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Canada


Don Valley North (federal)


MP: Han Dong (IND)


Latest projection: September 24, 2023

LPC likely hold
Don Valley North 46% ± 7%▲ 35% ± 7% 11% ± 4%▼ 5% ± 4% LPC 2021 54.35% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 24, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Don Valley North 97%▲ 3%▼ <1% Odds of winning | September 24, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Don Valley North

LPC 46% ± 7% CPC 35% ± 7% NDP 11% ± 4% GPC 5% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Don Valley North 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Odds of winning | Don Valley North

LPC 97% CPC 3% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Don Valley North



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 51.4% 50.4% 54.35% 46% ± 7% CPC 37.8% 35.4% 29.69% 35% ± 7% NDP 8.5% 9.2% 10.68% 11% ± 4% PPC 0.0% 1.0% 3.36% 2% ± 2% GPC 2.2% 3.9% 1.92% 5% ± 4%