logo
Canada


Berthier—Maskinongé


Latest projection: May 12, 2024
BQ likely
Note: The terms "hold" and "gain" are used to compare current projections with transposed 2021 results onto the new electoral map.
Berthier—Maskinongé 39% ± 7% BQ 31% ± 7% NDP 15% ± 5% CPC 10% ± 4% LPC BQ 2021 35.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | May 12, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Berthier—Maskinongé 93% BQ 7% NDP <1% CPC Odds of winning | May 12, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Berthier—Maskinongé

LPC 10% ± 4% CPC 15% ± 5% NDP 31% ± 7% BQ 39% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Berthier—Maskinongé 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC CPC NDP BQ May 12, 2024

Odds of winning | Berthier—Maskinongé

LPC <1% NDP 7% BQ 93% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC NDP BQ May 12, 2024

Recent electoral history | Berthier—Maskinongé



2019 2021 Proj. BQ 38.4% 35.9% 39% ± 7% NDP 34.0% 32.7% 31% ± 7% LPC 14.0% 15.4% 10% ± 4% CPC 10.3% 10.9% 15% ± 5% PPC 0.8% 2.6% 1% ± 2% GPC 1.9% 1.0% 2% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.