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Alberta

37 federal districts
Latest update: February 1, 2026

Alberta 53% 63% 58% ± 5% CPC 25% 33% 29% ± 4% LPC 5% 11% 8% ± 3% NDP 338Canada federal vote projection | February 1, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. Details on 338Canada’s methodology are available here.
Alberta, 37 federal districts 33 [28-36] CPC 3 [0-8] LPC 1  [0-2] NDP 338Canada seat projection | February 1, 2026
Methodology note. The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current range from worst- to best-case outcomes. Values near the centre of the distribution are more likely than the extremes, as the results follow Gaussian-like (bell-curve) distributions. Does it work? See 338Canada’s full record here.

Federal vote projection | Alberta

LPC 29% ± 4% CPC 58% ± 5% NDP 8% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Alberta 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC February 1, 2026 2025-04-26 CPC 59% LPC 28% NDP 9% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 59% LPC 28% NDP 9% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 59% LPC 29% NDP 8% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 64% LPC 28% NDP 6% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 64% LPC 28% NDP 6% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 64% LPC 28% NDP 6% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 64% LPC 28% NDP 6% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 64% LPC 28% NDP 6% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 63% LPC 28% NDP 6% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 CPC 63% LPC 28% NDP 7% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 CPC 62% LPC 29% NDP 7% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 CPC 60% LPC 31% NDP 7% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 CPC 60% LPC 31% NDP 7% 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 CPC 59% LPC 31% NDP 7% 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 CPC 59% LPC 32% NDP 7% 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 CPC 59% LPC 31% NDP 7% 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 CPC 59% LPC 31% NDP 7% 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 CPC 59% LPC 31% NDP 8% 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 CPC 60% LPC 30% NDP 8% 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 CPC 60% LPC 29% NDP 8% 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 CPC 60% LPC 29% NDP 8% 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 CPC 60% LPC 29% NDP 8% 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 CPC 60% LPC 30% NDP 8% 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 CPC 59% LPC 30% NDP 8% 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 CPC 59% LPC 29% NDP 8% 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 CPC 59% LPC 29% NDP 8% 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 CPC 59% LPC 29% NDP 8% 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 CPC 59% LPC 29% NDP 8% 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 CPC 59% LPC 29% NDP 8% 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 CPC 59% LPC 29% NDP 9% 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 CPC 58% LPC 29% NDP 9% 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 CPC 58% LPC 30% NDP 9% 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 CPC 58% LPC 30% NDP 9% 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 CPC 58% LPC 30% NDP 9% 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 CPC 59% LPC 29% NDP 8% 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 CPC 59% LPC 29% NDP 9% 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 CPC 60% LPC 28% NDP 9% 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 CPC 59% LPC 27% NDP 9% 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 CPC 59% LPC 27% NDP 9% 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 CPC 59% LPC 28% NDP 9% 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 CPC 59% LPC 27% NDP 9% 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 CPC 58% LPC 28% NDP 9% 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 CPC 58% LPC 29% NDP 8% 2026-02-01

Federal seat projection | Alberta

LPC 3 [0-8] CPC 33 [28-36] NDP 1 [0-2] Seat projection | Alberta 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ PPC February 1, 2026 2025-04-26 CPC 32 LPC 4 NDP 1 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 CPC 31 LPC 5 NDP 1 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 CPC 29 LPC 6 NDP 2 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 CPC 34 LPC 2 NDP 1 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 CPC 34 LPC 2 NDP 1 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 CPC 34 LPC 2 NDP 1 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 CPC 34 LPC 2 NDP 1 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 CPC 34 LPC 2 NDP 1 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 CPC 34 LPC 2 NDP 1 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 CPC 34 LPC 2 NDP 1 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 CPC 33 LPC 3 NDP 1 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 CPC 31 LPC 5 NDP 1 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 CPC 31 LPC 5 NDP 1 2025-07-06 2025-07-13 CPC 31 LPC 5 NDP 1 2025-07-13 2025-07-20 CPC 31 LPC 5 NDP 1 2025-07-20 2025-07-27 CPC 31 LPC 5 NDP 1 2025-07-27 2025-08-03 CPC 31 LPC 5 NDP 1 2025-08-03 2025-08-10 CPC 31 LPC 4 NDP 2 2025-08-10 2025-08-17 CPC 33 LPC 2 NDP 2 2025-08-17 2025-08-24 CPC 33 LPC 2 NDP 2 2025-08-24 2025-08-31 CPC 33 LPC 2 NDP 2 2025-08-31 2025-09-07 CPC 33 LPC 2 NDP 2 2025-09-07 2025-09-14 CPC 33 LPC 2 NDP 2 2025-09-14 2025-09-21 CPC 33 LPC 2 NDP 2 2025-09-21 2025-09-28 CPC 34 LPC 2 NDP 1 2025-09-28 2025-10-05 CPC 34 LPC 2 NDP 1 2025-10-05 2025-10-12 CPC 34 LPC 2 NDP 1 2025-10-12 2025-10-19 CPC 34 LPC 2 NDP 1 2025-10-19 2025-10-26 CPC 34 LPC 2 NDP 1 2025-10-26 2025-11-02 CPC 34 LPC 2 NDP 1 2025-11-02 2025-11-09 CPC 34 LPC 2 NDP 1 2025-11-09 2025-11-16 CPC 34 LPC 2 NDP 1 2025-11-16 2025-11-23 CPC 34 LPC 2 NDP 1 2025-11-23 2025-11-30 CPC 34 LPC 2 NDP 1 2025-11-30 2025-12-07 CPC 34 LPC 2 NDP 1 2025-12-07 2025-12-14 CPC 34 LPC 2 NDP 1 2025-12-14 2025-12-21 CPC 34 LPC 2 NDP 1 2025-12-21 2025-12-28 CPC 34 LPC 2 NDP 1 2025-12-28 2026-01-04 CPC 34 LPC 2 NDP 1 2026-01-04 2026-01-11 CPC 34 LPC 2 NDP 1 2026-01-11 2026-01-18 CPC 34 LPC 2 NDP 1 2026-01-18 2026-01-25 CPC 34 LPC 2 NDP 1 2026-01-25 2026-02-01 CPC 33 LPC 3 NDP 1 2026-02-01

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List of districts | Alberta
Latest update: February 1, 2026

Electoral districts
Current party
Projection
Blake Richards
C CPC safe
Pierre Poilievre
C CPC safe
David Bexte
C CPC safe
Greg McLean
C Toss up LPC/CPC
Corey Hogan
L LPC leaning
Shuv Majumdar
C CPC likely
Jasraj Singh Hallan
C CPC safe
Shuv Majumdar
C CPC safe
Dalwinder Gill
C Toss up LPC/CPC
Stephanie Kusie
C CPC safe
Michelle Rempel Garner
C CPC likely
Tom Kmiec
C CPC safe
David McKenzie
C CPC likely
Amanpreet Singh Gill
C CPC likely
Eleanor Olszewski
L LPC likely
Tim Uppal
C CPC leaning
Kerry Diotte
C CPC leaning
Ziad Aboultaif
C CPC likely
Billy Morin
C CPC likely
Matt Jeneroux
C Toss up LPC/CPC
Jagsharan Singh Mahal
C CPC leaning
Heather McPherson
N NDP likely
Kelly McCauley
C CPC leaning
John Barlow
C CPC safe
Laila Goodridge
C CPC safe
Chris Warkentin
C CPC safe
Shannon Stubbs
C CPC safe
Mike Lake
C CPC safe
Rachael Thomas
C CPC safe
C CPC safe
Dane Lloyd
C CPC safe
Arnold Viersen
C CPC safe
Blaine Calkins
C CPC safe
Burton Bailey
C CPC safe
C CPC safe
C CPC safe
William Stevenson
C CPC safe