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Canada


Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation


Latest projection: May 12, 2024
BQ leaning
Note: The terms "hold" and "gain" are used to compare current projections with transposed 2021 results onto the new electoral map.
Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation 37% ± 7% BQ 31% ± 7% LPC 19% ± 5% CPC 7% ± 3% NDP 3% ± 4% PPC LPC 2021 39.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | May 12, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation 89% BQ 11% LPC <1% CPC Odds of winning | May 12, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation

LPC 31% ± 7% CPC 19% ± 5% NDP 7% ± 3% BQ 37% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC CPC NDP BQ May 12, 2024

Odds of winning | Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation

LPC 11% CPC <1% NDP <1% BQ 89% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC CPC NDP BQ May 12, 2024

Recent electoral history | Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 39.7% 39.2% 31% ± 7% BQ 33.4% 32.8% 37% ± 7% CPC 12.6% 13.5% 19% ± 5% NDP 8.1% 7.1% 7% ± 3% PPC 1.4% 5.8% 3% ± 4% GPC 4.7% 0.4% 1% ± 1%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.