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338Canada federal projection | Alberta, 34 districts


Latest update: April 14, 2024
Alberta 61% ± 5% 21% ± 4%▲ 12% ± 3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 14, 2024
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of polls and modelization of various data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
Alberta, 34 federal districts 32 [31-33] 2 [1-3] 0 [0-1] 0 [0-0] 338Canada seat projection | April 14, 2024
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes. The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean. Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.

Popular vote projection | Alberta

LPC 12% ± 3% CPC 61% ± 5% NDP 21% ± 4% 338Canada Popular vote projection % | Alberta 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 LPC CPC NDP

Seat projection | Alberta

LPC 0 [0-1] CPC 32 [31-33] NDP 2 [1-3] 338Canada seat projection | Alberta 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 LPC CPC NDP

Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Projected ahead Last election (2021)
29 2 1 0 32 30
1 0 1 0 2 2
0 0 0 0 0 2
0 0 0 0 0 0

List of electoral districts


Latest update: April 14, 2024
Electoral district Current party Latest projection
48001 Banff–Airdrie CPC safe hold
48002 Battle River–Crowfoot CPC safe hold
48003 Bow River CPC safe hold
48004 Calgary Centre CPC safe hold
48005 Calgary Confederation CPC safe hold
48006 Calgary Forest Lawn CPC safe hold
48007 Calgary Heritage CPC safe hold
48008 Calgary Midnapore CPC safe hold
48009 Calgary Nose Hill CPC safe hold
48010 Calgary Rocky Ridge CPC safe hold
48011 Calgary Shepard CPC safe hold
48012 Calgary Signal Hill CPC safe hold
48013 Calgary Skyview CPC likely gain
48014 Edmonton Centre CPC leaning gain
48015 Edmonton Griesbach NDP leaning hold
48016 Edmonton Manning CPC likely hold
48017 Edmonton Mill Woods CPC safe hold
48018 Edmonton Riverbend CPC safe hold
48019 Edmonton Strathcona NDP safe hold
48020 Edmonton West CPC safe hold
48021 Edmonton–Wetaskiwin CPC safe hold
48022 Foothills CPC safe hold
48023 Fort McMurray–Cold Lake CPC safe hold
48024 Grande Prairie–Mackenzie CPC safe hold
48025 Lakeland CPC safe hold
48026 Lethbridge CPC safe hold
48027 Medicine Hat–Cardston–Warner CPC safe hold
48028 Peace River–Westlock CPC safe hold
48029 Red Deer–Mountain View CPC safe hold
48030 Red Deer–Lacombe CPC safe hold
48031 St. Albert–Edmonton CPC safe hold
48032 Sherwood Park–Fort Saskatchewan CPC safe hold
48033 Sturgeon River–Parkland CPC safe hold
48034 Yellowhead CPC safe hold