logo
logo
Canada

Halifax



Latest projection: December 29, 2024
NDP leaning
Halifax 39% ± 8% NDP 33% ± 7% LPC 24% ± 6% CPC 3% ± 3% GPC LPC 2021 42.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 29, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Halifax 85%▲ NDP 15%▼ LPC <1% CPC Odds of winning | December 29, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Halifax

LPC 33% ± 7% CPC 24% ± 6% NDP 39% ± 8% Popular vote projection % | Halifax 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP December 29, 2024 2024-05-12 LPC 39% NDP 34% CPC 23% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 LPC 39% NDP 34% CPC 23% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 LPC 39% NDP 34% CPC 23% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 LPC 39% NDP 35% CPC 22% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 LPC 39% NDP 35% CPC 22% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 LPC 40% NDP 36% CPC 21% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 LPC 39% NDP 37% CPC 20% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 LPC 39% NDP 37% CPC 20% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 LPC 40% NDP 36% CPC 19% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 LPC 41% NDP 36% CPC 18% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 LPC 40% NDP 37% CPC 18% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 LPC 40% NDP 37% CPC 18% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 LPC 40% NDP 37% CPC 19% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 LPC 39% NDP 37% CPC 19% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 LPC 39% NDP 37% CPC 20% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 LPC 38% NDP 36% CPC 20% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 LPC 38% NDP 35% CPC 21% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 LPC 38% NDP 35% CPC 22% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 LPC 38% NDP 34% CPC 23% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 LPC 38% NDP 34% CPC 23% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 LPC 38% NDP 34% CPC 23% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 LPC 38% NDP 34% CPC 23% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 LPC 37% NDP 35% CPC 22% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 LPC 37% NDP 35% CPC 22% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 LPC 37% NDP 36% CPC 22% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 LPC 37% NDP 36% CPC 22% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 LPC 38% NDP 35% CPC 21% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 LPC 39% NDP 35% CPC 21% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 LPC 38% NDP 36% CPC 21% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 LPC 37% NDP 36% CPC 21% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 NDP 38% LPC 35% CPC 22% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 NDP 38% LPC 35% CPC 22% 2024-12-15 2024-12-22 NDP 39% LPC 33% CPC 24% 2024-12-22 2024-12-29 NDP 39% LPC 33% CPC 24% 2024-12-29

Odds of winning | Halifax

LPC 15% CPC <1% NDP 85% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP December 29, 2024 2024-05-12 LPC 80% NDP 20% CPC <1% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 LPC 79% NDP 21% CPC <1% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 LPC 78% NDP 22% CPC <1% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 LPC 72% NDP 28% CPC <1% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 LPC 74% NDP 26% CPC <1% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 LPC 75% NDP 25% CPC <1% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 LPC 68% NDP 32% CPC <1% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 LPC 62% NDP 38% CPC <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 LPC 73% NDP 27% CPC <1% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 LPC 80% NDP 20% CPC <1% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 LPC 70% NDP 30% CPC <1% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 LPC 69% NDP 31% CPC <1% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 LPC 67% NDP 33% CPC <1% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 LPC 62% NDP 38% CPC <1% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 LPC 62% NDP 38% CPC <1% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 LPC 62% NDP 38% CPC <1% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 LPC 73% NDP 27% CPC <1% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 LPC 73% NDP 27% CPC <1% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 LPC 80% NDP 20% CPC <1% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 LPC 80% NDP 20% CPC <1% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 LPC 72% NDP 28% CPC <1% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 LPC 73% NDP 27% CPC <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 LPC 67% NDP 33% CPC <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 LPC 63% NDP 37% CPC <1% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 LPC 58% NDP 42% CPC <1% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 LPC 59% NDP 41% CPC <1% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 LPC 71% NDP 29% CPC <1% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 LPC 76% NDP 24% CPC <1% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 LPC 62% NDP 38% CPC <1% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 LPC 55% NDP 45% CPC <1% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 NDP 68% LPC 32% CPC <1% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 NDP 73% LPC 27% CPC <1% 2024-12-15 2024-12-22 NDP 84% LPC 16% CPC <1% 2024-12-22 2024-12-29 NDP 85% LPC 15% CPC <1% 2024-12-29

Recent electoral history | Halifax



2019 2021 Proj. NDP 30.5% 40.3% 39% ± 8% LPC 42.0% 42.2% 33% ± 7% CPC 11.5% 12.7% 24% ± 6% GPC 14.5% 2.2% 3% ± 3% PPC 1.2% 2.1% 1% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.