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Edmonton Gateway


MP elect: Tim Uppal (CPC)

Latest projection: April 30, 2025
CPC safe

Candidates | Edmonton Gateway


Liberal Jeremy Hoefsloot
Conservative Tim Uppal*
NDP Madeline Mayes
PPC Paul McCormack
No Affiliation Rod Loyola
Independent Ashok Patel

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Edmonton Gateway 51% ± 0%▲ CPC 37% ± 0%▼ LPC 6% ± 0%▲ IND 5% ± 0%▼ NDP CPC 2025 50.6% 338Canada vote projection | April 30, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Edmonton Gateway >99%▲ CPC <1%▼ LPC <1% INDOdds of winning | April 30, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Edmonton Gateway

LPC 37% ± 0% CPC 51% ± 0% NDP 5% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Edmonton Gateway 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 51% LPC 28% NDP 18% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 47% LPC 34% NDP 16% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 44% LPC 40% NDP 13% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 43% LPC 41% NDP 13% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 43% LPC 41% NDP 13% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 43% LPC 41% NDP 13% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 43% LPC 41% NDP 13% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 43% LPC 40% NDP 13% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 44% LPC 41% NDP 12% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 44% LPC 41% NDP 12% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 44% LPC 41% NDP 12% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 45% LPC 41% NDP 11% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 45% LPC 41% NDP 11% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 45% LPC 41% NDP 11% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 46% LPC 41% NDP 10% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 46% LPC 42% NDP 10% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 46% LPC 42% NDP 10% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 46% LPC 42% NDP 9% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 46% LPC 42% NDP 9% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 46% LPC 43% NDP 9% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 46% LPC 43% NDP 9% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 46% LPC 43% NDP 9% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 46% LPC 43% NDP 9% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 46% LPC 44% NDP 8% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 44% LPC 43% NDP 8% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 44% LPC 44% NDP 8% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 44% CPC 44% NDP 8% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 44% CPC 44% NDP 8% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 44% CPC 44% NDP 8% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 44% CPC 44% NDP 9% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 45% CPC 44% NDP 9% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 44% CPC 44% NDP 9% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 44% CPC 44% NDP 9% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 44% CPC 44% NDP 9% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC 45% LPC 43% NDP 9% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC 45% LPC 43% NDP 9% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC 44% LPC 43% NDP 9% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC 44% LPC 44% NDP 9% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC 44% LPC 44% NDP 9% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC 44% LPC 44% NDP 10% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC 44% LPC 44% NDP 9% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 44% LPC 43% NDP 9% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 44% LPC 44% NDP 9% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 51% LPC 37% NDP 5% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Edmonton Gateway

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 70% LPC 30% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 61% LPC 39% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 57% LPC 43% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 60% LPC 40% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 62% LPC 38% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 67% LPC 33% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 65% LPC 35% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 68% LPC 32% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 66% LPC 34% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 73% LPC 27% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 72% LPC 28% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 73% LPC 27% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 76% LPC 24% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 73% LPC 27% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 72% LPC 28% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 69% LPC 31% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 69% LPC 31% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 67% LPC 33% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 65% LPC 35% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 70% LPC 30% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 68% LPC 32% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 61% LPC 39% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 53% LPC 47% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 51% LPC 49% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 52% CPC 48% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 53% CPC 47% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 50% CPC 50% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 53% CPC 47% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 55% CPC 45% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 52% CPC 48% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 52% CPC 48% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 52% CPC 48% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC 58% LPC 42% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC 61% LPC 39% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC 56% LPC 44% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC 52% LPC 48% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC 51% LPC 49% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC 50% LPC 50% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC 52% LPC 48% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 55% LPC 45% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 50% LPC 50% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Edmonton Gateway



2019 2021 2025 Proj. CPC 51% ± 0% 57.6% 43.1% 50.6% LPC 37% ± 0% 24.3% 25.4% 37.1% IND 6% ± 0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% NDP 5% ± 0% 14.0% 25.3% 5.0% PPC 1% ± 0% 1.6% 5.7% 0.9% GPC 0% ± 0% 2.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.