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Canada


Guelph (federal)


MP: Lloyd Longfield (LPC)


Latest projection: February 5, 2023

LPC likely hold
Guelph 35% ± 7% LPC 27% ± 6% CPC 21% ± 6% NDP 14% ± 5% GPC 2% ± 2% PPC LPC 2021 42.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 5, 2023
50% 100% Guelph 93% LPC 7% CPC <1% NDP Odds of winning | February 5, 2023


Popular vote projection | Guelph

LPC 35% ± 7% CPC 27% ± 6% NDP 21% ± 6% GPC 14% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Guelph 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Odds of winning | Guelph

LPC 93% CPC 7% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Guelph



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 49.1% 40.4% 42.1% 35% ± 7% CPC 26.3% 19.3% 24.07% 27% ± 6% NDP 12.0% 12.3% 21.09% 21% ± 6% GPC 11.3% 25.5% 7.52% 14% ± 5% PPC 0.0% 1.4% 4.56% 2% ± 2% BQ 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 0%