338Canada | Victoria (British Columbia federal district)




59041 - Victoria

Province: British Columbia
Population (2016): 117,135 residents
Population density: 2908 pop./km² (rank: 53 of 338)
Median household income: $58 231 (rank: 267 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Laurel Collins (NDP)



Latest projection (September 20, 2021)

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2021 Candidates | Victoria


Nikki Macdonald
Hannah Hodson
Laurel Collins
Nick Loughton
John Phipps
Jordon Reichert (Animal)
Janis Zroback (Comm.)





Federal vote projection | Victoria

Last update: September 20, 2021







Odds of winning | Victoria

Last update: September 20, 2021






Electoral history of Victoria



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2019? | Victoria



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2019 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Victoria


Final 2019 Projection 2019 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
35.4% ± 8.6% 33.2% Within confidence interval
30.3% ± 7.8% 29.9% Within confidence interval
16.8% ± 5.3% 22.3% Outside confidence interval
15.7% ± 5.1% 12.6% Within confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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