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Canada

University—Rosedale



Latest projection: April 15, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | University—Rosedale


Liberal Chrystia Freeland*
Conservative Liz Grade
NDP Serena Purdy
Green Ignacio Mongrell
Marxist-Leninist Barbara Biley
Communist Drew Garvie
Independent Adam Golding

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



University—Rosedale 64% ± 8% LPC 20% ± 6% CPC 11% ± 5% NDP 3% ± 3% GPC LPC 2021 46.5% 338Canada vote projection | April 15, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% University—Rosedale >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 15, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | University—Rosedale

LPC 64% ± 8% CPC 20% ± 6% NDP 11% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | University—Rosedale 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC 51% CPC 23% NDP 18% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 53% CPC 22% NDP 17% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 55% CPC 21% NDP 15% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 56% CPC 21% NDP 15% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 56% CPC 21% NDP 15% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 56% CPC 21% NDP 15% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 56% CPC 21% NDP 15% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 56% CPC 21% NDP 15% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 59% CPC 21% NDP 13% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 59% CPC 21% NDP 13% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 59% CPC 21% NDP 13% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 60% CPC 21% NDP 12% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 61% CPC 21% NDP 12% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 61% CPC 21% NDP 11% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 61% CPC 22% NDP 11% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 63% CPC 22% NDP 10% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 64% CPC 22% NDP 10% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 64% CPC 21% NDP 10% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 64% CPC 21% NDP 10% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 65% CPC 21% NDP 10% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 64% CPC 21% NDP 10% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 64% CPC 21% NDP 11% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 64% CPC 21% NDP 11% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 64% CPC 21% NDP 11% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 64% CPC 21% NDP 11% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 64% CPC 21% NDP 11% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 64% CPC 20% NDP 11% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 64% CPC 20% NDP 11% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 64% CPC 20% NDP 11% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 64% CPC 20% NDP 11% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | University—Rosedale

LPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC NDP April 15, 2025 2025-03-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | University—Rosedale



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 51.6% 46.5% 64% ± 8% CPC 15.7% 17.9% 20% ± 6% NDP 23.3% 28.1% 11% ± 5% GPC 7.9% 4.4% 3% ± 3% PPC 0.9% 2.6% 0% ± 0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.