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Canada

Foothills


MP elect: John Barlow (CPC)

Latest projection: April 30, 2025
CPC safe

Candidates | Foothills


Liberal John Bruinsma
Conservative John Barlow*
NDP Kaitte Aurora
Green Emma Hoberg
PPC Paul O'Halloran

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Foothills 76% ± 0% CPC 19% ± 0%▲ LPC 3% ± 0%▼ NDP CPC 2025 76.5% 338Canada vote projection | April 30, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Foothills >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 30, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Foothills

LPC 19% ± 0% CPC 76% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Foothills 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 71% LPC 9% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 69% LPC 13% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 70% LPC 17% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 69% LPC 17% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 69% LPC 17% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 69% LPC 17% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 69% LPC 17% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 69% LPC 17% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 69% LPC 18% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 69% LPC 18% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 69% LPC 18% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 70% LPC 17% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 71% LPC 17% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 71% LPC 17% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 72% LPC 16% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 72% LPC 17% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 73% LPC 16% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 73% LPC 17% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 73% LPC 16% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 73% LPC 16% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 73% LPC 17% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 74% LPC 16% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 74% LPC 16% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 75% LPC 15% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 76% LPC 16% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 76% LPC 16% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 76% LPC 16% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 75% LPC 16% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 76% LPC 16% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 76% LPC 16% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 75% LPC 16% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 75% LPC 16% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 75% LPC 16% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC 75% LPC 16% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC 76% LPC 16% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC 77% LPC 15% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC 76% LPC 15% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC 76% LPC 16% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC 76% LPC 16% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC 76% LPC 16% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC 76% LPC 16% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 76% LPC 16% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 76% LPC 17% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 76% LPC 19% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Foothills

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Foothills



2019 2021 2025 Proj. CPC 76% ± 0% 81.2% 68.4% 76.5% LPC 19% ± 0% 6.2% 6.9% 18.9% NDP 3% ± 0% 6.2% 11.4% 2.7% PPC 1% ± 0% 2.7% 8.2% 1.1% GPC 1% ± 0% 3.7% 1.3% 0.9%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.