logo
Canada

Shefford


MP elect: Andreanne Larouche (BQ)

Latest projection: April 30, 2025
Toss up LPC/BQ

Candidates | Shefford


Liberal Felix Dionne
Conservative James Seale
NDP Patrick Jasmin
Bloc Quebecois Andreanne Larouche*
PPC Susanne Lefebvre

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



Shefford 40% ± 0%▲ BQ 39% ± 0%▼ LPC 18% ± 0%▼ CPC BQ 2025 39.8% 338Canada vote projection | April 30, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Shefford 62%▲ BQ 38%▼ LPC <1% CPC Odds of winning | April 30, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Shefford

LPC 39% ± 0% CPC 18% ± 0% BQ 40% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Shefford 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC BQ April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 BQ 38% LPC 30% CPC 21% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 BQ 37% LPC 34% CPC 18% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 36% BQ 35% CPC 18% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 36% BQ 35% CPC 18% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 36% BQ 35% CPC 18% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 36% BQ 35% CPC 17% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 36% BQ 36% CPC 17% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 36% BQ 36% CPC 17% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 39% BQ 35% CPC 16% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 39% BQ 34% CPC 16% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 40% BQ 33% CPC 17% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 40% BQ 33% CPC 17% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 41% BQ 32% CPC 17% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 41% BQ 32% CPC 17% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 41% BQ 32% CPC 17% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 42% BQ 32% CPC 17% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 43% BQ 31% CPC 18% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 44% BQ 31% CPC 17% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 43% BQ 31% CPC 17% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 44% BQ 31% CPC 17% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 43% BQ 32% CPC 17% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 43% BQ 32% CPC 17% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 43% BQ 32% CPC 16% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 43% BQ 33% CPC 16% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 44% BQ 33% CPC 17% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 44% BQ 33% CPC 17% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 44% BQ 33% CPC 17% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 43% BQ 33% CPC 18% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 43% BQ 34% CPC 18% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 43% BQ 33% CPC 18% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 44% BQ 33% CPC 17% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 44% BQ 33% CPC 17% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 43% BQ 34% CPC 17% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 43% BQ 34% CPC 17% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 43% BQ 34% CPC 17% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 43% BQ 34% CPC 17% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 43% BQ 35% CPC 17% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 42% BQ 34% CPC 18% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 42% BQ 35% CPC 18% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 41% BQ 35% CPC 18% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 41% BQ 34% CPC 19% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 40% BQ 35% CPC 19% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 41% BQ 35% CPC 19% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 BQ 40% LPC 39% CPC 18% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Shefford

LPC 38% NDP <1% BQ 62% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC NDP BQ April 30, 2025 2025-03-09 BQ 91% LPC 9% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 BQ 69% LPC 31% NDP <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 52% BQ 48% NDP <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 57% BQ 43% NDP <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 57% BQ 43% NDP <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 57% BQ 43% NDP <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 53% BQ 47% NDP <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 52% BQ 48% NDP <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 77% BQ 23% NDP <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 80% BQ 20% NDP <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 87% BQ 13% NDP <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 91% BQ 9% NDP <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 94% BQ 6% NDP <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 96% BQ 4% NDP <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 95% BQ 5% NDP <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 97% BQ 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 98% BQ 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 99% BQ 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 98% BQ 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 99% BQ 1% NDP <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 98% BQ 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 98% BQ 2% NDP <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 97% BQ 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 96% BQ 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 97% BQ 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 97% BQ 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 97% BQ 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 96% BQ 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 95% BQ 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 96% BQ 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 97% BQ 3% NDP <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 96% BQ 4% NDP <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 95% BQ 5% NDP <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 94% BQ 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 94% BQ 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 94% BQ 6% NDP <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 92% BQ 8% NDP <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 92% BQ 8% NDP <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 89% BQ 11% NDP <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 88% BQ 12% NDP <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 88% BQ 12% NDP <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 83% BQ 17% NDP <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 85% BQ 15% NDP <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 BQ 62% LPC 38% NDP <1% 2025-04-30 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Shefford



2019 2021 2025 Proj. BQ 40% ± 0% 38.6% 41.9% 39.8% LPC 39% ± 0% 37.1% 33.5% 38.9% CPC 18% ± 0% 12.3% 12.1% 17.8% NDP 2% ± 0% 6.1% 5.3% 2.3% PPC 1% ± 0% 0.8% 3.5% 1.2% GPC 0% ± 0% 4.6% 1.8% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.