logo
Canada

St. Albert—Sturgeon River



Latest projection: April 17, 2025
CPC safe

Candidates | St. Albert—Sturgeon River


Liberal Lucia Stachurski
Conservative Michael Cooper*
NDP Dot Anderson
PPC Brigitte Cecilia
Christian Heritage Jeff Willerton

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.



St. Albert—Sturgeon River 64% ± 8% CPC 23% ± 6% LPC 9% ± 4% NDP CPC 2021 56.0% 338Canada vote projection | April 17, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% St. Albert—Sturgeon River >99% CPC <1% LPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | April 17, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | St. Albert—Sturgeon River

LPC 23% ± 6% CPC 64% ± 8% NDP 9% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | St. Albert—Sturgeon River 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 17, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC 59% NDP 19% LPC 14% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC 56% LPC 18% NDP 17% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC 57% LPC 23% NDP 14% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC 56% LPC 24% NDP 14% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC 56% LPC 24% NDP 14% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC 56% LPC 23% NDP 14% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC 56% LPC 23% NDP 14% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC 56% LPC 23% NDP 15% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC 56% LPC 24% NDP 13% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC 57% LPC 24% NDP 13% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC 57% LPC 24% NDP 13% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC 58% LPC 23% NDP 12% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC 59% LPC 23% NDP 12% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC 59% LPC 23% NDP 12% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC 60% LPC 23% NDP 11% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC 60% LPC 23% NDP 11% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC 61% LPC 23% NDP 11% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC 61% LPC 23% NDP 10% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC 61% LPC 23% NDP 10% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC 61% LPC 23% NDP 10% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC 61% LPC 23% NDP 10% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC 63% LPC 24% NDP 10% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC 64% LPC 23% NDP 9% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC 65% LPC 23% NDP 9% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC 64% LPC 22% NDP 9% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC 64% LPC 23% NDP 9% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC 64% LPC 23% NDP 9% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC 64% LPC 23% NDP 9% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC 64% LPC 23% NDP 9% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC 64% LPC 23% NDP 9% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC 64% LPC 23% NDP 9% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC 64% LPC 23% NDP 9% 2025-04-17 Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | St. Albert—Sturgeon River

LPC <1% CPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-03-15 2025-04-01 2025-04-15 2025-05-01 2025-05-15 Election 2025 Campaign begins LPC CPC NDP April 17, 2025 2025-03-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 CPC >99% NDP <1% LPC <1% 2025-04-17 Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | St. Albert—Sturgeon River



2019 2021 Proj. CPC 69.6% 56.0% 64% ± 8% LPC 12.3% 11.4% 23% ± 6% NDP 12.4% 23.6% 9% ± 4% PPC 2.2% 7.8% 2% ± 3% GPC 2.8% 0.0% 0% ± 0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.