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Beauséjour



Latest projection: December 15, 2024
LPC likely
Beauséjour 43% ± 8% LPC 31% ± 7% CPC 14% ± 5% NDP 7% ± 4% GPC 3% ± 4% PPC LPC 2021 55.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 15, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Beauséjour 98%▼ LPC 2%▲ CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | December 15, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Beauséjour

LPC 43% ± 8% CPC 31% ± 7% NDP 14% ± 5% GPC 7% ± 4% PPC 3% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Beauséjour 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC December 15, 2024 2024-05-12 LPC 46% CPC 32% NDP 11% GPC 6% PPC 3% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 LPC 45% CPC 33% NDP 11% GPC 6% PPC 3% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 LPC 46% CPC 32% NDP 11% GPC 6% PPC 3% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 LPC 46% CPC 32% NDP 12% GPC 6% PPC 3% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 LPC 47% CPC 32% NDP 12% GPC 6% PPC 3% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 LPC 47% CPC 31% NDP 12% GPC 6% PPC 3% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 LPC 48% CPC 29% NDP 13% GPC 6% PPC 3% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 LPC 47% CPC 29% NDP 13% GPC 6% PPC 4% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 LPC 49% CPC 28% NDP 13% GPC 6% PPC 4% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 LPC 50% CPC 27% NDP 13% GPC 6% PPC 4% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 LPC 51% CPC 26% NDP 12% GPC 6% PPC 4% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 LPC 51% CPC 26% NDP 13% GPC 6% PPC 4% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 LPC 49% CPC 27% NDP 12% GPC 6% PPC 4% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 LPC 49% CPC 28% NDP 12% GPC 6% PPC 4% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 LPC 48% CPC 28% NDP 12% GPC 6% PPC 4% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 LPC 47% CPC 29% NDP 12% GPC 6% PPC 4% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 LPC 47% CPC 30% NDP 11% GPC 6% PPC 4% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 LPC 46% CPC 30% NDP 11% GPC 6% PPC 4% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 LPC 46% CPC 31% NDP 11% GPC 7% PPC 4% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 LPC 46% CPC 32% NDP 11% GPC 7% PPC 4% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 LPC 45% CPC 32% NDP 11% GPC 7% PPC 4% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 LPC 45% CPC 31% NDP 12% GPC 7% PPC 3% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 LPC 45% CPC 31% NDP 12% GPC 7% PPC 3% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 LPC 45% CPC 31% NDP 12% GPC 7% PPC 3% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 LPC 45% CPC 31% NDP 12% GPC 7% PPC 3% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 LPC 45% CPC 30% NDP 12% GPC 7% PPC 3% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 LPC 46% CPC 30% NDP 12% GPC 7% PPC 3% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 LPC 47% CPC 29% NDP 12% GPC 7% PPC 3% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 LPC 45% CPC 30% NDP 13% GPC 7% PPC 4% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 LPC 45% CPC 30% NDP 13% GPC 7% PPC 3% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 LPC 43% CPC 31% NDP 14% GPC 7% PPC 3% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 LPC 43% CPC 31% NDP 14% GPC 7% PPC 3% 2024-12-15

Odds of winning | Beauséjour

LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP December 15, 2024 2024-05-12 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-07-21 2024-07-28 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2024-07-28 2024-08-04 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-08-04 2024-08-11 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-08-11 2024-08-18 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-08-18 2024-08-25 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-08-25 2024-09-01 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-09-01 2024-09-08 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-09-08 2024-09-15 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2024-09-15 2024-09-22 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2024-09-22 2024-09-29 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2024-09-29 2024-10-06 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-13 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-20 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2024-10-20 2024-10-27 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2024-10-27 2024-11-03 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2024-11-03 2024-11-10 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-11-10 2024-11-17 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-11-17 2024-11-24 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-11-24 2024-12-01 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-12-01 2024-12-08 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2024-12-08 2024-12-15 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2024-12-15

Recent electoral history | Beauséjour



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 46.5% 55.5% 43% ± 8% CPC 17.6% 19.4% 31% ± 7% NDP 7.3% 11.0% 14% ± 5% PPC 2.0% 7.6% 3% ± 4% GPC 26.7% 5.7% 7% ± 4%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.