logo
logo
Canada

Brossard—Saint-Lambert


MP: Alexandra Mendes (LPC)

Latest projection: June 1, 2025
LPC safe

Recent electoral history | Brossard—Saint-Lambert


2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 62% ± 8% 53.9% 54.1% 62.2% CPC 19% ± 6% 10.8% 12.0% 18.9% BQ 13% ± 5% 19.6% 19.9% 13.3% NDP 4% ± 3% 9.5% 10.4% 3.5% GPC 1% ± 2% 5.2% 0.0% 1.5% PPC 1% ± 1% 0.9% 2.5% 0.6%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.


Brossard—Saint-Lambert 62% ± 8% LPC 19% ± 6% CPC 13% ± 5% BQ 4% ± 3%▲ NDP LPC 2025 62.2% 338Canada vote projection | June 1, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Brossard—Saint-Lambert >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% BQ Odds of winning | June 1, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Brossard—Saint-Lambert

LPC 62% ± 8% CPC 19% ± 6% NDP 4% ± 3% BQ 13% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Brossard—Saint-Lambert 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP BQ June 1, 2025 2025-01-12 LPC 33% BQ 27% CPC 23% NDP 14% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 LPC 33% BQ 27% CPC 24% NDP 14% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 LPC 34% BQ 26% CPC 23% NDP 14% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 LPC 35% BQ 26% CPC 22% NDP 14% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC 39% BQ 24% CPC 21% NDP 13% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 42% BQ 23% CPC 21% NDP 11% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 44% BQ 22% CPC 21% NDP 10% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 47% BQ 21% CPC 20% NDP 9% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 48% CPC 20% BQ 20% NDP 9% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 50% CPC 19% BQ 19% NDP 8% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 53% CPC 19% BQ 18% NDP 8% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 53% CPC 19% BQ 18% NDP 7% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 53% CPC 19% BQ 18% NDP 7% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 53% CPC 19% BQ 18% NDP 7% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 53% BQ 19% CPC 18% NDP 7% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 53% BQ 19% CPC 18% NDP 7% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 56% BQ 18% CPC 17% NDP 6% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 56% BQ 18% CPC 17% NDP 6% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 56% CPC 18% BQ 17% NDP 6% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 57% CPC 18% BQ 17% NDP 6% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 57% CPC 18% BQ 16% NDP 6% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 57% CPC 18% BQ 16% NDP 5% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 58% CPC 18% BQ 16% NDP 5% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 59% CPC 18% BQ 15% NDP 5% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 60% CPC 18% BQ 14% NDP 5% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 61% CPC 18% BQ 14% NDP 5% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 61% CPC 18% BQ 14% NDP 5% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 61% CPC 18% BQ 14% NDP 5% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 62% CPC 18% BQ 14% NDP 5% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 62% CPC 18% BQ 13% NDP 5% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 62% CPC 17% BQ 14% NDP 5% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 62% CPC 17% BQ 14% NDP 5% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 62% CPC 17% BQ 13% NDP 5% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 62% CPC 17% BQ 13% NDP 5% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 62% CPC 17% BQ 13% NDP 5% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 61% CPC 17% BQ 13% NDP 5% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 61% CPC 18% BQ 13% NDP 6% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 62% CPC 18% BQ 13% NDP 6% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 61% CPC 18% BQ 13% NDP 6% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 61% CPC 18% BQ 13% NDP 6% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 61% CPC 18% BQ 13% NDP 6% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 61% CPC 18% BQ 14% NDP 6% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 61% CPC 18% BQ 14% NDP 5% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 61% CPC 18% BQ 14% NDP 5% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 61% CPC 18% BQ 14% NDP 5% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 60% CPC 18% BQ 14% NDP 5% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 59% CPC 19% BQ 14% NDP 6% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 59% CPC 19% BQ 14% NDP 6% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 59% CPC 20% BQ 14% NDP 6% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 58% CPC 20% BQ 14% NDP 6% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 60% CPC 19% BQ 14% NDP 5% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 62% CPC 19% BQ 13% NDP 4% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 62% CPC 19% BQ 13% NDP 4% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 62% CPC 19% BQ 13% NDP 4% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 62% CPC 19% BQ 13% NDP 3% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC 62% CPC 19% BQ 13% NDP 4% 2025-06-01 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Brossard—Saint-Lambert

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP June 1, 2025 2025-01-12 LPC 86% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 LPC 87% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 LPC 91% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 LPC 95% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-06-01 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader