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Canada


Surrey–Newton (federal)


MP: Sukh Dhaliwal (LPC)


Latest projection: March 19, 2023

LPC safe hold
Surrey–Newton 54% ± 7% LPC 25% ± 6% NDP 20% ± 5% CPC LPC 2021 53.87% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 19, 2023
50% 100% Surrey–Newton >99% LPC <1% NDP <1% CPC Odds of winning | March 19, 2023


Popular vote projection | Surrey–Newton

LPC 54% ± 7% CPC 20% ± 5% NDP 25% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Surrey–Newton 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 LPC CPC NDP

Odds of winning | Surrey–Newton

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 2023-09-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Surrey–Newton



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 56.0% 45.0% 53.87% 54% ± 7% NDP 26.1% 29.2% 26.05% 25% ± 6% CPC 15.7% 21.0% 15.73% 20% ± 5% PPC 0.0% 1.6% 2.64% 1% ± 2% BQ 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 0% GPC 2.2% 3.2% 0.0% 1% ± 1%