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Canada

Dorval—Lachine—LaSalle


MP elect: Anju Dhillon (LPC)

Latest projection: May 25, 2025
LPC safe

Candidates | Dorval—Lachine—LaSalle


Liberal Anju Dhillon*
Conservative Alioune Sarr
NDP Angelique Soleil Lavoie
Green Amir Badr Eldeen
Bloc Quebecois Pauline Postel
PPC Michael Patterson
Rhinoceros Andre Lavigne
No Affiliation Katy Le Rougetel

Candidates are listed on the Elections Canada website here. This list will be updated if it changes during the campaign.


Dorval—Lachine—LaSalle 59% ± 6% LPC 21% ± 5% CPC 13% ± 4% BQ 4% ± 2% NDP LPC 2025 59.4% 338Canada vote projection | May 25, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Dorval—Lachine—LaSalle >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% BQ Odds of winning | May 25, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.9%), likely (90% to 99.9%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Dorval—Lachine—LaSalle

LPC 59% ± 6% CPC 21% ± 5% NDP 4% ± 2% BQ 13% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Dorval—Lachine—LaSalle 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP BQ May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 LPC 30% CPC 24% BQ 21% NDP 18% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 LPC 30% CPC 24% BQ 20% NDP 18% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 LPC 30% CPC 24% BQ 20% NDP 18% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 LPC 31% CPC 23% BQ 20% NDP 18% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC 35% CPC 22% BQ 18% NDP 17% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC 38% CPC 22% BQ 18% NDP 15% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC 40% CPC 22% BQ 17% NDP 13% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC 43% CPC 21% BQ 16% NDP 13% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC 44% CPC 21% BQ 15% NDP 12% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC 46% CPC 20% BQ 15% NDP 11% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC 49% CPC 20% BQ 14% NDP 11% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC 49% CPC 20% BQ 14% NDP 10% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC 49% CPC 20% BQ 14% NDP 10% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC 49% CPC 20% BQ 14% NDP 10% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC 49% CPC 20% BQ 14% NDP 10% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC 49% CPC 19% BQ 14% NDP 10% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC 52% CPC 19% BQ 14% NDP 9% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC 52% CPC 18% BQ 14% NDP 8% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC 52% CPC 19% BQ 13% NDP 8% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC 53% CPC 19% BQ 13% NDP 8% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC 53% CPC 19% BQ 13% NDP 8% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC 54% CPC 19% BQ 13% NDP 8% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC 54% CPC 19% BQ 12% NDP 8% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC 56% CPC 20% BQ 11% NDP 8% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC 56% CPC 20% BQ 11% NDP 8% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC 58% CPC 19% BQ 11% NDP 7% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC 58% CPC 20% BQ 11% NDP 7% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC 58% CPC 19% BQ 11% NDP 7% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC 58% CPC 19% BQ 11% NDP 7% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC 58% CPC 19% BQ 10% NDP 7% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC 59% CPC 19% BQ 11% NDP 7% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC 59% CPC 18% BQ 11% NDP 7% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC 57% CPC 18% BQ 10% NDP 7% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC 57% CPC 18% BQ 10% NDP 7% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC 57% CPC 18% BQ 10% NDP 7% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC 56% CPC 19% BQ 10% NDP 8% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC 56% CPC 19% BQ 10% NDP 8% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC 56% CPC 19% BQ 10% NDP 8% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC 55% CPC 19% BQ 10% NDP 8% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC 55% CPC 19% BQ 11% NDP 8% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC 54% CPC 20% BQ 11% NDP 8% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC 54% CPC 20% BQ 11% NDP 8% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC 54% CPC 20% BQ 11% NDP 8% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC 54% CPC 20% BQ 11% NDP 7% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC 54% CPC 20% BQ 11% NDP 7% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC 53% CPC 20% BQ 11% NDP 8% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC 53% CPC 21% BQ 11% NDP 8% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC 52% CPC 21% BQ 11% NDP 8% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC 52% CPC 21% BQ 11% NDP 8% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC 52% CPC 21% BQ 11% NDP 8% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC 53% CPC 21% BQ 11% NDP 7% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC 59% CPC 21% BQ 13% NDP 4% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC 59% CPC 21% BQ 13% NDP 4% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC 59% CPC 21% BQ 13% NDP 4% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC 59% CPC 21% BQ 13% NDP 4% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Odds of winning | Dorval—Lachine—LaSalle

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP May 25, 2025 2025-01-12 LPC 88% CPC 10% NDP <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 LPC 85% CPC 14% NDP <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 LPC 87% CPC 12% NDP <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 LPC 94% CPC 5% NDP <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2025-05-25 ▼ Trudeau resigns ▼ Carney LPC leader

Recent electoral history | Dorval—Lachine—LaSalle



2019 2021 2025 Proj. LPC 59% ± 6% 52.7% 52.2% 59.4% CPC 21% ± 5% 10.5% 11.9% 20.7% BQ 13% ± 4% 17.2% 15.7% 12.6% NDP 4% ± 2% 11.9% 13.1% 4.2% GPC 2% ± 1% 5.6% 2.8% 1.6% PPC 1% ± 1% 1.0% 4.2% 0.9% IND 1% ± 1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.