338Canada | Courtenay–Alberni (British Columbia federal district)





59009 - Courtenay–Alberni

Province: British Columbia
Population (2016): 114,650 residents
Population density: 14.5 pop./km² (rank: 257 of 338)
Median household income: $59 265 (rank: 262 of 338)
Member of Parliament: Gord Johns (NDP)



Latest projection (January 16, 2022)

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Federal vote projection | Courtenay–Alberni

Last update: January 16, 2022






Odds of winning | Courtenay–Alberni

Last update: January 16, 2022









Electoral history of Courtenay–Alberni



(If you cannot see the graph above, turn your phone by 90°.)
(Results of 2011 election have been transposed on the new electoral map. Thanks to Kyle Hutton for his precious help.)




Projections vs results: How did the projections do in 2021? | Courtenay–Alberni



On the graph above, colored bar represent the final 338Canada projections for the 2021 federal election. The triangle markers indicates the results in this electoral districts. Only parties that won at least 8% of the vote (or were projected above 8%) are listed.


Courtenay–Alberni


Final 2021 Projection 2021 Result The Record
Winner Correct winner
51.6% ± 7.0% 44.2% Outside confidence interval
28.0% ± 5.9% 32.0% Within confidence interval
9.1% ± 3.6% 13.3% Outside confidence interval


*Only parties that won at least 8% of the popular vote in this electoral district (or were projected above 8%) are indicated.







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