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Canada

Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation


MP elect: Stephane Lauzon (LPC)

Latest projection: May 25, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation


Liberal Stephane Lauzon*
Conservative Martin Charron
NDP Michel Welt
Green Bertha Fuchsman-Small
Bloc Quebecois Martin Heroux
PPC Lindsey Therrien

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.


Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation 47% ± 6% LPC 25% ± 5% CPC 23% ± 5% BQ 3% ± 2% NDP LPC 2025 47.5% 338Canada vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% BQ Odds of winning | May 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation

LPC 47% ± 6% CPC 25% ± 5% BQ 23% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC BQ May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 BQ 40% LPC 26% CPC 21% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 BQ 39% LPC 26% CPC 21% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 BQ 39% LPC 27% CPC 21% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 BQ 39% LPC 28% CPC 20% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 BQ 36% LPC 31% CPC 20% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 BQ 35% LPC 34% CPC 19% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 36% BQ 33% CPC 19% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 39% BQ 31% CPC 18% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 39% BQ 30% CPC 19% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 41% BQ 30% CPC 18% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 43% BQ 29% CPC 18% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 44% BQ 28% CPC 18% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 44% BQ 28% CPC 18% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 44% BQ 28% CPC 18% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 44% BQ 29% CPC 17% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 44% BQ 29% CPC 17% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 46% BQ 28% CPC 17% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 47% BQ 28% CPC 16% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 47% BQ 27% CPC 17% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 48% BQ 26% CPC 17% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 48% BQ 26% CPC 17% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 49% BQ 25% CPC 17% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 49% BQ 25% CPC 17% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 51% BQ 23% CPC 18% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 51% BQ 22% CPC 18% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 53% BQ 22% CPC 18% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 53% BQ 22% CPC 18% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 53% BQ 22% CPC 17% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 53% BQ 21% CPC 17% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 54% BQ 21% CPC 18% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 54% BQ 21% CPC 17% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 54% BQ 22% CPC 16% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 54% BQ 21% CPC 17% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 54% BQ 21% CPC 17% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 54% BQ 21% CPC 17% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 54% BQ 21% CPC 18% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 53% BQ 21% CPC 18% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 54% BQ 21% CPC 18% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 54% BQ 20% CPC 17% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 54% BQ 21% CPC 17% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 54% BQ 21% CPC 17% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 54% BQ 21% CPC 17% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 54% BQ 21% CPC 18% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 52% BQ 22% CPC 18% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 52% BQ 22% CPC 18% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 52% BQ 22% CPC 18% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 51% BQ 22% CPC 19% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 51% BQ 22% CPC 19% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 50% BQ 22% CPC 20% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 50% BQ 22% CPC 20% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 52% BQ 22% CPC 19% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 47% CPC 25% BQ 23% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 47% CPC 25% BQ 23% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 47% CPC 25% BQ 23% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 47% CPC 25% BQ 23% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 LPC 1% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 LPC 1% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 LPC 2% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC 22% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 43% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 66% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 90% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 94% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 98% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 47% ± 6% 39.7% 39.2% 47.5% CPC 25% ± 5% 12.6% 13.5% 24.8% BQ 23% ± 5% 33.4% 32.8% 22.8% NDP 3% ± 2% 8.1% 7.1% 2.5% GPC 1% ± 1% 4.7% 0.4% 1.4% PPC 1% ± 1% 1.4% 5.8% 1.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.