC 20% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 CPC 54% NDP 23% LPC 19% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 CPC 54% NDP 23% LPC 19% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 CPC 54% NDP 22% LPC 19% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 CPC 54% NDP 22% LPC 19% 2024-07-21

Odds of winning | Edmonton West

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP July 21, 2024 2024-05-12 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2024-07-21

Recent electoral history | Edmonton West



2019 2021 Proj. CPC 59.8% 45.6% 54% ± 8% NDP 14.3% 24.5% 22% ± 6% LPC 22.0% 24.4% 19% ± 5% PPC 1.6% 5.1% 3% ± 3% GPC 2.3% 0.1% 1% ± 1%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.