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Canada

Repentigny


MP: Patrick Bonin (BQ)

Latest projection: June 29, 2025
Toss up LPC/BQ

Recent electoral history | Repentigny


2019 2021 2025 Proj. BQ 41% ± 7% 52.8% 51.4% 42.2% LPC 41% ± 7% 28.2% 28.1% 38.8% CPC 14% ± 5% 7.4% 8.8% 15.2% NDP 3% ± 2% 6.8% 7.5% 2.7% PPC 1% ± 1% 0.8% 0.0% 0.6%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.




338Canada projection for Repentigny


Repentigny 41% ± 7%▼ BQ 41% ± 7%▲ LPC 14% ± 5%▼ CPC 3% ± 2% NDP BQ 2025 42.2% 338Canada vote projection | June 29, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Repentigny 53%▼ BQ 47%▲ LPC <1% CPC Odds of winning | June 29, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Repentigny

LPC 41% ± 7% CPC 14% ± 5% BQ 41% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Repentigny 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC BQ June 29, 2025 2025-01-12 BQ 56% LPC 18% CPC 13% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 BQ 55% LPC 19% CPC 13% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 BQ 54% LPC 19% CPC 13% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 BQ 54% LPC 20% CPC 13% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 BQ 51% LPC 23% CPC 13% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 BQ 50% LPC 25% CPC 13% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 BQ 49% LPC 27% CPC 13% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 BQ 46% LPC 30% CPC 12% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 BQ 45% LPC 30% CPC 12% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 BQ 45% LPC 32% CPC 12% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 BQ 43% LPC 34% CPC 12% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 BQ 43% LPC 34% CPC 12% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 BQ 43% LPC 34% CPC 12% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 BQ 43% LPC 34% CPC 12% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 BQ 43% LPC 34% CPC 12% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 BQ 44% LPC 34% CPC 12% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 BQ 42% LPC 37% CPC 11% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 BQ 42% LPC 37% CPC 11% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 BQ 41% LPC 38% CPC 11% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 BQ 41% LPC 38% CPC 11% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 BQ 40% LPC 39% CPC 12% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 40% BQ 39% CPC 12% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 BQ 40% LPC 40% CPC 12% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 40% BQ 39% CPC 12% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 41% BQ 38% CPC 12% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 42% BQ 38% CPC 12% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 41% BQ 39% CPC 12% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 42% BQ 38% CPC 12% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 42% BQ 38% CPC 11% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 42% BQ 38% CPC 11% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 42% BQ 39% CPC 11% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 42% BQ 39% CPC 11% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 43% BQ 39% CPC 11% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 43% BQ 39% CPC 11% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 42% BQ 40% CPC 11% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 42% BQ 40% CPC 12% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 41% BQ 40% CPC 12% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 42% BQ 40% CPC 11% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 41% BQ 40% CPC 12% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 41% BQ 41% CPC 11% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 BQ 41% LPC 41% CPC 12% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 BQ 41% LPC 40% CPC 11% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 BQ 41% LPC 40% CPC 12% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 BQ 42% LPC 39% CPC 12% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 BQ 43% LPC 39% CPC 12% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 BQ 42% LPC 38% CPC 12% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 BQ 43% LPC 38% CPC 12% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 BQ 43% LPC 38% CPC 13% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 BQ 43% LPC 37% CPC 13% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 BQ 43% LPC 37% CPC 13% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 BQ 42% LPC 38% CPC 13% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 BQ 42% LPC 39% CPC 15% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 BQ 42% LPC 39% CPC 15% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 BQ 42% LPC 39% CPC 15% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 BQ 42% LPC 39% CPC 15% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 BQ 42% LPC 39% CPC 15% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 BQ 42% LPC 39% CPC 15% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 BQ 43% LPC 39% CPC 15% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 BQ 43% LPC 39% CPC 15% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 BQ 41% LPC 41% CPC 14% 2025-06-29 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Repentigny

LPC 47% CPC <1% NDP <1% BQ 53% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP BQ June 29, 2025 2025-01-12 BQ >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 BQ >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 BQ >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 BQ >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 BQ >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 BQ 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 BQ 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 BQ 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 BQ 93% LPC 7% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 BQ 93% LPC 7% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 BQ 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 BQ 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 BQ 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 BQ 83% LPC 17% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 BQ 79% LPC 21% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 BQ 71% LPC 29% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 BQ 64% LPC 36% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 BQ 54% LPC 46% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 51% BQ 49% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 BQ 51% LPC 49% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 59% BQ 41% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 67% BQ 33% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 75% BQ 25% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 69% BQ 31% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 70% BQ 30% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 73% BQ 27% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 76% BQ 24% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 72% BQ 28% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 65% BQ 35% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 71% BQ 29% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 70% BQ 30% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 67% BQ 33% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 61% BQ 39% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 56% BQ 44% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 61% BQ 39% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 57% BQ 43% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 52% BQ 48% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 BQ 52% LPC 48% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 BQ 56% LPC 44% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 BQ 56% LPC 44% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 BQ 68% LPC 32% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 BQ 74% LPC 26% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 BQ 74% LPC 26% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 BQ 79% LPC 21% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 BQ 81% LPC 19% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 BQ 81% LPC 19% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 BQ 83% LPC 17% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 BQ 76% LPC 24% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 BQ 82% LPC 18% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 BQ 82% LPC 18% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 BQ 78% LPC 22% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 BQ 77% LPC 23% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 BQ 72% LPC 28% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 BQ 74% LPC 26% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 BQ 77% LPC 23% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 BQ 73% LPC 27% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 BQ 53% LPC 47% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-06-29 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader