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Canada

Halifax


MP elect: Shannon Miedema (LPC)

Latest projection: May 25, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | Halifax


Liberal Shannon Miedema
Conservative Mark Boudreau
NDP Lisa Roberts
Green Amethyste Hamel-Gregory
PPC Maricar Aliasut

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.


Halifax 63% ± 6% LPC 19% ± 5% CPC 17% ± 5% NDP LPC 2025 63.0% 338Canada vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Halifax >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | May 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Halifax

LPC 63% ± 6% CPC 19% ± 5% NDP 17% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Halifax 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 NDP 37% LPC 34% CPC 24% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 NDP 37% LPC 34% CPC 24% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 NDP 37% LPC 35% CPC 24% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 LPC 37% NDP 36% CPC 23% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC 40% NDP 33% CPC 22% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 45% NDP 29% CPC 21% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 47% NDP 28% CPC 20% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 45% NDP 33% CPC 17% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 45% NDP 33% CPC 17% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 49% NDP 30% CPC 16% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 55% NDP 25% CPC 16% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 55% NDP 25% CPC 15% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 55% NDP 25% CPC 15% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 55% NDP 26% CPC 15% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 55% NDP 26% CPC 15% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 55% NDP 26% CPC 15% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 59% NDP 23% CPC 14% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 59% NDP 23% CPC 14% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 59% NDP 22% CPC 15% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 60% NDP 21% CPC 15% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 61% NDP 21% CPC 15% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 61% NDP 20% CPC 15% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 60% NDP 20% CPC 16% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 61% NDP 19% CPC 17% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 62% NDP 18% CPC 17% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 62% NDP 19% CPC 17% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 61% NDP 19% CPC 17% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 62% NDP 19% CPC 17% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 62% NDP 19% CPC 17% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 62% NDP 19% CPC 17% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 62% NDP 19% CPC 16% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 61% NDP 20% CPC 17% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 62% NDP 20% CPC 17% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 62% NDP 20% CPC 17% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 61% NDP 21% CPC 17% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 61% NDP 21% CPC 17% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 61% NDP 21% CPC 17% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 61% NDP 21% CPC 17% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 61% NDP 21% CPC 17% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 61% NDP 21% CPC 17% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 62% NDP 20% CPC 16% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 62% NDP 20% CPC 17% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 61% NDP 20% CPC 17% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 61% NDP 20% CPC 16% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 57% NDP 23% CPC 17% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 57% NDP 23% CPC 18% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 57% NDP 23% CPC 18% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 57% NDP 23% CPC 18% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 57% NDP 23% CPC 18% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 57% NDP 22% CPC 18% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 58% NDP 21% CPC 18% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 63% CPC 19% NDP 17% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 63% CPC 19% NDP 17% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 63% CPC 19% NDP 17% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 63% CPC 19% NDP 17% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Halifax

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 NDP 67% LPC 32% CPC <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 NDP 67% LPC 33% CPC <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 NDP 64% LPC 36% CPC <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 LPC 54% NDP 46% CPC <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC 86% NDP 14% CPC <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 99% NDP 1% CPC <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 97% NDP 3% CPC <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 97% NDP 3% CPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Halifax



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 63% ± 6% 42.0% 42.2% 63.0% CPC 19% ± 5% 11.5% 12.7% 19.1% NDP 17% ± 5% 30.5% 40.3% 16.6% GPC 1% ± 1% 14.5% 2.2% 0.8% PPC 1% ± 1% 1.2% 2.1% 0.5%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.