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Canada

Rivière-des-Milles-Îles



Latest projection: April 15, 2025
LPC likely

Candidates | Rivière-des-Milles-Îles


Liberal Linda Lapointe
Conservative Elia Lopez
NDP Joseph Hakizimana
Green Alec Ware
Bloc Quebecois Luc Desilets*
PPC David Santamaria Quiceno
Independent Michel Genois

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Rivière-des-Milles-Îles 43% ± 8% LPC 33% ± 7% BQ 13% ± 5% CPC 4% ± 3% NDP BQ 2021 40.5% 338Canada vote projection | April 15, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Rivière-des-Milles-Îles 97%▲ LPC 3%▼ BQ <1% CPC Odds of winning | April 15, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Rivière-des-Milles-Îles

LPC 43% ± 8% CPC 13% ± 5% NDP 4% ± 3% BQ 33% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Rivière-des-Milles-Îles 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP BQ April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 BQ 39% LPC 32% CPC 15% NDP 6% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 BQ 38% LPC 34% CPC 15% NDP 6% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 BQ 37% LPC 36% CPC 14% NDP 6% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 BQ 37% LPC 36% CPC 14% NDP 6% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 BQ 37% LPC 36% CPC 14% NDP 6% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 BQ 37% LPC 36% CPC 14% NDP 6% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 BQ 37% LPC 36% CPC 14% NDP 6% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 BQ 37% LPC 36% CPC 14% NDP 5% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 39% BQ 36% CPC 13% NDP 5% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 39% BQ 36% CPC 13% NDP 5% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 40% BQ 35% CPC 13% NDP 5% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 41% BQ 35% CPC 14% NDP 4% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 41% BQ 34% CPC 14% NDP 4% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 42% BQ 33% CPC 14% NDP 4% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 42% BQ 34% CPC 14% NDP 4% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 43% BQ 33% CPC 14% NDP 4% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 43% BQ 33% CPC 14% NDP 4% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 44% BQ 32% CPC 14% NDP 4% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 44% BQ 33% CPC 14% NDP 4% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 44% BQ 33% CPC 14% NDP 4% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 44% BQ 33% CPC 14% NDP 4% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 45% BQ 33% CPC 14% NDP 4% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 45% BQ 33% CPC 13% NDP 4% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 44% BQ 34% CPC 13% NDP 4% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 44% BQ 33% CPC 13% NDP 4% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 44% BQ 33% CPC 13% NDP 4% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 44% BQ 33% CPC 13% NDP 4% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 44% BQ 33% CPC 13% NDP 4% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 43% BQ 33% CPC 13% NDP 4% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 43% BQ 33% CPC 13% NDP 4% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Rivière-des-Milles-Îles

LPC 97% NDP <1% BQ 3% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC NDP BQ April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 BQ 87% LPC 13% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 BQ 77% LPC 23% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 BQ 58% LPC 42% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 BQ 54% LPC 46% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 BQ 53% LPC 47% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 BQ 54% LPC 46% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 BQ 58% LPC 42% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 BQ 58% LPC 42% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 68% BQ 32% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 72% BQ 28% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 80% BQ 20% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 85% BQ 15% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 90% BQ 10% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 93% BQ 7% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 91% BQ 9% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 95% BQ 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 97% BQ 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 98% BQ 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 97% BQ 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 97% BQ 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 98% BQ 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 98% BQ 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 97% BQ 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 96% BQ 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 97% BQ 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 97% BQ 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 96% BQ 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 96% BQ 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 95% BQ 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 97% BQ 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Rivière-des-Milles-Îles



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 36.2% 35.4% 43% ± 8% BQ 40.6% 40.5% 33% ± 7% CPC 8.0% 10.2% 13% ± 5% NDP 8.5% 7.2% 4% ± 3% GPC 5.1% 1.8% 2% ± 2% PPC 1.5% 2.7% 2% ± 3%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.