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Canada


Parkdale–High Park (federal)


MP: Arif Virani (LPC)


Latest projection: December 3, 2023

NDP likely gain
Parkdale–High Park 44% ± 8%▲ 33% ± 7%▼ 16% ± 5% 5% ± 4%▼ LPC 2021 42.45% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 3, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Parkdale–High Park 96%▲ 4%▼ <1% Odds of winning | December 3, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Parkdale–High Park

LPC 33% ± 7% CPC 16% ± 5% NDP 44% ± 8% GPC 5% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Parkdale–High Park 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Odds of winning | Parkdale–High Park

LPC 4% CPC <1% NDP 96% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Parkdale–High Park



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 42.0% 47.4% 42.45% 33% ± 7% NDP 40.2% 31.5% 39.21% 44% ± 8% CPC 13.0% 13.2% 12.97% 16% ± 5% PPC 0.0% 1.1% 3.13% 2% ± 2% GPC 3.0% 6.4% 1.82% 5% ± 4%