338Canada | Dauphin–Swan River–Neepawa (Manitoba federal district)




46004 - Dauphin–Swan River–Neepawa

Province: Manitoba
Population (2016): 87,525 residents
Population density: 1.72 pop./km² (rank: 316 of 338)
Median household income: $54 508 (rank: 294 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Daniel Mazier (CPC)



Latest projection (September 20, 2021)

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2021 Candidates | Dauphin–Swan River–Neepawa


Kevin Carlson
Dan Mazier
Arthru Holroyd
Shirley Lambrecht
Donna McKenna
Lori Falloon





Federal vote projection | Dauphin–Swan River–Neepawa

Last update: September 20, 2021







Odds of winning | Dauphin–Swan River–Neepawa

Last update: September 20, 2021






Electoral history of Dauphin–Swan River–Neepawa



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Dauphin–Swan River–Neepawa



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Dauphin–Swan River–Neepawa


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
56.7% ± 8.9% 64.3% Within confidence interval
13.8% ± 5.5% 14.1% Within confidence interval
16.7% ± 5.9% 13.2% Within confidence interval
9.2% ± 4.1% 5.5% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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