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Canada

Cariboo—Prince George


MP elect: Todd Doherty (CPC)

Latest projection: May 25, 2025
CPC safe

Candidates | Cariboo—Prince George


Liberal Clinton Emslie
Conservative Todd Doherty*
NDP Angie Bonazzo
Green Jodie Capling
PPC Rudy Sans
Christian Heritage Jake Wiens
Independent Kenneth B. Thomson

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.


Cariboo—Prince George 60% ± 6% CPC 30% ± 6% LPC 6% ± 3% NDP CPC 2025 60.3% 338Canada vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Cariboo—Prince George >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | May 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Cariboo—Prince George

LPC 30% ± 6% CPC 60% ± 6% NDP 6% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Cariboo—Prince George 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC 65% NDP 17% LPC 9% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC 66% NDP 17% LPC 10% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC 66% NDP 16% LPC 10% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC 65% NDP 16% LPC 10% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC 64% NDP 16% LPC 12% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC 62% NDP 15% LPC 15% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC 61% LPC 16% NDP 14% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC 57% LPC 19% NDP 15% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC 56% LPC 19% NDP 15% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 57% LPC 21% NDP 13% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 57% LPC 25% NDP 10% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 57% LPC 26% NDP 10% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 57% LPC 26% NDP 10% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 57% LPC 26% NDP 9% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 57% LPC 27% NDP 9% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 57% LPC 27% NDP 9% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 56% LPC 30% NDP 8% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 56% LPC 30% NDP 8% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 55% LPC 30% NDP 8% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 56% LPC 30% NDP 7% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 55% LPC 31% NDP 7% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 55% LPC 31% NDP 7% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 55% LPC 31% NDP 7% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 55% LPC 33% NDP 7% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 55% LPC 34% NDP 7% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 54% LPC 34% NDP 6% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 54% LPC 34% NDP 6% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 55% LPC 34% NDP 6% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 55% LPC 34% NDP 6% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 55% LPC 34% NDP 6% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 55% LPC 34% NDP 6% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 55% LPC 35% NDP 6% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 53% LPC 35% NDP 6% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 53% LPC 35% NDP 6% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 53% LPC 34% NDP 6% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 53% LPC 35% NDP 6% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 53% LPC 34% NDP 6% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 53% LPC 34% NDP 6% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 53% LPC 34% NDP 6% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 53% LPC 34% NDP 6% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC 53% LPC 35% NDP 6% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC 54% LPC 34% NDP 6% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC 54% LPC 34% NDP 6% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC 54% LPC 34% NDP 6% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC 54% LPC 35% NDP 6% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC 53% LPC 35% NDP 5% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC 53% LPC 35% NDP 5% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC 53% LPC 36% NDP 5% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC 53% LPC 36% NDP 5% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 54% LPC 36% NDP 5% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 54% LPC 36% NDP 5% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 60% LPC 30% NDP 6% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 60% LPC 30% NDP 6% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 60% LPC 30% NDP 6% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 60% LPC 30% NDP 6% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Cariboo—Prince George

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Cariboo—Prince George



2019 2021 2025 Proj. CPC 60% ± 6% 54.0% 51.2% 60.3% LPC 30% ± 6% 19.6% 16.3% 30.4% NDP 6% ± 3% 14.5% 20.4% 6.2% GPC 2% ± 1% 9.1% 3.5% 1.8% PPC 1% ± 1% 2.1% 8.2% 0.7% IND 1% ± 1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.