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Canada

Calgary East



Latest projection: April 15, 2025
CPC likely

Candidates | Calgary East


Liberal Priti Obhrai-Martin
Conservative Jasraj Singh Hallan*
NDP Jennifer Geha
Green Carey Rutherford
PPC Harry Dhillon
Christian Heritage Garry Dirk
Communist Jonathan Trautman

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Calgary East 49% ± 9% CPC 39% ± 8%▲ LPC 7% ± 4%▲ NDP CPC 2021 52.9% 338Canada vote projection | April 15, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Calgary East 93%▼ CPC 7%▲ LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 15, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Calgary East

LPC 39% ± 8% CPC 49% ± 9% NDP 7% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Calgary East 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 56% LPC 23% NDP 15% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 52% LPC 28% NDP 13% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 49% LPC 35% NDP 10% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 48% LPC 35% NDP 10% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 48% LPC 35% NDP 10% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 48% LPC 35% NDP 10% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 48% LPC 35% NDP 11% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 49% LPC 34% NDP 11% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 49% LPC 35% NDP 10% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 49% LPC 35% NDP 9% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 49% LPC 35% NDP 9% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 50% LPC 35% NDP 9% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 50% LPC 35% NDP 9% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 51% LPC 35% NDP 8% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 51% LPC 35% NDP 8% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 51% LPC 36% NDP 8% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 52% LPC 36% NDP 8% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 52% LPC 36% NDP 7% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 52% LPC 37% NDP 7% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 52% LPC 37% NDP 7% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 51% LPC 37% NDP 7% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 52% LPC 37% NDP 7% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 52% LPC 37% NDP 7% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 51% LPC 38% NDP 6% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 50% LPC 38% NDP 7% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 50% LPC 38% NDP 7% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 50% LPC 38% NDP 6% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 49% LPC 38% NDP 6% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 49% LPC 38% NDP 6% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 49% LPC 39% NDP 7% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Calgary East

LPC 7% CPC 93% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 96% LPC 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 93% LPC 7% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Calgary East



2019 2021 Proj. CPC 67.1% 52.9% 49% ± 9% LPC 14.4% 18.5% 39% ± 8% NDP 10.6% 18.1% 7% ± 4% GPC 3.8% 2.1% 2% ± 2% PPC 3.0% 7.2% 2% ± 3%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.