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Canada


Hamilton East–Stoney Creek (federal)


MP: Chad Collins (LPC)


Latest projection: April 14, 2024

CPC likely gain
Hamilton East–Stoney Creek 38% ± 7% 27% ± 6% 25% ± 6% 6% ± 4% 5% ± 4% LPC 2021 36.95% 338Canada Popular vote projection | April 14, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Hamilton East–Stoney Creek 99% 1% <1% Odds of winning | April 14, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).
[▲▼: movement since previous update]

Popular vote projection | Hamilton East–Stoney Creek

LPC 27% ± 6% CPC 38% ± 7% NDP 25% ± 6% GPC 6% ± 4% PPC 5% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Hamilton East–Stoney Creek 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC

Odds of winning | Hamilton East–Stoney Creek

LPC 1% CPC 99% NDP <1% GPC <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 LPC CPC NDP GPC

Recent electoral history | Hamilton East–Stoney Creek



2015 2019 2021 Proj. LPC 39.0% 38.6% 36.95% 27% ± 6% CPC 25.3% 25.2% 28.13% 38% ± 7% NDP 32.7% 28.6% 25.44% 25% ± 6% PPC 0.0% 2.1% 7.43% 5% ± 4% GPC 2.6% 5.6% 2.05% 6% ± 4%