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Kamloops—Thompson—Nicola



Latest projection: April 15, 2025
CPC likely

Candidates | Kamloops—Thompson—Nicola


Liberal Iain Currie
Conservative Frank Caputo*
NDP Miguel Godau
Green Jenna Lindley
PPC Chris Enns

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Kamloops—Thompson—Nicola 49% ± 8%▲ CPC 38% ± 8% LPC 9% ± 5% NDP CPC 2021 43.5% 338Canada vote projection | April 15, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Kamloops—Thompson—Nicola 95%▲ CPC 5%▼ LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 15, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Kamloops—Thompson—Nicola

LPC 38% ± 8% CPC 49% ± 8% NDP 9% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Kamloops—Thompson—Nicola 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 50% LPC 21% NDP 20% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 51% LPC 23% NDP 18% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 51% LPC 28% NDP 14% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 51% LPC 28% NDP 14% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 51% LPC 28% NDP 14% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 51% LPC 29% NDP 13% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 51% LPC 29% NDP 13% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 51% LPC 29% NDP 13% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 50% LPC 32% NDP 11% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 50% LPC 33% NDP 11% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 50% LPC 33% NDP 11% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 50% LPC 33% NDP 11% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 50% LPC 34% NDP 11% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 49% LPC 34% NDP 10% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 50% LPC 34% NDP 10% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 49% LPC 36% NDP 10% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 49% LPC 37% NDP 9% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 49% LPC 37% NDP 9% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 49% LPC 37% NDP 9% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 49% LPC 37% NDP 9% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 49% LPC 37% NDP 9% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 50% LPC 37% NDP 9% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 50% LPC 37% NDP 9% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 49% LPC 38% NDP 9% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 49% LPC 39% NDP 9% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 48% LPC 39% NDP 9% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 48% LPC 38% NDP 9% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 48% LPC 38% NDP 9% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 48% LPC 38% NDP 9% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 49% LPC 38% NDP 9% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Kamloops—Thompson—Nicola

LPC 5% CPC 95% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 93% LPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 93% LPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 93% LPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Kamloops—Thompson—Nicola



2019 2021 Proj. CPC 44.5% 43.5% 49% ± 8% LPC 25.7% 17.7% 38% ± 8% NDP 15.3% 28.6% 9% ± 5% GPC 12.2% 3.8% 2% ± 2% PPC 1.7% 6.0% 2% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.