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Canada


Dorval—Lachine—LaSalle


Latest projection: May 19, 2024
LPC safe
Note: The terms "hold" and "gain" are used to compare current projections with transposed 2021 results onto the new electoral map.
Dorval—Lachine—LaSalle 42% ± 8% LPC 20% ± 6%▲ BQ 17% ± 5%▼ CPC 14% ± 5% NDP 5% ± 4% GPC LPC 2021 52.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | May 19, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Dorval—Lachine—LaSalle >99% LPC <1% BQ <1% CPC Odds of winning | May 19, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Dorval—Lachine—LaSalle

LPC 42% ± 8% CPC 17% ± 5% NDP 14% ± 5% GPC 5% ± 4% BQ 20% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Dorval—Lachine—LaSalle 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC BQ May 19, 2024

Odds of winning | Dorval—Lachine—LaSalle

LPC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 LPC NDP May 19, 2024

Recent electoral history | Dorval—Lachine—LaSalle



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 52.7% 52.2% 42% ± 8% BQ 17.2% 15.7% 20% ± 6% NDP 11.9% 13.1% 14% ± 5% CPC 10.5% 11.9% 17% ± 5% PPC 1.0% 4.2% 2% ± 3% GPC 5.6% 2.8% 5% ± 4%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.