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Canada


Rivière-du-Nord (federal)


MP: Rhéal Fortin (BQ)


Latest projection: March 24, 2024

BQ safe hold
Rivière-du-Nord 54% ± 8%▲ 19% ± 5%▼ 14% ± 5% 10% ± 4% 3% ± 2% BQ 2021 52.16% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 24, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Rivière-du-Nord >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | March 24, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Rivière-du-Nord

LPC 14% ± 5% CPC 19% ± 5% NDP 10% ± 4% BQ 54% ± 8% Popular vote projection % | Rivière-du-Nord 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP BQ

Odds of winning | Rivière-du-Nord

LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP <1% GPC <1% BQ >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ

Recent electoral history | Rivière-du-Nord



2015 2019 2021 Proj. BQ 32.0% 52.0% 52.16% 54% ± 8% LPC 26.4% 22.3% 22.24% 14% ± 5% CPC 8.5% 11.8% 12.0% 19% ± 5% NDP 30.1% 7.0% 6.88% 10% ± 4% PPC 0.0% 0.7% 3.77% 3% ± 2% GPC 2.5% 5.6% 0.0% 1% ± 1% IND 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0% ± 0%