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Alberta

37 federal districts
Latest update: March 15, 2026

Alberta 48% 58% 53% ± 5% CPC 31% 39% 35% ± 4% LPC 5% 11% 8% ± 3% NDP 338Canada federal vote projection | March 15, 2026
Methodology note. Projections are calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. See methodology statement here.
Alberta, 37 federal districts 28 [20-32] CPC 8 [4-15] LPC 1  [1-2] NDP 338Canada seat projection | March 15, 2026
Methodology note. Seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. Brackets indicate the current range of outcomes. Values near the mean are more likely than extremes.

Federal Projection | Alberta

Federal Seat Projection | Alberta


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List of districts | Alberta
Latest update: March 15, 2026

Electoral districts
Current party
Projection
Blake Richards
C CPC safe
Pierre Poilievre
C CPC safe
David Bexte
C CPC safe
Greg McLean
C LPC leaning
Corey Hogan
L LPC likely
Shuv Majumdar
C Toss up LPC/CPC
Jasraj Singh Hallan
C CPC likely
Shuv Majumdar
C CPC leaning
Dalwinder Gill
C LPC likely
Stephanie Kusie
C CPC likely
Michelle Rempel Garner
C CPC leaning
Tom Kmiec
C CPC safe
David McKenzie
C CPC leaning
Amanpreet Singh Gill
C Toss up LPC/CPC
Eleanor Olszewski
L LPC safe
Tim Uppal
C LPC leaning
Kerry Diotte
C Toss up CPC/NDP
Ziad Aboultaif
C Toss up LPC/CPC
Billy Morin
C Toss up LPC/CPC
Matt Jeneroux [Elected as CPC]
L LPC likely
Jagsharan Singh Mahal
C Toss up LPC/CPC
Heather McPherson
N NDP safe
Kelly McCauley
C LPC leaning
John Barlow
C CPC safe
Laila Goodridge
C CPC safe
Chris Warkentin
C CPC safe
Shannon Stubbs
C CPC safe
Mike Lake
C CPC safe
Rachael Thomas
C CPC likely
C CPC safe
Dane Lloyd
C CPC safe
Arnold Viersen
C CPC safe
Blaine Calkins
C CPC safe
Burton Bailey
C CPC safe
C CPC safe
C CPC likely
William Stevenson
C CPC safe