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Canada

Beauséjour


Latest projection: July 21, 2024
LPC safe
Beauséjour 51% ± 8%▲ LPC 26% ± 6%▼ CPC 12% ± 5%▼ NDP 6% ± 4% GPC 4% ± 4% PPC LPC 2021 55.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | July 21, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Beauséjour >99% LPC <1% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | July 21, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Beauséjour

LPC 51% ± 8% CPC 26% ± 6% NDP 12% ± 5% GPC 6% ± 4% PPC 4% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Beauséjour 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC July 21, 2024 2024-05-12 LPC 46% CPC 32% NDP 11% GPC 6% PPC 3% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 LPC 45% CPC 33% NDP 11% GPC 6% PPC 3% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 LPC 46% CPC 32% NDP 11% GPC 6% PPC 3% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 LPC 46% CPC 32% NDP 12% GPC 6% PPC 3% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 LPC 47% CPC 32% NDP 12% GPC 6% PPC 3% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 LPC 47% CPC 31% NDP 12% GPC 6% PPC 3% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 LPC 48% CPC 29% NDP 13% GPC 6% PPC 3% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 LPC 47% CPC 29% NDP 13% GPC 6% PPC 4% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 LPC 49% CPC 28% NDP 13% GPC 6% PPC 4% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 LPC 50% CPC 27% NDP 13% GPC 6% PPC 4% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 LPC 51% CPC 26% NDP 12% GPC 6% PPC 4% 2024-07-21

Odds of winning | Beauséjour

LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 Election 2025 LPC CPC NDP July 21, 2024 2024-05-12 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2024-05-12 2024-05-19 LPC 98% CPC 2% NDP <1% 2024-05-19 2024-05-26 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2024-05-26 2024-06-02 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2024-06-02 2024-06-09 LPC 99% CPC 1% NDP <1% 2024-06-09 2024-06-16 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-06-16 2024-06-23 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-06-23 2024-06-30 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-07 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2024-07-07 2024-07-14 LPC >99% NDP <1% CPC <1% 2024-07-14 2024-07-21 LPC >99% CPC <1% NDP <1% 2024-07-21

Recent electoral history | Beauséjour



2019 2021 Proj. LPC 46.5% 55.5% 51% ± 8% CPC 17.6% 19.4% 26% ± 6% NDP 7.3% 11.0% 12% ± 5% PPC 2.0% 7.6% 4% ± 4% GPC 26.7% 5.7% 6% ± 4%
Data from 2019 and 2021 are those transposed onto new electoral map.