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Guelph (federal)
MP: Lloyd Longfield (LPC)
Latest projection: February 5, 2023
LPC likely hold
Guelph
35% ± 7%
LPC
27% ± 6%
CPC
21% ± 6%
NDP
14% ± 5%
GPC
2% ± 2%
PPC
LPC 2021
42.1%
338Canada Popular vote projection | February 5, 2023
50%
100%
Guelph
93%
LPC
7%
CPC
<1%
NDP
Odds of winning | February 5, 2023
Popular vote projection | Guelph
LPC 35% ± 7%
CPC 27% ± 6%
NDP 21% ± 6%
GPC 14% ± 5%
Popular vote projection % | Guelph
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-03-01
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
LPC
CPC
NDP
GPC
Odds of winning | Guelph
LPC 93%
CPC 7%
NDP <1%
GPC <1%
Odds of winning the most seats
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-03-01
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
LPC
CPC
NDP
GPC
Recent electoral history | Guelph
2015
2019
2021
Proj.
LPC
49.1%
40.4%
42.1%
35% ± 7%
CPC
26.3%
19.3%
24.07%
27% ± 6%
NDP
12.0%
12.3%
21.09%
21% ± 6%
GPC
11.3%
25.5%
7.52%
14% ± 5%
PPC
0.0%
1.4%
4.56%
2% ± 2%
BQ
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0% ± 0%