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Canada


Repentigny (federal)


MP: Monique Pauzé (BQ)


Latest projection: September 24, 2023

BQ safe hold
Repentigny 54% ± 7% 25% ± 6% 11% ± 4% 10% ± 4% BQ 2021 51.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 24, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Repentigny >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | September 24, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Repentigny

LPC 25% ± 6% CPC 11% ± 4% NDP 10% ± 4% BQ 54% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Repentigny 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 LPC CPC NDP BQ

Odds of winning | Repentigny

LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP <1% GPC <1% BQ >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ

Recent electoral history | Repentigny



2015 2019 2021 Proj. BQ 34.7% 53.2% 51.7% 54% ± 7% LPC 27.3% 27.7% 27.59% 25% ± 6% CPC 10.8% 7.5% 8.93% 11% ± 4% NDP 23.3% 6.8% 7.52% 10% ± 4% GPC 1.9% 3.5% 0.0% 1% ± 1% PPC 0.0% 0.8% 0.0% 0% ± 0%