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Canada

Vimy


MP elect: Annie Koutrakis (LPC)

Latest projection: May 25, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | Vimy


Liberal Annie Koutrakis*
Conservative Grace Daou
NDP Cindy Mercer
Bloc Quebecois Alicia Parenteau-Malakhanian

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.


Vimy 53% ± 7% LPC 25% ± 6% CPC 17% ± 5% BQ 5% ± 3% NDP LPC 2025 53.4% 338Canada vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Vimy >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% BQ Odds of winning | May 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Vimy

LPC 53% ± 7% CPC 25% ± 6% NDP 5% ± 3% BQ 17% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Vimy 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP BQ May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 LPC 34% BQ 28% CPC 23% NDP 10% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 LPC 34% BQ 27% CPC 24% NDP 10% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 LPC 34% BQ 27% CPC 24% NDP 10% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 LPC 35% BQ 27% CPC 23% NDP 10% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC 40% BQ 24% CPC 22% NDP 9% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 42% BQ 24% CPC 21% NDP 8% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 44% BQ 22% CPC 21% NDP 7% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 47% BQ 21% CPC 20% NDP 7% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 48% BQ 20% CPC 20% NDP 7% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 50% BQ 20% CPC 19% NDP 6% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 52% BQ 19% CPC 19% NDP 6% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 52% CPC 19% BQ 19% NDP 6% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 52% CPC 19% BQ 19% NDP 6% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 52% BQ 19% CPC 19% NDP 6% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 52% BQ 19% CPC 18% NDP 6% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 52% BQ 19% CPC 18% NDP 6% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 55% BQ 18% CPC 17% NDP 5% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 55% BQ 18% CPC 17% NDP 5% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 55% CPC 18% BQ 18% NDP 5% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 56% CPC 18% BQ 17% NDP 4% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 56% CPC 18% BQ 17% NDP 4% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 57% CPC 18% BQ 16% NDP 4% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 57% CPC 18% BQ 16% NDP 4% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 58% CPC 18% BQ 15% NDP 4% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 59% CPC 18% BQ 14% NDP 4% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 60% CPC 18% BQ 14% NDP 4% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 60% CPC 18% BQ 14% NDP 4% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 61% CPC 18% BQ 14% NDP 4% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 61% CPC 18% BQ 14% NDP 4% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 61% CPC 18% BQ 13% NDP 4% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 62% CPC 17% BQ 14% NDP 4% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 62% CPC 17% BQ 14% NDP 4% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 64% CPC 17% BQ 14% NDP 4% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 64% CPC 18% BQ 14% NDP 4% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 64% CPC 18% BQ 14% NDP 4% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 63% CPC 18% BQ 14% NDP 4% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 63% CPC 19% BQ 14% NDP 4% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 64% CPC 18% BQ 14% NDP 4% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 63% CPC 18% BQ 14% NDP 4% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 63% CPC 18% BQ 14% NDP 4% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 63% CPC 19% BQ 14% NDP 4% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 63% CPC 19% BQ 14% NDP 4% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 62% CPC 19% BQ 14% NDP 4% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 63% CPC 19% BQ 14% NDP 4% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 62% CPC 19% BQ 15% NDP 4% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 62% CPC 19% BQ 15% NDP 4% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 61% CPC 20% BQ 15% NDP 4% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 61% CPC 20% BQ 15% NDP 5% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 60% CPC 20% BQ 15% NDP 5% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 60% CPC 20% BQ 15% NDP 5% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 62% CPC 20% BQ 15% NDP 4% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 53% CPC 25% BQ 17% NDP 5% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 53% CPC 25% BQ 17% NDP 5% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 53% CPC 25% BQ 17% NDP 5% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 53% CPC 25% BQ 17% NDP 5% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Vimy

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 LPC 85% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 LPC 87% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 LPC 90% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 LPC 94% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Vimy



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 53% ± 7% 48.2% 50.1% 53.4% CPC 25% ± 6% 11.2% 13.8% 24.7% BQ 17% ± 5% 26.9% 22.3% 17.2% NDP 5% ± 3% 8.7% 9.3% 4.7% PPC 0% ± 0% 1.4% 4.3% 0.0% GPC 0% ± 0% 3.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.