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338 Blog
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Canada
Electoral districts
All 338 electoral districts
Atlantic Canada
Quebec
Ontario
Prairies
Alberta
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Territories
Parties
LPC
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Federal simulator
Vimy (federal)
MP: Annie Koutrakis (LPC)
Latest projection: February 5, 2023
LPC safe hold
Vimy
49% ± 8%
LPC
22% ± 6%
BQ
14% ± 5%
CPC
12% ± 4%
NDP
3% ± 3%
PPC
LPC 2021
49.77%
338Canada Popular vote projection | February 5, 2023
50%
100%
Vimy
>99%
LPC
<1%
BQ
<1%
CPC
Odds of winning | February 5, 2023
Popular vote projection | Vimy
LPC 49% ± 8%
CPC 14% ± 5%
NDP 12% ± 4%
BQ 22% ± 6%
Popular vote projection % | Vimy
60
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-03-01
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
LPC
CPC
NDP
BQ
Odds of winning | Vimy
LPC >99%
CPC <1%
NDP <1%
GPC <1%
Odds of winning the most seats
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-03-01
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
LPC
CPC
NDP
GPC
Recent electoral history | Vimy
2015
2019
2021
Proj.
LPC
46.4%
47.7%
49.77%
49% ± 8%
BQ
16.8%
27.8%
23.21%
22% ± 6%
CPC
13.4%
10.7%
13.42%
14% ± 5%
NDP
21.1%
8.6%
9.3%
12% ± 4%
PPC
0.0%
1.3%
4.3%
3% ± 3%
GPC
2.4%
3.8%
0.0%
1% ± 1%