338Canada | Guelph (Ontario federal district)





35032 - Guelph

Province: Ontario
Population (2016): 131,790 residents
Population density: 1511 pop./km² (rank: 111 of 338)
Median household income: $77 984 (rank: 107 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Lloyd Longfield (LPC)



Latest projection (January 23, 2022)

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Federal vote projection | Guelph

Last update: January 23, 2022






Odds of winning | Guelph

Last update: January 23, 2022









Electoral history of Guelph



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2021? | Guelph



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2021 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Guelph


Final 2021 Projection 2021 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
41.2% ± 6.6% 42.1% Within confidence interval
19.3% ± 4.6% 24.1% Outside confidence interval
14.4% ± 4.2% 21.1% Outside confidence interval
17.4% ± 4.8% 7.5% Outside confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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