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Canada

Berthier—Maskinongé


MP elect: Yves Perron (BQ)

Latest projection: May 25, 2025
BQ likely

Candidates | Berthier—Maskinongé


Liberal Stephane Bilodeau
Conservative Peter Saliba
NDP Ruth Ellen Brosseau
Green Daniel Simon
Bloc Quebecois Yves Perron*
PPC Elia Gomez-Gnali

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.


Berthier—Maskinongé 35% ± 5% BQ 24% ± 5% LPC 22% ± 5% NDP 17% ± 4% CPC BQ 2025 35.0% 338Canada vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Berthier—Maskinongé >99% BQ <1% LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | May 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Berthier—Maskinongé

LPC 24% ± 5% CPC 17% ± 4% NDP 22% ± 5% BQ 35% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Berthier—Maskinongé 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP BQ May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 BQ 42% NDP 30% CPC 16% LPC 8% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 BQ 41% NDP 30% CPC 16% LPC 8% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 BQ 41% NDP 30% CPC 16% LPC 8% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 BQ 41% NDP 30% CPC 16% LPC 9% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 BQ 39% NDP 30% CPC 16% LPC 11% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 BQ 39% NDP 28% CPC 16% LPC 13% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 BQ 38% NDP 26% CPC 16% LPC 14% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 BQ 37% NDP 25% CPC 16% LPC 16% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 BQ 37% NDP 25% CPC 17% LPC 16% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 BQ 36% NDP 24% LPC 18% CPC 16% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 BQ 36% NDP 23% LPC 20% CPC 16% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 BQ 36% NDP 23% LPC 20% CPC 16% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 BQ 36% NDP 23% LPC 20% CPC 16% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 BQ 36% NDP 23% LPC 20% CPC 16% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 BQ 36% NDP 22% LPC 20% CPC 16% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 BQ 36% NDP 22% LPC 20% CPC 16% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 BQ 36% LPC 24% NDP 19% CPC 16% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 BQ 35% LPC 24% NDP 19% CPC 16% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 BQ 35% LPC 25% NDP 19% CPC 16% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 BQ 34% LPC 25% NDP 18% CPC 16% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 BQ 34% LPC 26% NDP 18% CPC 17% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 BQ 34% LPC 26% NDP 18% CPC 17% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 BQ 34% LPC 26% NDP 18% CPC 17% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 BQ 34% LPC 27% NDP 17% CPC 17% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 BQ 33% LPC 27% NDP 17% CPC 17% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 BQ 33% LPC 28% NDP 17% CPC 17% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 BQ 33% LPC 28% NDP 17% CPC 17% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 BQ 34% LPC 29% CPC 17% NDP 15% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 BQ 34% LPC 29% CPC 17% NDP 15% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 BQ 33% LPC 29% CPC 17% NDP 15% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 BQ 29% LPC 28% NDP 27% CPC 12% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 BQ 29% NDP 28% LPC 27% CPC 11% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 BQ 29% NDP 28% LPC 28% CPC 12% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 BQ 29% NDP 28% LPC 28% CPC 12% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 BQ 29% NDP 28% LPC 28% CPC 12% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 BQ 28% NDP 28% LPC 27% CPC 12% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 BQ 29% NDP 28% LPC 27% CPC 12% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 BQ 28% NDP 28% LPC 27% CPC 12% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 BQ 28% NDP 28% LPC 28% CPC 12% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 BQ 29% NDP 28% LPC 27% CPC 12% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 BQ 30% NDP 28% LPC 27% CPC 12% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 BQ 30% NDP 28% LPC 27% CPC 12% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 BQ 30% NDP 27% LPC 27% CPC 12% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 BQ 31% NDP 27% LPC 26% CPC 12% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 BQ 31% NDP 27% LPC 26% CPC 12% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 BQ 31% NDP 27% LPC 26% CPC 12% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 BQ 31% NDP 28% LPC 25% CPC 13% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 BQ 37% NDP 26% LPC 19% CPC 13% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 BQ 37% NDP 26% LPC 19% CPC 13% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 BQ 37% NDP 26% LPC 19% CPC 13% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 BQ 36% NDP 25% LPC 21% CPC 14% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 BQ 35% LPC 24% NDP 22% CPC 17% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 BQ 35% LPC 24% NDP 22% CPC 17% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 BQ 35% LPC 24% NDP 22% CPC 17% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 BQ 35% LPC 24% NDP 22% CPC 17% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Berthier—Maskinongé

LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP <1% BQ >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP BQ May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 BQ 98% NDP 2% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 BQ 97% NDP 3% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 BQ 96% NDP 4% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 BQ 97% NDP 3% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 BQ 95% NDP 5% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 BQ 98% NDP 2% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 BQ 99% NDP 1% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 BQ 99% NDP 1% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 BQ 99% NDP 1% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 BQ 99% NDP 1% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 BQ >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 BQ >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 BQ >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 BQ >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 BQ >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 BQ >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 BQ 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 BQ 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 BQ 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 BQ 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 BQ 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 BQ 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 BQ 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 BQ 92% LPC 8% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 BQ 88% LPC 12% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 BQ 84% LPC 16% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 BQ 87% LPC 13% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 BQ 86% LPC 14% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 BQ 85% LPC 15% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 BQ 82% LPC 18% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 BQ 41% LPC 33% NDP 26% CPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 BQ 40% NDP 34% LPC 27% CPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 BQ 36% NDP 35% LPC 30% CPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 BQ 37% NDP 34% LPC 30% CPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 BQ 40% NDP 32% LPC 28% CPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 BQ 37% NDP 37% LPC 26% CPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 BQ 39% NDP 39% LPC 22% CPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 NDP 38% BQ 37% LPC 25% CPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 NDP 36% BQ 34% LPC 30% CPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 BQ 50% NDP 30% LPC 20% CPC <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 BQ 54% NDP 28% LPC 18% CPC <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 BQ 58% NDP 25% LPC 17% CPC <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 BQ 61% NDP 22% LPC 17% CPC <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 BQ 68% NDP 21% LPC 11% CPC <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 BQ 74% NDP 17% LPC 9% CPC <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 BQ 71% NDP 21% LPC 8% CPC <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 BQ 71% NDP 24% LPC 6% CPC <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 BQ 98% NDP 2% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 BQ 98% NDP 2% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 BQ 98% NDP 2% CPC <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 BQ 99% NDP 1% LPC <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 BQ >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Berthier—Maskinongé



2019 2021 2025 Proj. BQ 35% ± 5% 38.4% 35.9% 35.0% LPC 24% ± 5% 14.0% 15.4% 24.3% NDP 22% ± 5% 34.0% 32.7% 21.7% CPC 17% ± 4% 10.3% 10.9% 17.2% PPC 1% ± 1% 0.8% 2.6% 0.9% GPC 1% ± 1% 1.9% 1.0% 0.9%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.