338Canada | Victoria (British Columbia federal district)





59041 - Victoria

Province: British Columbia
Population (2016): 117,135 residents
Population density: 2908 pop./km² (rank: 53 of 338)
Median household income: $58 231 (rank: 267 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Laurel Collins (NDP)



Latest projection (January 16, 2022)

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Federal vote projection | Victoria

Last update: January 16, 2022






Odds of winning | Victoria

Last update: January 16, 2022









Electoral history of Victoria



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2021? | Victoria



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2021 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Victoria


Final 2021 Projection 2021 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
42.4% ± 6.6% 43.8% Within confidence interval
20.4% ± 4.8% 27.2% Outside confidence interval
12.1% ± 3.7% 13.9% Within confidence interval
18.6% ± 4.8% 11.2% Outside confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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