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Canada


Halifax West (federal)


MP: Lena Diab (LPC)


Latest projection: February 25, 2024

LPC leaning hold
Halifax West 37% ± 7% 31% ± 7% 27% ± 6% 3% ± 3% LPC 2021 48.49% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 25, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Halifax West 85%▲ 14%▲ 2% Odds of winning | February 25, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Halifax West

LPC 37% ± 7% CPC 31% ± 7% NDP 27% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Halifax West 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP

Odds of winning | Halifax West

LPC 85% CPC 14% NDP 2% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Halifax West



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 68.6% 49.5% 48.49% 37% ± 7% NDP 11.8% 19.2% 24.2% 27% ± 6% CPC 15.6% 19.3% 22.0% 31% ± 7% PPC 0.0% 0.0% 2.8% 1% ± 2% GPC 3.9% 12.1% 2.3% 3% ± 3%