338Canada | Fort McMurray–Cold Lake (Alberta federal district)




48023 - Fort McMurray–Cold Lake

Province: Alberta
Population (2016): 110,230 residents
Population density: 0.76 pop./km² (rank: 326 of 338)
Median household income: $155 906 (rank: 1 of 338)
Member of Parliament: David Yurdiga (CPC)



Latest projection (September 20, 2021)

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2021 Candidates | Fort McMurray–Cold Lake


Abdifatah Abdi
Laila Goodridge
Garnett Robinson
Brian Deheer
Shawn McDonald
Jonathan Meyers
Hughie Whitmore (VCP)





Federal vote projection | Fort McMurray–Cold Lake

Last update: September 20, 2021







Odds of winning | Fort McMurray–Cold Lake

Last update: September 20, 2021






Electoral history of Fort McMurray–Cold Lake



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Fort McMurray–Cold Lake



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Fort McMurray–Cold Lake


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
63.5% ± 8.5% 79.9% Outside confidence interval
18.2% ± 6.2% 9.5% Outside confidence interval
11.6% ± 4.8% 5.7% Outside confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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