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Canada

Berthier—Maskinongé



Latest projection: April 15, 2025
Toss up LPC/NDP/BQ

Candidates | Berthier—Maskinongé


Liberal Stephane Bilodeau
Conservative Peter Saliba
NDP Ruth Ellen Brosseau
Green Daniel Simon
Bloc Quebecois Yves Perron*
PPC Elia Gomez-Gnali

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Berthier—Maskinongé 28% ± 6%▼ BQ 28% ± 7% NDP 27% ± 6% LPC 12% ± 4% CPC BQ 2021 35.9% 338Canada vote projection | April 15, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Berthier—Maskinongé 37%▼ NDP 37%▼ BQ 26%▲ LPC Odds of winning | April 15, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Berthier—Maskinongé

LPC 27% ± 6% CPC 12% ± 4% NDP 28% ± 7% BQ 28% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Berthier—Maskinongé 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP BQ April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 BQ 37% NDP 25% CPC 17% LPC 16% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 BQ 36% NDP 24% LPC 18% CPC 16% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 BQ 36% NDP 23% LPC 20% CPC 16% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 BQ 36% NDP 23% LPC 20% CPC 16% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 BQ 36% NDP 23% LPC 20% CPC 16% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 BQ 36% NDP 23% LPC 20% CPC 16% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 BQ 36% NDP 22% LPC 20% CPC 16% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 BQ 36% NDP 22% LPC 20% CPC 16% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 BQ 36% LPC 24% NDP 19% CPC 16% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 BQ 35% LPC 24% NDP 19% CPC 16% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 BQ 35% LPC 25% NDP 19% CPC 16% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 BQ 34% LPC 25% NDP 18% CPC 16% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 BQ 34% LPC 26% NDP 18% CPC 17% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 BQ 34% LPC 26% NDP 18% CPC 17% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 BQ 34% LPC 26% NDP 18% CPC 17% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 BQ 34% LPC 27% NDP 17% CPC 17% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 BQ 33% LPC 27% NDP 17% CPC 17% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 BQ 33% LPC 28% NDP 17% CPC 17% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 BQ 33% LPC 28% NDP 17% CPC 17% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 BQ 34% LPC 29% CPC 17% NDP 15% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 BQ 34% LPC 29% CPC 17% NDP 15% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 BQ 33% LPC 29% CPC 17% NDP 15% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 BQ 29% LPC 28% NDP 27% CPC 12% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 BQ 29% NDP 28% LPC 27% CPC 11% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 BQ 29% NDP 28% LPC 28% CPC 12% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 BQ 29% NDP 28% LPC 28% CPC 12% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 BQ 29% NDP 28% LPC 28% CPC 12% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 BQ 28% NDP 28% LPC 27% CPC 12% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 BQ 29% NDP 28% LPC 27% CPC 12% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 BQ 28% NDP 28% LPC 27% CPC 12% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Berthier—Maskinongé

LPC 26% NDP 37% BQ 37% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC NDP BQ April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 BQ 99% NDP 1% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 BQ 99% NDP 1% LPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 BQ >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 BQ >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 BQ >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 BQ >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 BQ >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 BQ >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 BQ 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 BQ 99% LPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 BQ 98% LPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 BQ 97% LPC 3% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 BQ 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 BQ 94% LPC 6% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 BQ 95% LPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 BQ 92% LPC 8% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 BQ 88% LPC 12% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 BQ 84% LPC 16% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 BQ 87% LPC 13% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 BQ 86% LPC 14% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 BQ 85% LPC 15% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 BQ 82% LPC 18% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 BQ 41% LPC 33% NDP 26% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 BQ 40% NDP 34% LPC 27% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 BQ 36% NDP 35% LPC 30% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 BQ 37% NDP 34% LPC 30% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 BQ 40% NDP 32% LPC 28% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 BQ 37% NDP 37% LPC 26% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 BQ 39% NDP 39% LPC 22% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 NDP 37% BQ 37% LPC 26% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Berthier—Maskinongé



2019 2021 Proj. BQ 38.4% 35.9% 28% ± 6% NDP 34.0% 32.7% 28% ± 7% LPC 14.0% 15.4% 27% ± 6% CPC 10.3% 10.9% 12% ± 4% PPC 0.8% 2.6% 2% ± 3% GPC 1.9% 1.0% 2% ± 2%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.