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Canada


Cambridge (federal)


MP: Bryan May (LPC)


Latest projection: October 1, 2023

CPC likely gain
Cambridge 40% ± 7%▲ 31% ± 6% 17% ± 5%▼ 7% ± 4%▼ 4% ± 4% LPC 2021 37.98% 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 1, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Cambridge 96%▲ 4%▼ <1% Odds of winning | October 1, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Cambridge

LPC 31% ± 6% CPC 40% ± 7% NDP 17% ± 5% GPC 7% ± 4% PPC 4% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Cambridge 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC

Odds of winning | Cambridge

LPC 4% CPC 96% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-04-01 2022-07-01 2022-10-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-04-01 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Cambridge



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 43.2% 39.5% 37.98% 31% ± 6% CPC 38.6% 30.0% 34.43% 40% ± 7% NDP 13.9% 19.3% 17.01% 17% ± 5% PPC 0.0% 3.2% 7.18% 4% ± 4% GPC 3.2% 7.5% 3.4% 7% ± 4%