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Edmonton Gateway


MP: Tim Uppal (CPC)

Latest projection: June 8, 2025
CPC likely

Recent electoral history | Edmonton Gateway


2019 2021 2025 Proj. CPC 50% ± 9% 57.6% 43.1% 50.6% LPC 37% ± 8% 24.3% 25.4% 37.3% IND 6% ± 4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% NDP 5% ± 4% 14.0% 25.3% 4.9% PPC 1% ± 1% 1.6% 5.7% 0.9% GPC 0% ± 0% 2.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.




338Canada projection for Edmonton Gateway


Edmonton Gateway 50% ± 9%▼ CPC 37% ± 8% LPC 6% ± 4% IND 5% ± 4% NDP CPC 2025 50.6% 338Canada vote projection | June 8, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Edmonton Gateway 97%▼ CPC 3%▲ LPC <1% INDOdds of winning | June 8, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Edmonton Gateway

LPC 37% ± 8% CPC 50% ± 9% NDP 5% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Edmonton Gateway 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP June 8, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 55% NDP 22% LPC 19% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 55% NDP 22% LPC 20% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 55% NDP 22% LPC 20% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 54% NDP 22% LPC 21% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 54% LPC 23% NDP 20% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 54% LPC 23% NDP 20% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC 56% LPC 24% NDP 17% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC 52% LPC 27% NDP 18% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC 51% LPC 28% NDP 18% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 47% LPC 34% NDP 16% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 44% LPC 40% NDP 13% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 43% LPC 41% NDP 13% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 43% LPC 41% NDP 13% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 43% LPC 41% NDP 13% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 43% LPC 41% NDP 13% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 43% LPC 40% NDP 13% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 44% LPC 41% NDP 12% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 44% LPC 41% NDP 12% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 44% LPC 41% NDP 12% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 45% LPC 41% NDP 11% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 45% LPC 41% NDP 11% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 45% LPC 41% NDP 11% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 46% LPC 41% NDP 10% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 46% LPC 42% NDP 10% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 46% LPC 42% NDP 10% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 46% LPC 42% NDP 9% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 46% LPC 42% NDP 9% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 46% LPC 43% NDP 9% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 46% LPC 43% NDP 9% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 46% LPC 43% NDP 9% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 46% LPC 43% NDP 9% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 46% LPC 44% NDP 8% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 44% LPC 43% NDP 8% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 44% LPC 44% NDP 8% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 44% CPC 44% NDP 8% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 44% CPC 44% NDP 8% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 44% CPC 44% NDP 8% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 44% CPC 44% NDP 9% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 45% CPC 44% NDP 9% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 44% CPC 44% NDP 9% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 44% CPC 44% NDP 9% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 44% CPC 44% NDP 9% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC 45% LPC 43% NDP 9% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC 45% LPC 43% NDP 9% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC 44% LPC 43% NDP 9% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC 44% LPC 44% NDP 9% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC 44% LPC 44% NDP 9% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC 44% LPC 44% NDP 10% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC 44% LPC 44% NDP 9% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 44% LPC 43% NDP 9% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 44% LPC 44% NDP 9% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 51% LPC 37% NDP 5% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 51% LPC 37% NDP 5% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 51% LPC 37% NDP 5% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 51% LPC 37% NDP 5% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 51% LPC 37% NDP 5% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 50% LPC 37% NDP 5% 2025-06-08 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Edmonton Gateway

LPC 3% CPC 97% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP June 8, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 70% LPC 30% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 61% LPC 39% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 57% LPC 43% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 60% LPC 40% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 62% LPC 38% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 67% LPC 33% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 65% LPC 35% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 68% LPC 32% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 66% LPC 34% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 73% LPC 27% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 72% LPC 28% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 73% LPC 27% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 76% LPC 24% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 73% LPC 27% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 72% LPC 28% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 69% LPC 31% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 69% LPC 31% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 67% LPC 33% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 65% LPC 35% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 70% LPC 30% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 68% LPC 32% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 61% LPC 39% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 53% LPC 47% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 51% LPC 49% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 52% CPC 48% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 53% CPC 47% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 50% CPC 50% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 53% CPC 47% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 55% CPC 45% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 52% CPC 48% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 52% CPC 48% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 52% CPC 48% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC 58% LPC 42% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC 61% LPC 39% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC 56% LPC 44% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC 52% LPC 48% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC 51% LPC 49% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC 50% LPC 50% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC 52% LPC 48% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 55% LPC 45% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 50% LPC 50% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-06-08 Trudeau resigns Carney LPC leader