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Canada


Vaudreuil–Soulanges (federal)


MP: Peter Schiefke (LPC)


Latest projection: February 25, 2024

LPC safe hold
Vaudreuil–Soulanges 37% ± 7% 23% ± 5% 21% ± 5% 14% ± 4% 6% ± 4% LPC 2021 46.36% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 25, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Vaudreuil–Soulanges >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | February 25, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Vaudreuil–Soulanges

LPC 37% ± 7% CPC 21% ± 5% NDP 14% ± 4% GPC 6% ± 4% BQ 23% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Vaudreuil–Soulanges 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ

Odds of winning | Vaudreuil–Soulanges

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% GPC <1% BQ <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ

Recent electoral history | Vaudreuil–Soulanges



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 46.6% 47.3% 46.36% 37% ± 7% BQ 15.0% 24.4% 22.15% 23% ± 5% CPC 13.8% 11.5% 16.35% 21% ± 5% NDP 22.3% 10.8% 10.51% 14% ± 4% GPC 2.2% 5.0% 2.53% 6% ± 4% PPC 0.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0% ± 0%