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Canada


Ottawa West–Nepean (federal)


MP: Anita Vandenbeld (LPC)


Latest projection: February 25, 2024

CPC likely gain
Ottawa West–Nepean 39% ± 7%▲ 30% ± 6% 22% ± 5% 8% ± 4% LPC 2021 45.15% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 25, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Ottawa West–Nepean 96%▲ 4%▼ <1% Odds of winning | February 25, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Ottawa West–Nepean

LPC 30% ± 6% CPC 39% ± 7% NDP 22% ± 5% GPC 8% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Ottawa West–Nepean 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Odds of winning | Ottawa West–Nepean

LPC 4% CPC 96% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Ottawa West–Nepean



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 55.9% 45.6% 45.15% 30% ± 6% CPC 30.0% 27.1% 28.63% 39% ± 7% NDP 9.8% 18.7% 19.43% 22% ± 5% PPC 0.0% 1.3% 3.35% 2% ± 2% GPC 2.8% 6.3% 2.85% 8% ± 4%