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Canada


Shefford


Latest projection: May 12, 2024
BQ safe
Note: The terms "hold" and "gain" are used to compare current projections with transposed 2021 results onto the new electoral map.
Shefford 44% ± 7% BQ 23% ± 6% LPC 20% ± 5% CPC 6% ± 3% NDP 5% ± 4% GPC BQ 2021 41.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | May 12, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Shefford >99% BQ <1% LPC <1% CPC Odds of winning | May 12, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Shefford

LPC 23% ± 6% CPC 20% ± 5% NDP 6% ± 3% GPC 5% ± 4% BQ 44% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Shefford 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ May 12, 2024

Odds of winning | Shefford

LPC <1% NDP <1% BQ >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC NDP BQ May 12, 2024

Recent electoral history | Shefford



2019 2021 Proj. BQ 38.6% 41.9% 44% ± 7% LPC 37.1% 33.5% 23% ± 6% CPC 12.3% 12.1% 20% ± 5% NDP 6.1% 5.3% 6% ± 3% PPC 0.8% 3.5% 2% ± 2% GPC 4.6% 1.8% 5% ± 4%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.