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Edmonton West



Latest projection: April 15, 2025
Toss up LPC/CPC

Candidates | Edmonton West


Liberal Brad Fournier
Conservative Kelly McCauley*
NDP Sean McQuillan
PPC Brent Kinzel
Marxist-Leninist Peggy Morton

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Edmonton West 44% ± 8% CPC 44% ± 8% LPC 8% ± 4% NDP CPC 2021 45.6% 338Canada vote projection | April 15, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Edmonton West 52%▼ CPC 48%▲ LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 15, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Edmonton West

LPC 44% ± 8% CPC 44% ± 8% NDP 8% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Edmonton West 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 52% LPC 27% NDP 18% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 48% LPC 33% NDP 16% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 45% LPC 40% NDP 13% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 44% LPC 41% NDP 13% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 44% LPC 41% NDP 13% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 44% LPC 41% NDP 13% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 44% LPC 40% NDP 13% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 44% LPC 40% NDP 13% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 45% LPC 41% NDP 12% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 45% LPC 40% NDP 12% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 45% LPC 41% NDP 11% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 46% LPC 40% NDP 11% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 46% LPC 40% NDP 11% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 46% LPC 41% NDP 10% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 47% LPC 40% NDP 10% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 47% LPC 41% NDP 10% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 47% LPC 41% NDP 9% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 47% LPC 42% NDP 9% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 47% LPC 42% NDP 9% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 47% LPC 42% NDP 9% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 47% LPC 42% NDP 9% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 47% LPC 42% NDP 9% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 47% LPC 42% NDP 8% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 47% LPC 43% NDP 8% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 45% LPC 43% NDP 8% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 45% LPC 43% NDP 8% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 45% LPC 43% NDP 8% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 44% LPC 44% NDP 8% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 44% LPC 44% NDP 8% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 44% LPC 44% NDP 8% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Edmonton West

LPC 48% CPC 52% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 77% LPC 23% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 68% LPC 32% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 66% LPC 34% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 68% LPC 32% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 70% LPC 30% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 75% LPC 25% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 72% LPC 28% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 75% LPC 25% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 74% LPC 26% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 80% LPC 20% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 80% LPC 20% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 80% LPC 20% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 82% LPC 18% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 79% LPC 21% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 79% LPC 21% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 77% LPC 23% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 76% LPC 24% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 75% LPC 25% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 73% LPC 27% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 78% LPC 22% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 75% LPC 25% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 69% LPC 31% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 62% LPC 38% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 59% LPC 41% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 56% LPC 44% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 55% LPC 45% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 55% LPC 45% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 52% LPC 48% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Edmonton West



2019 2021 Proj. CPC 59.8% 45.6% 44% ± 8% LPC 22.0% 24.4% 44% ± 8% NDP 14.3% 24.5% 8% ± 4% PPC 1.6% 5.1% 1% ± 2% GPC 2.3% 0.1% 0% ± 0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.